Tatarigami_UA
@Tatarigami_UA
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Former UA officer Founder of the Frontelligence Insight: To support my work:
Joined November 2022
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I have an important announcement to make. I've decided to start my own project, with the help of several volunteers who already assist me. Our primary focus will be to provide comprehensive analysis and deliver unique insights from war and conflict zones, with a focus on Ukraine…
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Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell recently stated that "Russia has almost completely reconstituted militarily." Frontelligence Insight has diligently observed Russian forces, their composition, and available resources. We would like to share several important points:
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Brace yourselves, because russians have once again showcased unparalleled innovation. What you are looking at is a satellite image featuring a TU-95 strategic bomber covered with car tires. According to them, this should protect strategic bombers from drones
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During the time when the Ukrainian Republic fell into Russian hands, we faced state partition, collectivization, the Red Terror, and artificial famine. Ukraine continues to resist because the alternative is much worse. Why don’t you ask Putin to just stop instead?
@elonmusk
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Key Points about Avdiivka Defense, covered in our recent analysis (full analysis available on the website listed in my bio).
Kindly like and share this thread, as our posts on Ukrainian topics are experiencing reduced visibility.
🧵Thread:
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Based on a recently uploaded video by russians, it's evident that Ukrainian forces successfully penetrated the Surovikin Line and disembarked infantry beyond it. Satellite imagery substantiates these developments, hinting at Ukrainian vehicles crossing Surovikin's Line.🧵Thread:
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I'm disappointed by the misleading article from NYT with a sensationalist headline, inaccurately claiming "In less than two months, more than twice as many women and children have been reported killed in Gaza than in Ukraine after two years of war." Here's why it's inaccurate🧵:
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Recently, I've tried to refrain from making negative statements about the overall situation. However, over the past two months, I've come across a continuous stream of statements that I find not only incorrect but also potentially harmful.
One of the most recent trends I've…
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Victoria Spartz was born and raised in the Chernihiv region, which suffered and continues to suffer from the Russian army. However, as a U.S. Representative, she spoke against the Ukrainian aid bill, admitting that she hadn't even read it
Once a traitor, always a traitor🤡
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🧵 1/16
Russian forces are revamping their assault tactics after experiencing failures with their current structure. The Battalion Tactical Groups (BTGs) are getting replaced with a new unit called the "Assault Unit" or "Assault Detachment", which I will discuss in this thread.
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Amidst the growing number of confirmed civilian casualties from the recent terrorist attack in Moscow, Putin and state-affiliated media and bloggers continue to link it to Ukraine. Given the gravity of these implications, we need to examine key details and assertions. 🧵Thread:
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I'd like to introduce a concise yet important interview with a seasoned Ukrainian company commander, known by the callsign Zmiy (Snake). He's a veteran of the 2014 and 2022 wars and offers direct insights into crucial issues. Strong language ahead.
🧵Thread:
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Exceptional thread and profound insights into the counter-offensive in the South by
@solonko1648
(Olexandr Solon'ko), servicemember of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. In his analysis, he sheds light on the situation, discussing both the challenges and achievements.
Translation:…
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Battle for Chasiv Yar. Analysis, Implications, Projection
🧵Thread:
The battle for Chasiv Yar is a litmus test for both sides. Losing control of it will have dire results for Ukraine. Failure to capture Chasiv Yar on time would raise doubts about Russia's ability to seize Donbas
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This is Sophia. She was murdered at the age of 6 by a russian missile strike in Chernihiv. Meanwhile, 64 thousand russians on Telegram laugh at her: "Chernihiv. Selling child sandals. Unworn". This is a great reminder that it's not just Putin and the "poor mobilized."
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Amid the predominant public focus on the successful ATACMS strike at Berdyansk airfield, our team has also assembled a comprehensive report on the outcomes of a similar strike at Luhansk airport, where numerous Russian attack and transport helicopters are stationed.
🧵Thread:
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When I created this account, I swore to myself that I'd only create analytical content. But the recent display of russian military genius has forced me to break that promise. Turn on the volume, as this is probably the most accurate representation of my reaction on THIS
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The Frontelligence Insight conducted a visual analysis of satellite imagery to assess the impact of a Ukrainian UAV attack on an aircraft repair facility in Taganrog, The imagery indeed validates the damage sustained by the facility.
Don't forget to like and share!
