Tom Capital
@Tom__Capital
Followers
16,135
Following
244
Media
1,243
Statuses
9,180
Posts are for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always DYOR. Follow for TA insights.
Joined November 2021
Don't wanna be here?
Send us removal request.
Explore trending content on Musk Viewer
#TREASURE_KINGKONG
• 171506 Tweets
#วอลเลย์บอลหญิง
• 95471 Tweets
JO1 HITCHHIKER
• 65419 Tweets
THE TREASURE SHOW
• 64480 Tweets
#CharlotteTilburyTHxGF
• 62587 Tweets
デカ女ブーム
• 59746 Tweets
土砂降り
• 33715 Tweets
QUEEN FAYE
• 33393 Tweets
今くるよさん
• 30947 Tweets
オリコン
• 29254 Tweets
FAYE BEAUTY QUEEN OF THE YEAR
• 21501 Tweets
いくよさん
• 19402 Tweets
シオカラーズ
• 11221 Tweets
チャイルドスモック
• 10973 Tweets
ペルドモ
• 10749 Tweets
Pinned Tweet
1/ To survive the bear market: If your favourite influencers back story sounds like "I went from working in a grocery store or driving a taxi etc etc to driving a Bugatti less than 3 years later" chances are they are still the same grocery store worker and taxi driver
14
10
200
@Vishva_s_r
@ksicrypto
hope you realize the concept of too big to fail only applies in regulated markets where the backstop is a central bank or government
VCs and hedge funds burn like the rest of us
no one gonna save you in unregulated decentralised markets
6
8
477
Thanks
@Trader_XO
for the shout out 🙏 and welcome new followers
I post sporadically usually before and after work, trade Asian time zone, mainly FX and some crypto
8
1
262
People spend so much time on twitter arguing over what they think price will do
Just put a trade on and be rewarded or punished by the market without wasting the extra energy
16
25
254
There is a lot of distractions with px action at the moment
But...
Dont forget to listen to what Central Banks are saying and doing
Core inflation is too high, rates are staying higher for longer
Thats the key driver
Px action that doesnt reflect that is called opportunity
25
25
238
Haven't seen this many "life-changing" and " once in a lifetime opportunity" tweets in a while, please note that if you use this terminology when referring to your own bags you are most likely retarded
13
11
224
US 2YR yield has dropped a further 20bp this session trading at 3.64% sending a very strong message to $MATIC hodlers
20
10
192
$AVAX
Just reading 99.5% of AVAX Investors are holding tokens at loss
And there is a token unlock for $99 million on August 26th
Dont have to be Einstein do you🧠
20
7
194
$DXY & US10YR
So its getting closer and closer to the point where you really need to ask yourself, are we at the top of the range again in terms of long term yields?
Or are yields about to breakout into a new range and the USD along with it?
27
5
187
$MATIC looking weak
Was a very strong performer with the ZK rollup narrative, did I say that right?
Please note, all narratives in altcoins are bullshit, its just one big liquidity play, dont get sucked in and married to whatever the next narrative is
But do trade it
9
17
178
Im no economist but services inflation in US still at 7% p.a.
To get lower requires lower wage growth, which requires higher unemployment
Will employment sht the bed in next 3 months to justify rate cuts in H2?
