Reid Fravert
@ReidFravert
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philosopher, demographer, demand driven cartographer
Birmingham, AL
Joined December 2023
Demography and Economy are the study of the same thing, human behavior. Visualizing these behaviors in realtime, on a map, is the holy grail of actionable intelligence.
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Lifetime contribution per immigrant: 🟢North America: +$573,000 🟢Scandinavia: +$557,000 🟢Oceania: +$476,000 🟢Japan: +$525,000 🟢UK: +$481,000 🔻Somalia: -$1.1 million 🔻Caribbean: -$675,000 🔻Middle East: -$624,000 🔻Latin America: -$271,000 🔻Sub-Saharan Africa: -$730,000
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I was told this was a conspiracy theory. It’s actually a 177-page UN report. https://t.co/KKhPPtXGqQ
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After decades of holding steady around age 30, the speed at which we went from early 30s to 40 is just insane
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Very interesting graphic. Would suggest it is more affiliated with religious belief than political belief, but non-the-less.
And so red states are growing while blue states are dying out. Blue states like Minnesota try to support families with benefits like extended family leave and universal pre-K, but pronatal culture matters much more. Conservatives have it while liberals increasingly do not. 4/4
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Births & Deaths of Non-Hispanic Whites in the USA from 1989-2024. (1/3)
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Over 100 years of usury against the western world produced a shift in politics, economics, and culture. Over generations it has changed women’s attitudes towards desired numbers of children. Among many other issues. Bad money is the culprit.
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Let’s say the nesting threshold is $50K. If I add 10% to the money supply thru inflation, the nesting threshold becomes $55K. You now have to spend 10% more of your year to sustain that child. At what point do you have fewer children?
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Greece final 2024 births 68,309 deaths 125,873 natural decrease 57,564 net migration 54,135
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Nancy Pelosi absolutely DESTROYED Warren Buffett in the stock market since 2012.. This is insanity.
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Usury is a tax on your time. Imagine a forest with 1M trees. I draw 2% of its groundwater each year. Is it unreasonable to assume not all trees survive, produces fewer acorns, and over time, the forest gets smaller?
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Usury
Why is the US fertility rate lower now than it was during the Great Depression?
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this is insane 0.75 births per woman for every 100 people today, 3 generations from now there will be 5. FIVE a 95% population collapse in ~60 years we are watching a civilization disappear in real time
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You’re both wrong, it’s usury
@jeffreyweichsel People are choosing careers and hedonism over children
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It’s usury. Dozens of examples dating back to the Roman Empire.
i'm actually 100% serious when I say the UN should set up a Svalbard-style sperm bank + egg bank to preserve Korean gametes and reintroduce them to the wild once we've solved the root causes of the fertility crisis
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It’s usury. It impacts politics, economics, and culture. In-fertility is not an isolated phenomenon. It’s tied to bad money.
A must-read article by @PMArslanagic in Works in Progress on major causes of low Korean fertility. Plunging marriage rates, severe motherhood penalties, burdensome cram schools for kids and the long shadow of years of population control propaganda all pull birthrates downward.
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It’s a change in paradigm. Families then may have been poorer, but little to no debt. Youths today have a lifetime of debt taxing their time, competing in an international labor pool. Fighting hyperinflation. Jim’s a boomer with no insights on the ground.
In the 1950s, families lived in small houses with no AC, one car, and no savings. They had four kids. Today, we have the highest standard of living in history and zero kids. Stop blaming the "cost of living." It is a fundamental change in character.
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Usury is the culprit. Whenever a country takes out a massive loan to industrialize, it will debase its currency to service the debt. Debasement is a tax on your time. Tax on time increases the nesting threshold. Hence fewer kids.
Demographically, China is an even bigger disaster than Europe. China’s demographic situation is not just "bad"; it is arguably the most severe peacetime demographic collapse in recorded history. The country faces a "perfect storm" of shrinking workforce, collapsing fertility,
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Usury is a taxation on your time. Dollar debasement is a tax on your time. Unsound money raises the nesting threshold. Raising children requires more time (to the economy) than ever. Therefore, fewer children are being had.
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