🧵Thread:
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1/ Various russian Telegram channels share a video that allegedly shows Ukrainians stopping a car with a woman and a child (the child is not seen), engaging in a verbal alteration, and then shooting at the car. This looks like a staged video, for the following reasons:
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Vuhledar 06.02 - 19:10 update: 🇺🇦
Great news. Throughout the day, the enemy attempted a series of assaults in Vuhledar's direction. Up to 30 armored vehicles of different types have been either damaged or completely destroyed. Hopefully videos will be released soon to public
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Many Western analysts and politicians make a serious mistake in thinking that Russia already suffered a defeat in Ukraine. The reality is that Ukraine has serious problems in mobilization, economics, and demographics. The collapse of statehood and the cessation of the Ukrainian…
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In recent days, Avdiivka, an operationally vital settlement near Donetsk, emerged as a frontline hotspot. Our team has prepared this brief follow-up report to offer an overview of recent developments that took place between October 10th and 11th. 🧵Thread:
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My thoughts, and brief summary on the situation:
The recent events have sparked contemplation on whether Prigozhin will endure the aftermath or succumb to its consequences. However, there is no doubt that this rebellion carries far-reaching implications.
From both external and…
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@RobertKennedyJr
Robert, thousands of Ukrainians died due to Russia's invasion. The support from the American government and its people saved thousands of Ukrainians. Appeasing foreign adversaries won't fix internal problems in the US. Giving up US foreign interests won't improve America's trade
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After days of intense combat in Avdiivka, I've decided to make a preliminary analysis of the ongoing events. I'm looking at the bigger picture, aiming to spot key patterns and notable signs that can help us understand the situation better. This analysis will cover both the…
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Essentially, three NATO and EU member countries are actively blocking a significant portion of our cargo at the border, with vital military and humanitarian aid.
What's next?
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Frontelligence Insight tracked logistical routes between Russia and North Korea, calculated delivery numbers, and identified storage points. We are disclosing North Korea’s ammo transport ecosystem – and revealing some of its crucial nodes for the first time.
🧵Thread:
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🧵Thread:
For those seeking a greater understanding of the russian soldier's perspective on the war, motivation, and attitudes, I recommend reading this thread, as I decided to compile and generalize some materials.
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As mentioned before, positive developments are happening, visually confirmed now. The situation for russians deteriorates due to ongoing losses. However, reports of a major "breakthrough" through the main defensive line (composed of multiple layers) are premature.
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While global attention is primarily on the counter-offensive in the South, there has been noteworthy yet often unnoticed progress in the southernmost part of Bakhmut's defenses. In this thread, I will provide the latest information about Kurdyumivka and its significance.🧵Thread:
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🧵1/17 You don't hear as much about the advancement of regular russian brigades, but you see reports about Wagner advancing in certain areas. While it's true that it's achieved due to extrajudicial executions and irrational losses, the situation is a little bit more complex
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As our troops advance towards the primary line of defense south of Staromlynivka, whether they proceed directly or choose to breach the line elsewhere, I'd like to share some information about the defenses and other hidden challenges of the current situation.
🧵Thread:
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🧵Thread
In light of the ongoing discussions surrounding the counter-offensive, we need to revisit the topic of mines due to its utmost importance. As I have previously emphasized, the extensive deployment of mines by Russian forces remains a significant threat to our troops.
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If Russia resorts to environmental terrorism, it shows that Ukraine has identified a vulnerable spot and should continue to apply pressure on it. Their response confirmed where it hurts.
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This topic is rarely discussed, but I feel it's important to briefly talk about it. There's a significant focus on advanced weapons like ATACMS or F16, which are expected to reshape the battlefield.
While I don't dispute the significance of these weapons, I believe the constant…
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While Ukraine fights for its existence, and its wheat fields are plundered and burned—where the Soviets once killed millions of Ukrainians by seizing their wheat—some Polish farmers attack Ukrainian trucks with grain. Hard to distinguish between Russian assets and useful idiots.
Na Dorohusku z ciężarówek rolnicy wysypali zboże, ciężarówki wracają na Ukrainę. 💪
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I'll share a few details about Tokmak-Robotyne axis, without elaborating details:
- Situation for russians worsened lately;
- They're frantically trying to prevent breakthrough;
- Claims about depleted russian reserves, reinforcements and forces for rotation are incorrect.
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🧵Vuhledar🇺🇦 update:
1/9 This thread includes additional details about the battle of Vuhledar and satellite imagery that helps to understand and visualize the situation better. I had to break this into several parts, so I can publish more imagery of russian losses later. Part 1
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🇺🇦OPINION:
Although my views may differ from those of some government officials, I'd like to express some cautionary thoughts regarding the upcoming offensive.