If not rate mkt is offside just like late Jan/Feb
USD⬆️
10
18
179
@Trader_XO
Bear markets expose the truth about peoples skill sets in trading
No different from business when times get tough, the high performers rise to the top and the underperormers, well, underperorm and are removed
13
12
175
Some amazing results shared today 🤝
I hope more and more people are recognizing the difference between traders/educators, influencers, and armchair analysts in this space
And dont forget to be charitable
@Trader_XO
@trader1sz
10
7
171
$BTC
Wouldnt be hard to imagine this years current range holding in 2024 if rates stay higher for longer😐
19
15
159
@zhusu
You, Kyle, Do Kwon, SBF and many more represent the malfeasance that is slowly being removed in the crypto industry
You can blame, deny, recriminate as much as you want
Doesnt change the facts
Now for a quote 👇
3
7
161
Have seen so many tweets talking about DCA ing your favourite shitcoin becasue it is 95% below ATH etc etc
Measuring an asset spot px v ATH tells you nothing about its value
Cmon, people arnt that stupid are they? If so please prepare to DCA your cash into the 🚽
14
18
155
US2YR and US10YR yields are up 50bp and 25bp since Feb 1 👀
Yep read that again
Equities, brypto and USD are currently very mispriced based on this alone
If US CPI even smells like it's higher than exp there will be some aggressive catch up to play
10
13
139
@zhusu
This redemption arc won't work unless;
💩 You go to jail
💩 Repay investors
💩 Sell the movie rights
💩Get Leonardo to play Kyle
💩Ken Jeong is playing you (sorry)
These philosophical tweets where you and Kyle pretend you did nothing wrong won't work
Get a new PR advisor
2
5
143
$BTC
Crazy crypto bros pick a risk off day in tradfi to force a short squeeze🤨
Gonna be pushing shit up hill to force a further short squeeze from these levels with risk off in tradfi
Or do we take out stops downside now🤔
Let the fkry begin
10
6
141
Im not getting the shitcoin dip buyers risk return view in crapto at current levels after the mega rallies seen (BTC aside)
Typically you are what I would refer to as fuel ⛽️ for the next leg lower 🔥
But good luck to you, Im probably missing out on great buys up here
15
4
146
$SOL
Now we wait for the dead 😼 bounce
Typically I look for a retracement somewhere in the 50-61.8% fib zone, otherwise known as the bull trap area
If the asset is very weak wont clear 38.2%
So 22.11, 22.75, 23.40 are my areas of interest
6
8
138
@INVESTMENTSHULK
Cancelling trades because JPM and a Chinese broker couldnt manage their risk correctly is dangerous, shows favouritism, not sure you how can call that a market.
Creates an asymmetric bet on LME Nickel exchange now, just stay on the same side as JPM and you can never lose
4
10
131
$SOL $INJ $AVAX
I haven't seen many on my timeline discussing distribution when clearly some of the larger ALTS that were early movers are experiencing it
I wonder why🤔
25
10
141
$BTC
If this happens and JPY crosses fall substantially expect crypto to follow imo
18
10
120
I just made a months salary in 30 minutes on a Sunday morning, where else can you do this?
I appreciate how "not normal" the crypto market is and try and extract every single cent from it while I can not assuming this lasts forever
Now off to the gym
Enjoy the w/e all🙏
9
2
125
$BTC
Been afk for the better part of a week, come back to feed full of BTC up only tweets, apparently never going back below $30k, let alone a revisit of $25k, fcasts for 100k +
Technicals are all bullish, structure, momo, vol etc
You know what this means 🥺
12
3
116
$SOL
It's easy to make a call, harder to trade it, that's the difference between a trader and an analyst
$SOL
That was quick, tagged 20.26 overnight
Still hold same view and levels👇
2
1
38
8
1
114
Amazes me that anyone is keen to buy the crypto dip seeking "value" post significant declines today
When tradfi looks like it is just warming up to risk off
12
3
110
$DXY
Straight back and retesting previous weekly highs, as US yields rallied strongly post NFP
There is no other way to look at this other than bullish
Whilst holding above 103.00/50 area my bearish view is invalidated and 106 comes into view
$DXY 👀
Watching closely after being rejected towards 105 which was the target zone from deviation below 100
Bearish div on daily RSI, stochs crossing lower and vol expanding off the lows
Also good confluence with US yields backing off ahead of NFP release
🎯100.50/101.50
5
7
60
12
8
106
I have to say that the px action we are seeing in crypto isn't usually how bull markets start
These are shorts being taken to the woodshed and shot after months of failing to push px significantly lower and FOMO at range highs until proven otherwise
16
7
104
$BTC
Not my jam
BUT
This is my expectation, 29,500/600 retest holds on top and then bear jesus steps in
Of course acceptance back above 29,500/600 and we back in range with 32k on top
$BTC
29,500/600 touched 6 times in past month, key support until its not
Im not interested at this level as plenty of bearish div and general lack of bullish momentum when bouncing from this area
Not what you wanna see if you are dip buying
26,500/27k looks the spot
4
3
76
5
3
100
@AlgodTrading
I disagree, TA can be very useful to identify support and resistance based on previous trading history, however it doesnt operate in a vaccum.
