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Pollitik

@Pollitik_Lab

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We report timely, politically relevant research on executive approval.

Joined January 2021
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@RyanECarlin1
Ryan E Carlin
1 month
Should be a fun election to follow! Check @Pollitik_Labโ€™s prediction and subscribe to their free Substack newsletter
@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
1 month
๐Ÿ“ฃ๐Ÿ“ˆOur updated fundamentals forecast for the #Chile ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฑ presidential race is out! The first round of voting is this Sunday. Read our forecast in the ๐Ÿ”— below this post! #ChileVota #UnidadPorChile #EleccionesChile
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@ExecApproval
Executive Approval Project
1 month
Fundamentals #forecast for #Chile elections based on 4 decades of elections in Latin America
@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
1 month
๐Ÿ“ฃ๐Ÿ“ˆOur updated fundamentals forecast for the #Chile ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฑ presidential race is out! The first round of voting is this Sunday. Read our forecast in the ๐Ÿ”— below this post! #ChileVota #UnidadPorChile #EleccionesChile
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
1 month
๐Ÿ“ฃ๐Ÿ“ˆOur updated fundamentals forecast for the #Chile ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฑ presidential race is out! The first round of voting is this Sunday. Read our forecast in the ๐Ÿ”— below this post! #ChileVota #UnidadPorChile #EleccionesChile
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
1 month
Big thanks to @gelliottmorris for joining us today to deliver our Fall 2025 Trajectory Talk. Follow his work @50plus1news & support his newsletter https://t.co/DKisdfLP8C
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
1 month
While we projected @MikieSherrill to win in #NewJersey, we undershot her vote shares by 6.8 points (the same amount as @50plus1news).
@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
1 month
๐Ÿ“ขOur Fundamentals Forecaster is now on Substack! ๐Ÿ“ฐAll data are from 6 months prior to Election Day. ๐Ÿ“… ๐Ÿ“ˆNo vote intentions data used, just good old fashioned fundamentals.๐Ÿ“‰ Pls like & repost. ๐Ÿ™
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
1 month
How did we do in #Virginia? Well...we missed high on Winsome-Earle's vote share +2.4.
@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
2 months
Our fundametals forecast for the #Virginia governor's race is here! Our model is trained on 100s of US governors races over several decades. We predict vote shares of #GOP successor candidate @WinsomeSears. Take a look! ๐Ÿ”—in comment.
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
1 month
๐Ÿ“ขOur Fundamentals Forecaster is now on Substack! ๐Ÿ“ฐAll data are from 6 months prior to Election Day. ๐Ÿ“… ๐Ÿ“ˆNo vote intentions data used, just good old fashioned fundamentals.๐Ÿ“‰ Pls like & repost. ๐Ÿ™
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@ExecApproval
Executive Approval Project
1 month
Great to see @Pollitik_Lab learning from the best in the biz! Thx @gelliottmorris!
@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
1 month
We are excited for an exclusive visit from G. Elliott Morris, of Strength in Numbers & 50 Plus 1! ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ“‰ @gelliottmorris @50plus1news
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@RyanECarlin1
Ryan E Carlin
1 month
How cool is this?! ๐Ÿ˜Ž Thanks, @gelliottmorris, for taking the time to visit @Pollitik_Lab!
@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
1 month
We are excited for an exclusive visit from G. Elliott Morris, of Strength in Numbers & 50 Plus 1! ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ“‰ @gelliottmorris @50plus1news
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
1 month
We are excited for an exclusive visit from G. Elliott Morris, of Strength in Numbers & 50 Plus 1! ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ“‰ @gelliottmorris @50plus1news
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@ExecApproval
Executive Approval Project
2 months
The EAD at work!
@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
2 months
Latest #HoneymoonTracker shows mixed fortunes for new(ish) world leaders. @_CStocker holds firm๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น,@Bart_DeWever is up๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช, @prabowo ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ& @Jaemyung_Lee๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท lose early shine, @Claudiashein ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ & @MarkJCarney ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆclimb, @realDonaldTrump ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธrises from a low base. Take a look๐Ÿ”— in comments!
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
2 months
Latest #HoneymoonTracker shows mixed fortunes for new(ish) world leaders. @_CStocker holds firm๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น,@Bart_DeWever is up๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช, @prabowo ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ& @Jaemyung_Lee๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท lose early shine, @Claudiashein ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ & @MarkJCarney ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆclimb, @realDonaldTrump ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธrises from a low base. Take a look๐Ÿ”— in comments!
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
2 months
Our fundametals forecast for the #Virginia governor's race is here! Our model is trained on 100s of US governors races over several decades. We predict vote shares of #GOP successor candidate @WinsomeSears. Take a look! ๐Ÿ”—in comment.
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
2 months
CRISIS SPOTLIGHT: Macron vs. Hollande - Two Presidents, One Economic Reality France Fixed Jobs - but Broke its Politics https://t.co/ryo0JrzuSL #Macron #France #ApprovalWatch #Hollande #FrancePolitics
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
2 months
President Marcos Jr.'s Approval Continues its Decline and Shows the Unpopularity of Establishment Politics. #PhilippinePolitics #Marcos #BBM #PollsPH ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ“‰
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
2 months
Subtack:
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@Pollitik_Lab
Pollitik
2 months
Rate the takes: whoโ€™s hot in politics this month, whoโ€™sโ€ฆ not๐Ÿ˜ฌ#BartDeWever is warming up in #Belgium while #AnthonyAlbanese in #Australia starts to cool down. Full story on our Substack in the replies. @MorningConsult @AlboMP @Bart_DeWever @ABCaustralia @vrtnws
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