While I remain hopeful and committed to achieving victory, I believe it's important to temper our expectations and…
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Today, I received an interesting video featuring recorded intercepts of 🇷🇺russian radio communication, revealing orders to shoot their own retreating troops. I have translated and added subtitles to the video for greater accessibility and understanding.
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This is one of the reasons why people in the West should not harbor any illusions about the so-called Russian liberal opposition.
Maria Pevchikh is a prominent figure in the Russian liberal opposition, known for her noteworthy contributions as a journalist and her active…
Haha, just bumped into this brave NAFO fighter fearlessly carrying a rubber shark in the streets of Vilnius. Your vigorous crusade against the dead Russian tourist who was eaten alive in front of his family is truly heroic. Never give up, Lionheart.
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With our forces achieving success in Klishchiivka and Andriivka, a new "natural" frontline has emerged along the railroad, effectively separating the opposing sides. In this brief 🧵thread, I'll elaborate on the importance of this phase and provide additional context:
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Frontelligence Insight team, upon a thorough examination of multiple satellite shots spanning from October 10th to November 28th, has identified over 211 destroyed or damaged and abandoned Russian vehicles in the vicinity of Avdiivka. 🧵Thread:
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Many are curious about the remaining number of operational A-50s in Russia. I have an additional question: How many experienced and skilled crews for A-50s does Russia still have?
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🧵Today, I want to discuss and share interesting details about the inadequate training of russian troops. This insight is based on my conversations with multiple officers across the frontlines in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts who shared with me details regarding prisoners of war.
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Allow me to introduce a new thread featuring our defenders, who agreed to share their experiences and answer questions. I hope that my readers can gain a deeper understanding of the ongoing war. Today, I'm pleased to present Shootnik,
@Shootnick_14
- a national guardsman
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Amidst russia's attempt to downplay Robotyne as a negligible village in what seems like a damage control attempt, they often emphasize the size of the settlement or its population. They conveniently overlook mentioning the actual scale of allocated resources to keep that village,…
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Amid the ongoing debate about the number of operational Ka-52 helicopters on the frontlines, I've analyzed and compiled imagery of bases used for helicopter operations by the Russians. The findings are summarized in this 🧵Thread:
1/
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Thread🧵
Given the ongoing discussions regarding the Ukrainian counter-offensive, it's crucial to understand russia's echeloned defense system along the frontline, particularly in the south. These defense lines are composed of multiple obstacles that Ukrainian forces will face
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🇺🇦I want to express my sincere gratitude to the global OSINT community for their invaluable assistance in helping to save countless Ukrainian soldiers' lives by locating and preventing further harm from occupiers. Despite being dismissed by some as 'keyboard warriors,' these…
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Did Russia Suffer a Strategic Defeat? Global Concerns and Security Outlook
In the early days of the war, Russian armored columns, consisting of hundreds of tanks and APCs, broke into peaceful streets, leaving behind a trail of destruction and death. However, these columns…
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Given the current focus on minefields and mines due to the ongoing counter-offensive, I decided to illustrate a representative minefield layout. While I am unable to share the actual document, I made a comparable graphical representation to convey the specifics.
🧵Thread:
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Russian railroads are a critical component of their logistics, allowing the rapid and cost-efficient movement of substantial quantities of ammunition, vehicles, fuel, construction materials, and personnel. Here's a brief 🧵thread with an update on their logistical operations:
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🧵
1/ Despite PMC Wagner's reputation for heinous crimes and brutal tactics, certain aspects of their activities have received limited coverage. This thread illuminates the far-reaching influence of PMC Wagner and the significant security risks it poses to the global community
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Leading up to and during the counter-offensive, many independent observers underestimated the preparedness of russian defenses. Seemingly unremarkable tree lines concealed well-prepared russian positions, fortified and complemented by extensive minefields. 🧵Thread:
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As I work on a project mapping changes in russian military infrastructure, I see a troubling trend — new factories, training sites, hospitals, bases, and supplies from NK and Iran. Yet, our allies seem unaware of the gravity of the issue. No, the problem will not resolve itself
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Given recent talks in russian Telegram groups about supposed increased pressure from Ukrainian forces, I conducted a visual comparison of images taken on the 24th and 27th of September. Here, I noted distinctions and identified clear patterns. Thread:
1/
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While many experts have provided valuable assessments on the potential submarine damage in Sevastopol, I'd like to add some additional context. After further analyzing and comparing the latest images, I've identified a few noteworthy details. 🧵Thread
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Russian forces have faced notable challenges, dealing with substantial losses, logistical hurdles, morale issues, and equipment deficiencies. To further analyze, I will examine several training grounds to assess whether they have reached critical levels. 🧵Thread:
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Avdiivka Update (please note that the situation might have evolved by the time of your reading):
The situation remains difficult, with ongoing Russian pressure on both the flanks and the town of Avdiivka itself. While neither side holds complete control over the Waste Heap,…
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I had discussions with several officers in Bakhmut and its surrounding area today, and it is disheartening to note that the situation remains very challenging in the city itself. The problem stems from the fact that the russian forces maintain a significant advantage in terms of…
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The Frontelligence Insight team analyzed reports of a successful strike at Berdiansk airport using high-res imagery from September and medium-res imagery from October 17th. The analysis confirmed the strike's success. 🧵Thread:
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Thread🧵
I obtained a russian document titled "Regulation on Storm Units Z of the 8th Combined Arms Army." This document outlines the objectives, organization, and logistical requirements of 'Storm Z' units. After analyzing its contents, I have distilled the main points.