An understanding of traditional financial markets, assets, key drivers and correlations combined with good TA skills are very powerful
4
0
96
I can see on my feed the hopes for ALT season are high
Understand the rotation from BTC>ETH>ALTS however that doesnt apply if BTC and ETH get dumped
I guess it depends on how much of the increased OI in BTC & ETH above 30k and 2k is fresh long and has paper hands
8
3
94
@ThinkingBitmex
You do realize this is exactly what we all said when we heard there was a virus in China in December 2019....COVID crash didn't happen till March 2020
Was hiding in plain sight for months
6
0
89
$BTC
Woke up and saw this 🤮its not as easy as people have you belive shorting an asset
Expect my timeline to be littered with how this is a display of crypto strength blah blah
Wrong take
This is simply a short squeeze of poorly positioned higly leveraged traders
12
2
95
Feels like the market is starting to gasp for air, oxygen getting thin up here for some ALTS
Any move lower will likely be led by $SOL and $AVAX given parabolic moves up so 👀closley
12
18
91
Spanish CPI unexpectedly jumped to 7.5% from 7% in January
All good, I'm sure this can't happen with US CPI down the track, bring on the rates cuts 😬
8
4
91
$BTC
Wonder what happened to all those people telling me that BTC would never trade back under 30k after the Blackrock news?
Supply and Demand, nothing more or less, and don't tell me it's scarcity as that's hardly unique to BTC
8
4
86
$SOL
Seeing a few indicators lining up suggesting a big move lower in price could be brewing
12/21 EMA Daily cross been very good at preceeding large moves, esp when with expanding BBWP stochs lower MACD lower
Hasnt crossed yet, need a couple more days of down👀closely
7
2
89
$SOL
Three month round trip incoming?
10
7
88
$SOL
12/21 Daily EMA has crossed lower
Has been a good indicator in the past combined with a few others for confluence
Will be looking for opportunities to sell strength targeting a move towards 18.50 over the next two weeks
$SOL
Seeing a few indicators lining up suggesting a big move lower in price could be brewing
12/21 EMA Daily cross been very good at preceeding large moves, esp when with expanding BBWP stochs lower MACD lower
Hasnt crossed yet, need a couple more days of down👀closely
7
2
89
8
7
88
Looks like global growth concerns are back on the radar
Copper lowest levels since November
Chinese data is softer than expected
Expect this negative backdrop to remain for a little while yet
Keeps downward pressure on $AUDUSD
0
10
87
$BTC and $ETH kept pushing at significant resistance and failing to break through got taken to the woodshed
I think same logic applies to $NAS 100 which continues to fail around 13,200
Break below 12,800 will see a trip to the woodshed
4
1
83
Off to bed, banked 17k profits for the day so won't complain that I have to get up in 5 hours
Still short AUD, EUR, GBP, stops moved to entry
Short Nas 100 - not high conviction, so not balls deep
Yes, it's all the same trade
Good luck
8
2
85
$BTC
So many long BTC for of BR ETF approval, which is ok if long spot
But can you imagine if the first move on approval by MM on biggest exchanges is to take out leveraged long stops first
How much of the mkt will be wiped out only then to see BTC rally
Likely scenario imo
8
2
88
My timeline past week 👇
BTC will never trade back below 33k
LINK will never trade back into the range it spent the past 18 months trading in
SOL is replacing banks
The list goes on.....
12
4
85
The idea that people want to hold risk assets in the current environment seems crazy to me
This is without a doubt one of the most worrying periods I have experienced in the last 25 years in tradfi, feels like both a geopolitical and economic tinderbox waiting to ignite
11
2
83
If you have been sidelined patiently (or frustratingly) waiting for a dip
This is either an apparition
Or
Its the first 5% pullback in assets that have rallied 50-300% over the past 10 weeks non stop
30-50% retracements are not out of the question
5
2
84
Feeling nostalgic, my youngest childs 7th birthday today
Timely reminder that life is about experiences and relationships, not number go up, number go down
“Life moves pretty fast. If you don't stop and look around once in a while, you could miss it.” – Ferris Bueller
7
1
83
$BTC
Okay guys, time to pack it up, take profit and move to the side for now, when the BTC is the key to extending western civilzation calls come out we have arrived, thanks Brian👇
9
7
81
$SOL
Traded from 24 to 22.89 in one hour
If you are patient, trade lower time frames, and only act when BTC is about to move, it pays off with this volatility
Exposed to the market for one hour and get paid💰
Take
5
2
81
$AVAX
Q:How do you know when your fav shitcoin is in trouble?
