SwingTrader
@SwingTraderQ
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charts and meditation 🧘. all posts for educational purposes only, NFA! bullish chart =\= I long; bearish chart=\=I short. always look for best R/R play.
California, USA
Joined May 2016
short gold $GLL $GLD LONG BONDS $TLT short index and AI names $IWM $PLTR $SPY $QQQ that's the trade.
I only have $4200 for gold on my book. not sure if it will run higher than that. right now I lean to believe metals, spx and dollar all will retreat from current level I'll reassess if i'm wrong in the next couple of weeks.
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that's why i said i took a small gambling long position and got lucky with early 2% up fake move. $IBIT
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🚀 $MSTR is up over 5% We posted about the $1M+ in Calls bought on $MSTR. We took this trade locking in $369 as $MSTR surged 5%. Sign-up for our 7-day free trial to see data like this!
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I have took profit on both $AMZN and $IBIT this morning. also closed $nke for a small loss.
for most ticker, the R/R for long position is not that good from both fundamental and technical perspective, but i do have some small long positions on my regular trading account: $nke 2nd time reclaimed 200dma $amzn flat for the year of 2025, good earning and reducing head count
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Stanley Druckenmiller : "If I really like the fundamental thesis and the chart stinks, I won't do it." and he explained the reason is "there is something the market knows that i don't know". every major support has broken now. It's not the time to catch the knife. $spy $spx
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It looks like today is the day $spy $gold $spx $vix
I only have $4200 for gold on my book. not sure if it will run higher than that. right now I lean to believe metals, spx and dollar all will retreat from current level I'll reassess if i'm wrong in the next couple of weeks.
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for most ticker, the R/R for long position is not that good from both fundamental and technical perspective, but i do have some small long positions on my regular trading account: $nke 2nd time reclaimed 200dma $amzn flat for the year of 2025, good earning and reducing head count
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my $QQQ call spread made some lunch money today. I was about to swing these call spread but then decided to close them 1min before option trade ended today. perfect rejection at 50dma.
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10y yield says this is a very bullish NFP despsite unemployment rate is at 4.6% which is slightly higher than expected @ 4.5% $spy $vix $tlt
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$jnk is green $rsp equal weight is green $uvix is red. bear trap for tomorrow Trump's BLS job data. $spy $spx $qqq
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weeding sickle and bull flag are 180 degrees mirror. don't get trapped bears. $spy $spx
Let's name this 3 daily dangerous pattern "weeding sickle" It appears at the top of an uptrned or a continuation of a downtrend. It includes 3 slightly rising daily candle (sickle head) and then it follows with a significant drawdown(sickle handle). hope this can help future
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I love what i learned from the teacher how to use 5 different methods to neutralize 5 different poisonous thoughts. espeically the 2nd one: use concentration(Chan, or meditation) to correct anger/hatred. He asked us: have you ever seen any angry person during practicing
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Use 2024 total trade number (import + export = $7 trillion in 2024), to reach $18trillion, that means we need charge both export license fee + import tariff about 270% to reach $18 trillion. Conclusion: politicians don’t lie , they only make astronomical lies.
🚨 BREAKING: President Trump takes HUGE victory lap on the "Experts" 🔥 "Because of the tariffs, we've taken in $18 TRILLION. There's never been anything like it! The Biden admin took in less than $1 trillion in 4 years. We took in more than $18T in 10 months. That's good!"
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Long beach port container numbers drastic decreased pre-covid crash. that was a good indicator if people paid attention back then. $spy $spx $vix
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market topped when Long Beach port imp/exp container numbers dropped more than 5% in 2 consecutive months. last time this happened in July 2007. this time it started August 2025. so let's see how good this indicator is. I know goods is not big part of the economy, but
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glad not to be at the crowded side of the trade.
For posterity sake, the only people that were actually non-consensus bullish bonds: @yieldsearcher
@commonsenseplay
@MillennialRisk
@SwingTraderQ
@levenson_david
@Gupalo1974
@FibonacciInves1
@Micro2Macr0 Basically everyone else is short (including the bond kings) $TLT
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skew says spx is in the topping process. but i have no short position right now. I may long some puts if it breaks below $spy 675 or breakout above $692-$694 range.
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