Torch
@TorchBet
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A decentralized AI-driven prediction system for crypto price discovery 🔥
Joined January 2025
markets aren’t binary love stories. add horizon and confidence so you submit a probability, not just a vibe. one continuous market beats 100 fragmented ones.
imagine this:. a tinder-style interface for prediction markets. swipe right if you think it will happen, swipe left if not.
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Please upvote our hackathon submission. Let the numbers go up! 📈
dorahacks.io
A decentralized AI-powered prediction system for crypto price discovery
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Watching code turn into something real 🤩 Can you feel it coming to life?
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Star team at work! Contract deployed on mainnet . Two days to go before hackathon submission. LFG!
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Wait till you see what this really means in action. Prototype coming soon!.
Huge congrats to @denisigin - winner of last week’s Hedera x AI pitch competition!. He brought the heat, pitched live, and walked away with $100 in PACK.Built for the Hedera Africa Hackathon 🧵
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Torch is jumping into the @hedera's Origins hackathon. Who wants to buidl together?.
dorahacks.io
# Participant Feedback We’d love to hear about your experience participating in Hedera Origins. Your feedback will help us improve and create better hackathons for you. Please share your thoughts...
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Speculation → Signal. This is exactly how markets turn into public truth infrastructure. People putting $$ behind beliefs = collective intelligence. More of this, less empty price predictions.
ETH will hit $10k by the end of 2026. @KyleSamani and I just booked a wager here. Official Terms: ETH must hit $10k intraday on any major exchange (Binance, Coinbase, or similar) by 12/31/2026. 3-1 odds. This message will serve as the receipt, so we don't need to bother.
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Just 1 hour to go! Can $PUMP keep on pumping within first several days? Make your predictions below:. [day, range]
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How do you currently predict future token prices – AI forecasts, funding rate trends, perpetuals delta, or just plain vibes?.
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+1.
That's definitely a suit.
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“Use finance to align incentives and surface valuable information” – @VitalikButerin. But “truthful data” ≠ value by default. Markets only reward it if:. – It's profitable to be right.– There's a way to verify it.– Noise isn’t louder than signal. InfoFi has to solve all three.
InfoFI (noun). /ˈɪ.ɛf.aɪ/. (Information-Finance Intelligence). “A Web3 system where truthful data, signals, attention, and reputation are tokenized and traded, rewarding high-quality information providers.”. Should we jump on the #InfoFi hype?.
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They’re betting with vibes. We’re betting with math. We are not the same.
@cryptoleon_xyz @Tyler_Did_It Broken bots (or malicious bots maybe!) verified the market for approval, and not a single human looked at it before it paid out.
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Everyone’s making predictions. But where’s the actual map of future token prices?.
❓Can prediction markets be more than just sports?. Absolutely. With Azuro, you can launch markets on anything with an outcome:. 🏛️ Elections.📉 Token prices.📺 Reality shows.🧠 Meme wars. Prediction markets are bigger than sports. Want to build your own? DM us 👇
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₄ What we need:. ⏵ A way to express beliefs across price and time.⏵ With clear, interpretable confidence levels.⏵ That works natively, no modeling tricks.⏵ Open to AI agents and humans alike. Learn more 👇
medium.com
Why continuous prediction markets beat futures and options at forecasting: full distributions, AI insight, real-time confidence maps
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₃ Can’t stake on ranges or confidence. You can’t say: “I believe Token X has a 70% chance to hit $100–$120 in 2 weeks”. Options don’t let you express that directly or transparently.
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₂ Reconstructing belief requires assumptions. To get a probability curve, you need:. ⏵ Full vol surface.⏵ Model (e.g. Black-Scholes).⏵ Liquidity across strikes. That’s fragile, error-prone, and inaccessible to most.
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₁ Options imply volatility, not direction. An option price reflects uncertainty, not price prediction. You still need to model and reconstruct the distribution manually.
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