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The previous message I shared seems to have sparked a debate, prompting me to address it more comprehensively. Ukraine and its people deeply appreciate the support offered by the West, as it fosters a sense of unity similar to a family bond and helps us to stop russians.…
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When our troops liberated Kherson and advanced to the Dnipro River, the russians dispersed and relocated their equipment, helicopters, and C2 to various bases beyond the reach of HIMARS. Why is this significant, and what can be learned from this situation?
🧵Thread
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Summary of Avdiivka Situation as of 2023-10-16. 🧵Thread:
- Russian forces failed to maintain a lasting presence north of Avdiivka, despite their initial advances in the early days of the assault.
- Russians were unable to establish permanent control over the Slag Heap area.
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Despite dense cloud cover blocking satellite, drone, and optical surveillance of the Avdiivka battlefield, our team continued the analysis using Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) systems. Here is what we learned about the current situation. 🧵Thread:
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In yesterday's speech, President Zelensky stated that he has ordered a reshuffle in the command structure of the Armed Forces. However, until General Syrski, widely disrespected within the army, is replaced, substantial improvements are unlikely.
General Syrski's leadership is…
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It's tough to be surprised by anything coming from russia, but this is genuinely attention-worthy. I've heard about it twice now, from locals, and it's been confirmed by the General Staff: a construction team brought to Mariupol has been mobilized into the russian army.
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Another column of unidentified vehicles displaying unfamiliar markings has emerged near the BNR border. This development has left experts with burning questions to ponder: Who exactly are these BNR insurgents? What are their motives, and who are their leaders?🤔
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In continuation of the conversation regarding the current state of russian bases and available vehicles, today, I will cover one of the bases that belong to the 3rd Motor Rifle Division in Boguchar.
Don't forget to like and share to help with algorithm.
🧵Thread:
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From recent video geoconfirmations, it's clear that the UAF are actively operating near Verbove and Novoprokopivka. Satellite analysis, based on observable landscape changes, supports it and shows fire shifting toward both Verbove and the southern part of Novoprokopivka🧵Thread:
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Our team has been working on the North Korean deliveries project for the past several weeks, which experienced delays due to the russian assault in Avdiivka. While some official agencies and RUSI have already published certain figures and estimations, we've been concurrently…
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BBC published an article in Russian titled "Does it make sense for Ukraine to fight for Avdiivka?" In this article, several experts argue that Avdiivka lacks military significance. I disagree with this assessment, finding it misleading. Here's why. 🧵Thread:
1/
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The principles of democracy, liberty, and security assurances hold strong until they confront the unstoppable force of gas prices
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🧵Given the recent speech by Prigozhin, it is important to clarify the situation in Bakhmut. Based on compiled information that I am allowed to publish, it is true that Wagner is responsible for assaults and advances in Bakhmut. So why do things look grim on their end?
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3/ Frontelligence Insight has closely monitored multiple Russian units and noted a problem that has become more apparent since 2023 and continues to worsen in 2024: armored losses are being replaced by civilian vehicles such as vans, pickup trucks, and other unarmored vehicles
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When I hear claims that the counter-offensive becomes impossible or very difficult after the summer ends, it's essential to remind: 2022 Kherson counter-offensive started on August 29th and concluded in November, resulting in the liberation of Kherson and the entire right bank.
