Jay Kaeppel Profile
Jay Kaeppel

@jaykaeppel

Followers
21K
Following
3K
Media
2K
Statuses
6K

Jay is Senior Market Analyst at https://t.co/BNBZdQZHaj and author of Seasonal Stock Market Trends (Wiley). Trader, writer, instructor and former CTA.

Illinois
Joined June 2010
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
18 hours
Large-cap tech is surging relative to equal-weight tech. Will this trend last forever? No. Am I going to try to pick the top? Also no. @sentimentrader
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
18 hours
Dec Gold futures tried and failed for the fifth time to hold above $3,500. What, me worry (uh, yeah, kinda). @sentimentrader
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
1 day
Where is Ethereum headed next? .Keep an eye on this “line in the sand.".ABOVE = GOOD .BELOW = NOT SO GOOD (and potentially bad) .Jay’s Trading Maxim #7: Trading doesn’t have to be rocket science. @sentimentrader $ETHA.
@DJwrath
David Rath
2 days
Ethereum approaching a potential resistance area on the weekly. $ETH
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
1 day
Jay’s Trading Maxims:.#55: Drawing lines on a chart is different than making money.#56: You can see whatever you want to see in a bar chart.
@FrankCappelleri
Frank Cappelleri
2 days
$SPX Same chart. Two very different patterns. Your bias determines what you see.
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
2 days
Illustrating once again why bottom-picking is fraught with peril (Pro tip: When you just can't fight the urge, consider a small position using options).
@bluechipdaily
Larry Tentarelli, Blue Chip Daily
2 days
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
2 days
Let's face it, the "average" stock sucks. Do some homework, develop a strategy or two (be sure to build in risk controls) and make your mark. You don't have to be Warren Buffet. But you can definitely do better than this chart! @sentimentrader.
@nullcharts
Ricardo Sarraf
3 days
The Median Stock is holding the line.$VALUG
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
2 days
Where’s the market headed next? Keep an eye on this “line in the sand:”6,468.50 on Sep S&P 500 futures. ABOVE = GOOD.BELOW = NOT SO GOOD (and potentially bad).Jay’s Trading Maxim #7: Trading doesn’t have to be rocket science. @sentimentrader
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
3 days
Non-US stocks charged into the lead against US stocks earlier this year. Now that leading is fading (as it has repeatedly done in the last 15 years). Can non-US stocks reassert themselves?.Which way are you betting? .@sentimentrader
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
3 days
Re Gold stocks:.*The trend-follower in me is ecstatic. *The swing trader in me is nervous. *The contrarian in me is scared to death. Still wearing the trend-following hat…for now. @sentimentrader
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
3 days
Still hoping for a seasonal rally in t-bonds, BUT this is not a positive development. The “line in the sand” has been drawn. @sentimentrader
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
4 days
Never any guarantees with chart patterns nor with semiconductors. That said, this is NOT bearish.
@FrankCappelleri
Frank Cappelleri
5 days
$SMH Semiconductors. New all-time high last month 📈 — look familiar?. The chart shows 5 prior multi-year breakouts to new all-time highs. Only one failed to hold the breakout point (COVID crash). So. If SMH can keep climbing from this recent breakout zone, history
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
5 days
When I see a “The more XYZ stock drops, the more I buy” article, I think:.“Admirable courage of conviction”.“Yes, it could work out”.“What a great way to potentially lose a crap ton of money”.I am more inclined to cut my lose short and take another shot somewhere down the road.
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
5 days
Jay Trading Maxim #9: There are many trading methods that work well. The trick is to figure out what works well for you.
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
5 days
Indicators don’t always work as expected – and that can be a good thing. The 50-day MA of the @Sentimentrader Short-Term Risk Levels indicator is above 6.3. History suggests that’s not a bad thing.
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
8 days
Look who noticed - and is loading up. (Interestingly, neither valuation nor insider buying is a "precision timing tool". BUT they are rarely wrong in the longer -term).
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@MikeZaccardi
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖
8 days
S&P 500 sector P/E valuations. Health Care is deathbed-cheap
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
8 days
The Copper/Gold Ratio dropped again below 0.17. Why would this matter to the stock market? It beats me. But to a proud graduate of “The School of Whatever Works” (Good ‘ole SWW), the numbers are what they are. @Sentimentrader
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
9 days
There are never any guarantees with seasonality. That said, it's soon or never for TLT. @sentimentrader
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
9 days
One of my favorite trend filters (SMH vs. XLU) remains favorable for the market. This despite the fact that XLU has been extremely strong. Am I concerned about the potential for a seasonal pullback? Yes. But as a trend-follower first, what’s a guy to do? @sentimentrader
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
9 days
Still long with a stop below the red horizontal line. Poised to pop? Or another beautiful setup that gets shot to hell?.It beats me. Hence the long position. and the stop. @sentimentrader.
@HostileCharts
Larry Thompson, CMT CPA
10 days
$IBIT - iShares Bitcoin Trust. Still just consolidating.
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
9 days
As I was saying. Another warning sign re Copper. @sentimentrader @KimbleCharting
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@jaykaeppel
Jay Kaeppel
12 days
Should we be surprised if the torrid advance in copper cools off? Probably not. @sentimentrader
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