Waiting for Tropical Storm Melissa this coming week: high chance of Caribbean storm coming online by next weekend. Potential for a hurricane, even a major with a concerning track out of the Caribbean, as with any late October system. Update post: https://t.co/9Oxt9BSxK4

The forecast trough next week looks deep enough to dislodge 98L from the Carib. "IF" it doesn't just come around the subtropical ridge later this week per some of the guidance. There are many solutions on where its going and how strong it becomes, but no real confidence on

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Les données satellites et de surface montrent que #98L, qui traverse les îles du Vent, n’a pas encore de circulation fermée. Mais les orages s’organisent peu à peu. Le système avance vite vers l’ouest (30-40 km/h), ce qui limite son développement à court terme. 🌬️🌧️

Comparison between ECMWF EPS full-physics and AIFS (trained) solutions Western Caribbean is VERY warm + low-shear = quickly spin up any vortex into powerful hurricane. From GFS, quicker dev prior to Jamaica longitude would mean abrupt turn NNE out into open Atlantic.

Jimbo Fisher still has a home in Tallahassee. His artificial tree was picked up by fans prior to his move to College Station by private jet, which went poorly.

📉 After Russia 🇷🇺 yesterday, Mongolia 🇲🇳 has just recorded its first -30°C of the season and this is exceptionally low for this time of year! 🥶 🌡️-30.9°C Khatgal ➡️ 3rd lowest October temperature since records began in 1963 (record: -33.0°C in 1976)! 🌡️-30.2°C Tsetsen-Uul

Weirdly enough, she re-uses a LOT of AccuWeather content. 😬

Only the hottest garbage from the Daily Mail science editor. She cobbles together (steals) content from elsewhere and butchers it into tabloid / gutter quality articles. Rinse and repeat.

AccuWeather implying that NHC was somehow negligent in not naming a (sub)tropical storm based upon impacts to land. That's not how it works, and they know that. 😬

Taylor Swift's song Father Figure is NOT a cover of George Michael's 1987 timeless classic.

Great post from Professor Weinkle explaining the cozy relationships within the climate alarmism / insurance industry ecosystem.

Ocean waters are very warm in the Caribbean -- as you'd expect in the deep tropics into late October. Any Category of hurricane can form/intensify so we must monitor any tropical waves that make it through vertical wind shear gauntlet. 26°C SSTs now cut-off at 30°N latitude

Hurricane Season Update | Friday October 17, 2025 Watching tropical wave moving westward into the Caribbean [30% chance NHC] Ensemble models uncertain about timing/location of development in 7-10 days but seems likely "something" will fire up Post (📬) https://t.co/DiLDM1BIGW

Plenty of Rocky Mountain snowfall for the next 2 weeks, but only some hints of wintery weather east of the Continental Divide. Snowfall through end of the month of October (ECMWF 12z)

Thursday Weather | October 16, 2025 | Forecast ahead for week Strong storm system develops along Ohio River Valley into New England Mon-Tues NHC watching Caribbean (20%) for tropical storm next week. Some models continue to blow up monsters. Post 📬 https://t.co/PilLOSSRuU

@FLClimateCenter Some have argued that 1720-1800 is the more appropriate "pre-industrial" baseline, and the temperatures from 1850-1900 might be biased low due to volcanic activity. My question still remains -- without GHG, we'd have the climate of the late 1700s? https://t.co/ulrzDnDvo3

@RyanMaue