Sherblock Holmes
@Sherblockchain
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Freelance crypto & blockchain researcher, analyst, product strategist & advisor. Not a financial advisor.
United Kingdom
Joined February 2021
Web 1.0 = pre-internet products go online Web 2.0 = user becomes the product, centralised platforms compete for your attention to sell advertising space & user data Web 3.0 = blends our digital lives into our real lives & users own (& benefit from) a stake in products they use
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Is #Bitcoin dead yet? Considering hibernating for 6 months…
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Gary G is shilling BTC on Twitter and you don't think an ETF is coming anon?
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If Satoshi Nakamoto went as Satoshi Nakamoto for Halloween, would we be able to tell? Happy 15th anniversary to Satoshi’s famous white paper that started crypto. Any crypto companies that are tricking investors should start treating them to compliance with the securities laws.
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Grayscale has won their lawsuit against the SEC regarding their Bitcoin spot ETF
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The courts have spoken -- between Ripple winning their suit and now Grayscale winning their suit, Gary Gensler and the SEC look like absolute clowns.
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Just think about the backdrop; who does it serve to make you believe another collapse is on its way? Perhaps the elites currently quietly awaiting their Spot ETF’s? The message on Binance is spreading far faster & more efficiently than FTX… Who wants us to believe this?
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The more people talk about a #Binance collapse the less I believe it’ll happen. While I believe the problems with Binance are real; we approach the anniversary of the FTX collapse & everyone expects history to repeat itself… Makes me think it won’t…
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An interesting perspective; by historical standards we are far from being over valued & not far off average expected performance (midpoint) Not wedded to the idea, nor am I trading on, or expecting it. Just interesting to share @intocryptoverse @GarethSoloway @StockmoneyL
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@100trillionUSD @intocryptoverse @wclemente @dylanleclair @all_things_btc @100trillionUSD simplest way to build this would be Past dates = S2F * BTC dominance on the date Future dates = S2F * live BTC dominance
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Would also really appreciate any thoughts from your wonderful minds too - again, open to critiques; @RaoulGMI @investanswers @rektcapital @coinbureau @hashoshi4 @APompliano @NewsAsset @therationalroot
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@100trillionUSD would appreciate your thoughts & support to create a living version of this idea published on your website! Absolutely open to critiques from any & all... @intocryptoverse @wclemente @dylanleclair @all_things_btc would particularly appreciate your feedback!
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So actionable insight time; how could we use this? Maybe we should look at the S2F models as an indicator of where $BTC *SHOULD* be We could multiply the S2F models by current $BTC dominance to create a moving model that subsequently changes its forecast based on $BTC dominance
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So, following this dubiously speculative logic; what price would $BTC have hit at its ATH if alts did not exist? c.$160k per $BTC. & the price would have exceeded some of the lower bounds on @100trillionUSD's #S2F / #S2Fx models.
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If alts didn't exist, the same capital would likely have deployed in $BTC. So lets assume, if alts did not exist; the total crypto market cap would be at the same/similar levels but would be comprised of 100% $BTC.
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Interesting thought on the impact of the broader Crypto Market to $BTC's performance relative to the #S2F type models & similar Most models called for >$100k $BTC As traders cycle between alts - $BTC, its clear the existence of so many alts is a suppressive force on $BTC price
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Cash is here to stay; Bank of England. https://t.co/u5xJZLKRuq
@coinbureau @krupda42 @hashoshi4 @NewsAsset worth a read guys. #Bitcoin #Crypto
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