A: When you have to keep zooming out to HTFs to find support
Had to zoom out to the monthly for AVAX
Once established under 10 targets 3
8
1
81
What I see is typically what allows markets to start falling again, short positions gone, FOMO longs at range highs will now provide the fuel, stops, for next leg lower
This has been my experience so If this ages badly so be it, I'm pretty sure I won't miss the entire bull mkt
5
3
80
Its a shame
@Ninjascalp
account is hacked at the moment because I know what he would be saying
We tolded you
17
2
77
$BTC
Mr squiggle 🤨✏️
$BTC
Not my jam
BUT
This is my expectation, 29,500/600 retest holds on top and then bear jesus steps in
Of course acceptance back above 29,500/600 and we back in range with 32k on top
5
3
100
9
3
75
$BTC
29,500/600 touched 6 times in past month, key support until its not
Im not interested at this level as plenty of bearish div and general lack of bullish momentum when bouncing from this area
Not what you wanna see if you are dip buying
26,500/27k looks the spot
$BTC
This is why most people shouldnt trade BTC on the weekend when futs are closed 👇
I can guarantee you most sold the lows over the weekend and were stopped at the highs Monday morning
This is the way
4
0
37
4
3
76
Surprised to see the lack of bounce in crypto after US equities recovered, yields dropped as did USD
Despite many shitcoins trading below Q4 opening levels, doesnt feel like the right time/place to be getting short imo, that was 3/4 days ago
I will look for the squeeze first
6
1
74
$USD
Can't escape this annoying gut feeling I have had for a while now that the USD is going to embark on an almighty rally and destroy everything in its path, and probably go higher and last longer than I think
14
3
79
$BTC ✏️slowly but surely
9
6
72
$AVAX
Just took my final profit
So glad to see quite a few people caught this move well done 👍
Won't tempt the weekend trading gods again
Will be watching this closely on Monday to see if this move above 11 ends up being one big deviation which I highly suspect it is
5
1
75
You know there is something wrong with the market when people are getting excited about a 50 cent move higher in $DOT
2
2
75
$SOL $AVAX $LDO
Thanks for playing 🙏
US yields up
USD up
Nas futs down
Crypto up 🤨
I wasnt interested in crypto today
Now I am, if the above see continuation I expect to see some nice deviations in crypto at daily highs
1
0
23
8
0
72
Full circle;
2008 - BTC created to escape banking system financial intermediaries and govts
2023 - BTC saved by Blackrock that owns the global banking system financial intermediaries and govts
13
4
71
@Trader_XO
I understand your commitment to high standards and integrity, as do your followers and anyone you have dealt with and interacted
💯 Support here 💙👊
3
0
72
No matter if you are bullish or bearish, you have to respect and thank the crypto market when it gets going for the volatlity, nothing else to trade like it
3
5
73
What goes up must come down
Fair to say shit coins are in the distribution stage, mark-down next, trade accordingly
5
3
66
Nailed this
@jam_croissant
🤝 made me some very nice💰 on shorting Nas 100
If you want to understand what's really going on under the hood in US equities I suggest you follow Cem
@jam_croissant
I find his knowledge invaluable
Who wants crumbs?? 🥐
🎥
@jam_croissant
's bakery is back open and he tells
@OJRenick
why he sees another big rotation coming in markets:
39
85
417
13
3
70
$BTC
Not rubbing shit into any top longers wounds here but it is important to look at what's going on in tradfi when trading this shiny Internet coin, at least for context, macro matters
In fact BTC is correlated more closely to tradfi than any other shitcoin
Facts
$BTC
Crazy crypto bros pick a risk off day in tradfi to force a short squeeze🤨
Gonna be pushing shit up hill to force a further short squeeze from these levels with risk off in tradfi
Or do we take out stops downside now🤔
Let the fkry begin
10
6
141
4
2
68
$USDJPY potential huge event risk this Friday
The BoJ meeting is the first for new Governor Ueda
Tweaks can't be ruled out
A 'surprise' would ripple through FX markets
👀 closely
4
6
66
@zhusu
Humble 🤨
: having or showing a modest or low estimate of one's importance
Narcissism 👍
: selfishness, involving a sense of entitlement, a lack of empathy, and a need for admiration, as characterizing a personality type
1
0
66
$SOL
Thanks for playing on the weekend 🤝
6
1
65
Last nights Binance trading halt really highlights both the vulnerability and manipulability of this market