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Impressive thread was done by the
@Black_BirdGroup
about defenses in the south. In relation to this subject, I'd like to add additional insights and context. My intention is not to critique their presented report, but to emphasize crucial details that need to be added. 🧵Thread
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Many in the West are shocked by news of Navalny's death. The truth is that if tomorrow Putin were to put on a leather jacket, and an NKVD hat, pull out a Nagant pistol and start shooting opposition and journalists on live TV, he would only be praised as a strong national leader
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In the context of counter-offensive and minefields let's continue the review of the russian manual that offers guidelines for establishing minefields as a countermeasure against Ukrainian mechanized columns. 🧵Thread
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🧵As numerous experts argue whether the era of tanks has ended, tanks continue to play a crucial role in the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The dismissal of tank relevance leads to flawed conclusions that Ukraine doesn’t need tanks, which only worsens the situation.
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To see a victorious Ukraine, we need to re-equip the existing (as opposed to newly formed) 15-20 Ukrainian brigades with vehicles, artillery, ammo, and equipment. Two years of war take a toll on weaponry. Discussions on commitment and aid lack substance without corresponding aid.
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A great memo clarifying the facts about US aid to Ukraine, expertly debunking myths with a direct approach. Written by
@LukeDCoffey
for the US think-tank
@HudsonInstitute
. Here are the key points from "Fourteen Facts about US Aid to Ukraine."
🧵Thread:
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5/ According to Oryx, since the start of the invasion, the number of lost vehicles has surpassed 15,000, as of around 2024/03/24, including 2,856 tanks, 135 helicopters, 106 aircraft, and 20 ships. Russia cannot replace such numbers within two years, despite the Soviet legacy
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A brief 🧵thread on the Novoprokopivka-Robotyne-Verbove area updates: Through a comparative analysis of images captured on September 18th and those taken nearly two weeks ago, the landscape changes confirm the combat area and direction of current advances by the Ukrainian army
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🧵Thread:
1/
A few days ago, our fighters have noticed an unidentifiable yellow device equipped with an antenna and a flashing red beacon, which was released from an unmanned aerial vehicle at a distance of 10 meters from its intended target.
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Yesterday, there was a backlash from the Polish community for me saying that Polish actions on the border are equaling cooperation with Russia. While many Poles got very angry, the voices of many Ukrainians remained unheard in Poland for a long time. When a group of small,…
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Drawing conclusions solely from a few images and videos from the russian side doesn't provide the understanding of the situation. While I don't have all the details, I do have more knowledge than a few Twitter videos. I would advise to wait before jumping into conclusions.
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@DavidSacks
Facts:
a) U.S. counterterrorism officials told NYT that it was done by the ISIS-K;
b) ISIS has claimed responsibility;
c) The detained suspects are said to be Tajik nationals;
d) There is no evidence pointing at Ukraine.
Yet, somehow, you are trying to involve Ukraine here
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While public attention was on airfields in Luhansk and Berdyans'k, russians set up secret helicopter bases and FARPs in various locations.
This was initially exclusive to paid subscribers, but I am now releasing it, especially in light of the recent SBU strike in the region.
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Key insights from our analysis (Complete report accessible on the website provided in my bio) concerning the post-Avdiivka situation, fortifications, and anticipations.
Kindly consider liking, sharing, and following us for better visibility.
🧵Thread:
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🧵With new satellite imagery from Vuhledar revealing the extent of the catastrophe experienced by the Russian army during the winter, as well as the ongoing counter-offensive, it is crucial to explore the role of minefields and operational planning in shaping assault operations.
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🧵In my previous reports, I covered the activities of the Wagner globally. Today, the UN Human Rights Office released a report exposing mass executions carried out by the Wagner and Mali forces. Drone footage has exposed these atrocities despite attempts to conceal them.
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The current frontline dynamics reveal active attempts by Russian forces, particularly in the Kupyansk-Lyman direction, as well as the northern and southern areas of Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and Mariinka to improve their tactical situation.
Despite lacking overwhelming advantages and…
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11/ If you have found this thread valuable, please consider liking and sharing the first message of the thread. Additionally, we kindly ask for your support, as we haven't requested donations for over a month, and our resources are currently very depleted
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4/ We documented evidence of the replacement of T-72 tanks of various modifications with T-62 and T-55s in at least one tank unit. While we don't know the situation across all units, occasional videos of T-55 and T-62 in different areas suggest that this is not an isolated case
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🧵An unusual update on the Kakhovka Reservoir. Against expectations of it remaining deserted, recent on-site observations and satellite imagery have revealed an interesting development - nature is recovering rapidly as vegetation transforms the area into a flourishing reedbed:
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A brief point to ponder: the current discussion about European troops in Ukraine in 2024 stems from the fact that in 2022, Ukraine didn't receive the requested aid in the requested volumes.
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