Chris Ciovacco Private
@PrivateChrisC
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Exclusive discussions on Stock markets, featuring in-depth price action analysis. Limited to Elite Members only. Main Page: @CiovaccoCapital
Atlanta
Joined December 2011
Stock Market Bubble: Is It Time To Get Out? Details, History, Studies, Scores & Charts: https://t.co/qtbogkP5P5
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5 of 11 $SPX sectors are reporting double-digit (Y/Y) earnings growth for Q3, led by the Information Technology sector at 27%. #earnings, #earningsinsight, https://t.co/d0Qf5MKqHR
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Maybe you’ve heard this somewhere before, BUT: Overly gloomy sentiment tends to be good for stocks. Different this time? @sentimentrader
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On November 3, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q3 2025 is 4.0%: https://t.co/T7FoDdgYos.
#ATLFedResearch Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: https://t.co/NOSwMl7Jms.
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We traded long walks for long hours sitting. We traded playing for scrolling. We traded movement for convenience. And then we said, “I’m getting old.” But what if the body isn’t aging as fast as the habit is? What if the stiffness, the soreness, the fatigue isn’t the body
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Pinned to top of @CiovaccoCapital feed.
Weekend Video (no paywall) will cover: AI Bubble History & Psychology of Bubbles Surprising Secular Trend Data AI Timeline (where are we) AI: Innovation Driver Tech Sector (how much damage) S&P 500 (how much damage) Other Voices Market Studies CCM Model Scores Should be
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Thanks in advance to those who take the time to retweet & fav/like the weekly video tweet that is pinned to the top of our feed (see above).
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A big thank you to Kathy Ciovacco for her excellent research that was conducted for this week's video!
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Fed's Williams: Fed may soon need to expand balance sheet for liquidity needs
reuters.com
The U.S. Federal Reserve may soon need to grow its balance sheet through bond purchases and could consider shortening the average duration of its debt holdings, Federal Reserve Bank of New York...
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Will cover today's consumer sentiment data in video.
Consumer sentiment is nearing record lows, now down to its lowest reading in more than three years • June 2022 50.0 (record low) • November 2025 50.3
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Weekend Video (no paywall) will cover: AI Bubble History & Psychology of Bubbles Surprising Secular Trend Data AI Timeline (where are we) AI: Innovation Driver Tech Sector (how much damage) S&P 500 (how much damage) Other Voices Market Studies CCM Model Scores Should be
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Context: Based on today's intraday low, the S&P 500 has pulled back 2.56% from the recent closing high.
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At the moment "the charts in front of us" align with the analysis below. If bad things are going to happen, the charts in front of us will begin to shift in a material manner. Day by day with an open mind. Trade the chart in front of you.
The S&P 500 was down more than 15% YTD in April, but will likely close up double digits. 2025 will join 1982, 2009, and 2020 as the only other years to do this. Turns out, slingshots are quite powerful, as the next year has been up double digits every single time. 🐂🎯
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"The good news in the latest M-PMI report is that inflationary pressures, which rose earlier this year as a result of tariffs, may be abating already (chart)." Yardeni Research
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Leave it to @SubuTrade (sourced via the @dailychartbook nightly email) to put numbers to Ed Yardeni's observation that the SPX is 13% above its 200-DMA. Historically, consistent with Ed's note, it's meant a short term pullback with negative returns in the next one and two
Yardeni: The S&P 500 may be due for a pullback now that it is 13% above its 200-day moving average (chart).
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Shorter-term view of areas of possible support. SPX SPY VOO (click image to enlarge).
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