Can draw your own conclusions but for me watching the px action pre and post Binance halt, just reminded me that Binance controls the price for most assets
2
1
65
Hell of a lot of complacency in market pricing of most everything and commentary on my feed at the moment imo
Feel like I am offside expecting that bad shit is gonna happen after the most aggressive tightening cycle globally into a market addicted to liquidity for 20 years
7
4
61
Whilst the timeline is euphoric, and AI tokens pumping, keep a close eye on tradfi AI/NASDAQ and remember crypto doesn't operate in a vacuum
No this is not cope
I am long spot PAAL, AGI, SUPER, VANRY and have been for a long while
Just an observation
5
1
63
Some seasonal trends for August 👇
Lower for DAX
Lower for AUD/JPY
Lower for AUD/USD
Lower for copper
EUR/USD neutral
Higher for gold
Lower for Nikkei
Neutral for the Nasdaq
Lower for NZD/USD
Lower for the S&P 500
Higher for 10-year bonds (i.e. falling yields)
Lower for USD/JPY
3
3
62
$SOL has it run it's course 👀
I don't buy into the BTC sideways, ALTS can rally bullshit, not in the current mkt, ALTS go where Bitcoin goes
So if there is a disconnect in strength/weakness v BTC, that's called an opportunity
7
2
60
Time to start paying attention to the monthly charts as we approach September and seasonality changes are in the air
1
4
63
$AVAX 👀
$AVAX 👀
Worth keeping a close eye on, failed to sweep stops above previous highs today (so far) and forming the start of a decent Monday range
0
2
39
8
2
62
@trader1sz
This is the irony with the market cheering BR, Fidelity ect, do people really think they want to invest in an unregulated market?
Of course not, they will be/are the driving force behind regulation to protect themselves and their customers interests
15
6
55
1/ want to do a post for those following who are new to trading (gambling) shitcoins throughout various cycles
A few things to remember, you wont become a millionare in the bull mkt, this thinking will destroy whatever gains you might make
6
11
63
$SOL
Tagged 20 (19.35) ✅
Now targeting 18.40
Daily close under 18.40 area targets towards 14
Then 9.....but thats a discussion for another day
$SOL
Tagged 22.18
Just above the 38.2% fib of recent highs to lows = weak rally
Daily close below 21.30 area targets 20 imo
3
4
60
7
7
59
$BTC
Crypto mkt once again choosing strange timing to try and force a squeeze higher when tradfi risk looks shaky at best with USD pumping, commodity ccy taking a beating, and US equity futs trading lower
Let's see how this works out
3
3
61
$DXY
DXY Index closing in on negative for the month/quarter/year
Makes no sense to me to get aggressively short USD at current levels given what US rate markets have priced into the curve
Will be looking to take the other side when liquidity improves into the new year
5
1
61
@ZFXtrading
👊 my personal favourites, present company included
@Trader_XO
@trader1sz
@Ninjascalp
@52kskew
4
2
61
For all the new bag holders this cycle I want to highlight an OG shitcoins path
You can apply this to most of the current shitcoins as they becme OGs of this cycle moving forward
Consolidation > Parabolic move up > Fresh highs > Lower highs > Volume decline 💀
7
12
58
$SOL $INJ $AVAX
Just gonna leave that here 👇
$SOL $INJ $AVAX
I haven't seen many on my timeline discussing distribution when clearly some of the larger ALTS that were early movers are experiencing it
I wonder why🤔
25
10
141
7
3
60
$DXY
I know tradfi aint sexy at the moment compared to shitcoins BUT while no one is watching this looks like a higher low on DXY to me
With FED meeting this week, and ~50% of a rate cut priced in as early as March next year....I wonder 🤔
6
2
62
$BTC
Not my trading specialty, but has spent almost one month above 29,500, 4 wicks down there
I wonder whats underneath🤔
30k buyers I hope you have wide stops
8
0
58
$SOL $AVAX
That feeling when your wife pays 30k for landscaping and SOL and AVAX pay for it in a day, thank you crypto
And on that note, 😴
7
0
59
$SOL
Tagged 22.18
Just above the 38.2% fib of recent highs to lows = weak rally
Daily close below 21.30 area targets 20 imo
$SOL
Now we wait for the dead 😼 bounce
Typically I look for a retracement somewhere in the 50-61.8% fib zone, otherwise known as the bull trap area
If the asset is very weak wont clear 38.2%
So 22.11, 22.75, 23.40 are my areas of interest
6
8
138
3
4
60
$DXY 👀
Watching closely after being rejected towards 105 which was the target zone from deviation below 100
Bearish div on daily RSI, stochs crossing lower and vol expanding off the lows
Also good confluence with US yields backing off ahead of NFP release
🎯100.50/101.50
5
7
60
$BTC
🤨
5
2
57