More Births
@MoreBirths
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Ideas for reversing the collapse in global fertility, the greatest challenge of our age. Humanity is precious. HT to many great demographers and data analysts.
Washington, D.C. area
Joined December 2022
"I just noticed that low birthrates are a problem two minutes ago, but having tried almost nothing, I conclude that nothing works.". Here is a list to start with. None of these are incompatible with a free, liberal society.
The only thing I can think of that would have even a slight chance of working -- other than returning society to preindustrial standards of living -- is to cut off old-age health and pension benefits to childless people. (I expect China to try this soon.).
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Here is a list of policies to start with, based on a range of factors that drive fertility. These are all compatible with a free, liberal society, and almost none of them are being done.
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Happy Independence Day! 🇺🇸 🎇. Enjoy this 2-minute map of America's extraordinary growth from 1776 until today. Fueled by large families and a pioneering mindset, America grew from 2.5 million in 1776 to 330 million now. This was the fastest sustained growth in world history.
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An important thread and article by @miriam_cates. "The costs of parenthood are privatised, while the economic benefits of those children – a lifetime of tax contributions – are entirely socialised. We must find ways to restore the personal economic rewards of having children.".
The global ‘baby bust’ is the biggest threat facing humanity. Yet many people still think that falling population is a good thing, or that nothing can be done. They’re wrong. So how do we change their minds? A 🧵 1/.
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Extraordinarily low birthrates are being recorded in 2025. Demographers define "ultra-low fertility" as below 1.3 births/woman -- some 29 countries were that low. Countries at ~1.0 or less: Lithuania, Poland, Costa Rica, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Thailand and Singapore.
We are now halfway through 2025 and it's time for the monthly birth update. For the overwhelming number of countries that have provided data so far, 2025 will bring yet another significant decline of the birth rate.
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"My qualitative research has taught me one thing: culture is malleable! So surely this issue is fixable!".Yes! @_alice_evans' global fieldwork studying how culture drives family is second to none. "Interventions will be most effective if they target country-specific" conditions.
How do we Boost Birth Rates?.
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RT @aaron_renn: I'm very excited to be able to host this conversation with @MoreBirths about the fertility crisis that might sink civilizat….
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An important essay by @MarcNovicoff in The Atlantic. The birth rate crisis is much worse than we think, because the UN numbers have been, and continue to be, far too rosy. Gift article linked below:
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In my newest article, I debunk the popular misconception that we can expect to have a better world if there are fewer people. Economists have shown that progress comes through large populations and population decline hasn't been associated with flourishing but the very opposite.
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RT @Molson_Hart: Next time your kids scream in public and someone without kids seems annoyed, remember they’re free-riding. Our species is….
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An important point by @ElonMusk about birthrates. If you add the modern norm of two kids per family to the fact that a large fraction will be childless, you end up far below replacement, so you really need at least a three-child norm. The two-child standard is very recent!
People who have kids do need to have 3 kids to make up for those who have 0 or 1 kid or population will collapse.
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Co-author of Superabundance @Marian_L_Tupy explains the counterintuitive fact that resources became MORE abundant rather than scarcer as populations grew, because of greater numbers of smart people working together. But that means that population decline will make us all poorer.
Population growth is slowing, and some say that’s a threat to innovation, economic stability and global progress. @rogerrream talks with @Marian_L_Tupy of the @CatoInstitute about what a shrinking population means for the future. Listen now at
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RT @BradWilcoxIFS: Yesterday, a student asked: what do you mean when you say much of the left is anti-natal? . And almost on cue. today’s….
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I have a great discussion with @aaron_renn on why the birthrate crisis will be more severe than most people realize, what the major drivers are, and most importantly, what are some ways to turn things around, especially in policy. Link below, please share!
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Senator Lee announced last night that he has narrowed his bill further removing all forest service land from consideration. So any green areas on this map would no longer be part of any sale.
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At left, the tiny fraction of federal lands near population centers that would actually be eligible for sale to help relieve the housing crisis. At right, the misleading map by the Wilderness Society which showed eligible lands as ALL USFS and BLM land. Thanks, @JagE11912532
Created a new version of the federal land sale map which now EXCLUDES protected areas, like national parks, wilderness areas, etc, as specified in the bill. This is the land that meets all of the criteria to sell IF the state allows it.
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RT @robinhanson: I realize I am getting more upset over this professional malpractice. Assuming that a serious problem will just solve itse….
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RT @DainVenning: @MoreBirths Exactly why you always see the lowest birth rates in dense cities. As much as urban planners might not like su….
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