Certified Broadcast Meteorologist and AMS Fellow. WX GEEK at TWC for 37+ years. Always awaiting mother natures latest temper tantrum. The journey is the reward.
Well that didn't take long.
#Lee
has gone from a 75mph hurricane 24 hours ago to a 130mph beast. Likely another cat5 on the way... Almost a double rapid intensifier. Impressive to say the least. Still much to be watched into next week as steering sets up. Any potential direct…
Truth be told we have a stronger
#Idalia
than what we thought we would have at this time yesterday morning. NHC has noted this and also stated it could be close to a major hurricane at landfall. There may be a hair of shear this morning but Idalia is expected to be a hurricane…
The most intense damage I have found in
#Mayfield
. The entire path in the town is less than 2% of the total path length. Homes with only slabs remaining.
#Tornado
#wxtwitter
Since so many of you are asking I will address this with a tweet.
Yes I am going to Florida. I am still sorting out details with TWC, but I wanted to get the newest data before making a decision. I am going to be on air Monday morning from 6-9am on
@AMHQ
then traveling with my…
Speaking of the tropics: The classic Cabo Verde wave just off Africa is our next area to watch
#invest95L
(NHC at 70%).
It could be impacting the Lesser Antilles a week from today then continue westward or start northward at some point around this islands. There is confidence…
#invest95L
is heading towards the Caribbean likely setting its sights on the northeastern part or open waters to the north. Most guidance has it a hurricane by day4 ramping it up as it moves through the MDR. This could be a big deal if it stays low and goes through the…
Thank you all for the heartfelt comments about my TWC anniversary. It’s been a wild 34 years. I have to thank all that got me here, keep me here and believe in me still today. I believe in the weather enterprise and I am truly humbled to be one of its faithful servants.
All eyes on
#Lee
as its completed a >DOUBLE rapid intensification cycle going from 80mph at 11pm yesterday to 160mph at the 11pm tonight. RI usually is 35mph in 24 hours... That's 80mph in 24hours. Incredible. This is our 8th Cat5 since 2016. According to
@philklotzbach
only…
Even though almost all of the ensemble blend members don't touch the USA, its all about the trends at this point versus actual individual operational model output. Therefore, lets watch how the some of these western players shake out. The farther west we go the harder it is to…
Recent trends from model guidance have brought
#Lee
back west enough so that it has put southeastern New England in the NHC track cone. It should be noted that track guidance can error by hundreds of miles for this time out 5-6 days. That said, Lee will likely be an expanding…
Ocean waves rolling on to Daytona Beach Shores with nothing to stop them except what’s left of pools and concrete slabs. There are no beaches and there are no dunes. These beaches are like open wounds to the condos, homes, and hotels that line the shoreline.
Last night in Fairbanks we had some amazing pink colors caued by high-energy nitrogen emissions during a brief but intense substorm.
I like to call this "watermelon aurora." 🍉
WATCH: The current scene at Frying Pan Tower, located 34 miles off the North Carolina coast, as Hurricane Florence approaches.
Latest:
(Video via -
@exploreorg
)
Drove to Abraham Lake during a storm for portraits. Upon arrival the clouds started to clear and one of the most BEAUTIFUL RAINBOWS I’ve ever seen was above us. What makes this even more MAGICAL is that this was the SPOT where the groom had PROPOSED! ✨🌈
#abstorm
#justmarried
As for the steering: No question as to where it goes heading into the weekend. Lots of model agreement steering it west around the Atlantic subtropical ridge through Sunday, but after that the guidance has different ideas where it wants to put future drivers to
#Lee
It's not…
Model ensemble blend look at
#Lee
next week. Some solutions into late next week (shown below) are too close to ignore. Some don't touch land. This is all common with something in the 7-10 day away range. Plus the simple fact that track errors go up rapidly after 5 days which…
Ummmm... never seen a gator during live shots on the MS river here in New Orleans. High water invites new friends to unfamiliar places I guess. He’s swimming up river by the way.
#Barry
As
#Lee
continue to slow down, deal with shear, dry air and internal structural issues guidance continues to fine tune how it will or won’t impact the east coast of North America later this week. Without question waves and dangerous surf remain the number one threat to the east…
A dangerous 36 hours lies ahead for millions of you. Prepare as best you can for the life threatening severe storms that lie ahead. Make sure you have a plan and a way to receive your WARNINGS, many which will be for TORNADOES. God Bless everyone in the path of these storms.
As the sun sets on powerful developing
#Idalia
dangerous storm surge is heading north. The water will rise overnight and in the morning in many areas along Florida's west coast. Be safe all.
#Lee
will be given every opportunity to be all it can be as it continues west through the tropical Atlantic. It will likely join the list of prominent September rapid intensifiers which is larger than any other month in this category. Intensity 4casts bring it to major…
#hilary
has turned into an absolute beast overnight taking on Cat4 status and likely further holding its own today over warm water. However, that is not going to last as colder water awaits hilary by late weekend which will bring its energy down. That said, tropical systems…
On the heels of
#Lee
and Margot is
#invest97L
and it’s larger relative near Africa. These two should blend in time. Given it’s the heart of the hurricane season and the entire basin is ripe, this new system may follow a similar path that Lee has traveled thus far. By NEXT…
Whatever this becomes it will come quick and by Monday may have it’s sights set on Florida. Don’t be caught off guard! As of the time of this post, this system is not even an invest yet.
SW FLORIDA GREEN FLASH! ☀️✨Can only be seen for a second or two during perfect conditions. Fort Myers Beach at sunset Friday! Credit: Scott Novello
#swfl
@spann
@JimCantore
@StormHour
Waking up to dual hot towers on
#ida
rotating around each other.
Deep convection around the center on opposing sides is usually a classic signal for rapid intensification. Ida will likely be a very dangerous Cat4 at landfall. Finish all preparations today.
📡 Key West radar has had a busy night, but not because of weather! The most impressive display of migratory birds so far this year occurred overnight. This product shows biological targets in green/yellow flying north over the Keys. Showers/rain are depicted in darker blues. 🐦
Boy I'll tell you whatever is sitting off northeast coast Thursday is going to be one hell of a storm! May be known more for wind, waves than snow. God help us if it shifts west. ECMWF deepens it to 945mb off southern tip of Nova Scotia early Friday morning. 100mph gusts poss.
Today is a big day for
#Idalia
High ocean heat content and lighter shear is expected to allow the storm to develop further today with a forecast of major hurricane at landfall continueing from NHC at this time of this tweet. This is forecast by many dynamic models so if this…
Even though we have seen
#Florence
weakening some today its important to note the size of the hurricane and tropical storm wind fields have expanded. Tropical storm force winds are almost 400 miles across and the hurricane winds are 140 miles across. Don't focus on the category
What a nice treat looking up in the sky this afternoon here in
#atlanta
and seeing this circumzenithal arc right above me. It came and went with the strokes of fast moving cirrus, but oh sooooo pretty for just a few seconds!
"Never seen anything like that!"
Onlookers couldn’t believe their eyes as a herd of elk came running through the waves along the Oregon coast, steering clear of high tide.
In 24 hours we will be in the first quarter of a historic hurricane. As stressful as this is, I hope all of you obeyed the evacuation order, prepared your homes, and your families are safe. The rainfall forecasts below could exceed state records in North and South Carolina.