Rustam Jamilov
@RustamJamilov
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Postdoctoral Research Fellow at All Souls College, @UniofOxford | Economics
Earth
Joined March 2009
🚨New paper that provides comprehensive, macro-historical empirical support for the conflict view of inflation. Paper:
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As expected, Alena was a star of the market.
Alena will be one of the stars of this year's economics job market. No doubt. Her main paper elegantly transposes novel experimental evidence into a Morris-Shin model. She also has two publications and several projects in the pipeline.
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RT @voxeu: Climate change, firms, and aggregate productivity.Andrea Caggese @UPFBarcelona, @andrea_chiavari, @SampreetGoraya, Carolina Vill….
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RT @BPellegrino_CBS: 1)📢 Excited to share a new paper with the awesome @DamienCapelle. "Unbalanced Financial Globalization".(available on m….
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Wonderful public good!.
🚀 Update: Global Macro Database (GMD), 2025-06🚀. We just published the second update of the most comprehensive macroeconomic dataset ever assembled. Thanks to all who sent feedback—your input is what continuously improves this public good. 🧵 Thread.
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RT @SorryToBeKurt: A puzzle of the "Great Inflation" of 2021-24: Why did U.S. house prices stay so resilient while those in Sweden & Canada….
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RT @AEAjournals: Forthcoming in the JEL: "How Do Central Banks Control Inflation? A Guide for the Perplexed" by Laura Castillo-Martinez and….
aeaweb.org
(Forthcoming Article) - Central banks have a primary goal of price stability. They pursue it using tools that include the interest they pay on reserves, the size and the composition of their balance...
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All data is publically available: Comments and feedback welcome!.
priceconflict.com
Measuring Conflict Inflation since 1860 by Rustam Jamilov
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This empirical work was inspired by the "Inflation is Conflict" theory paper by @guido_lorenzoni and @IvanWerning. Many more references in the paper.
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Greater price conflict is associated with higher inflation expectations of professional forecasters and central bankers, but not of households.
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Positive changes in the price conflict index foreshadow high inflation, low real wages, reduced output and stock returns, and elevated unemployment.
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Variation in the price conflict index stems from industrial actions, tax rate changes, and political pressure on the Federal Reserve.
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Six new topical measures of conflict on specific price units.
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A new quarterly price conflict index over 1860-2023 - PCI - that leverages newspaper text and recent advances in Generative AI and LLMs.
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The rise of NBFIs is a response to bank regulation, no question. The vertical line and text are mine. The picture is from this nice paper:
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RT @SorryToBeKurt: Who pays the price for oil shocks? Our new research on 45 years of German data shows it's low-income workers. Their earn….
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RT @SashaTalavera: How the war has affected scientific research in Ukraine via @cepr_org.
cepr.org
Russia's 2014 invasion of Ukraine has devastated Ukraine's scientific productivity. This column examines the war's impact on Ukrainian research output, drawing on a dataset of over half a million...
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RT @JIntlEcon: New at JIE: "Monetary Unions with Heterogeneous Fiscal Space", by Marco Bellifemine (@m_bellifemine), Adrien Couturier (@Adr….
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The much improved draft of "HBANK: Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Banks" with @m_bellifemine and @monacelt is now available online. Now in sequence space. Link:
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RT @monacelt: 📣New thoroughly revised version of our paper "HBANK: Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Banks".#econtwitter.Bewley-type model….
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