🚨🚨🚨HOT OFF THE PRESS: @NTI_WMD, @BelferCenter, and @CarnegieEndow’s Task Force on Nuclear Proliferation and US National Security launched a new report today that provides a bipartisan blueprint for how the US can prevent the spread of nuclear weapons.

The US is good at stopping friends & enemies from getting the bomb, argues @Nick_L_Miller. This implies that proliferation might be worse in a world where the US curtails its commitments & consequently there are more & more states that fell into "neither ally nor enemy" status.

So @araghchi is saying he made a serious offer yesterday to E3. The E3 is saying it was unsatisfactory as tweeted earlier. So what was the offer? I now have a picture from a few sources. -1-

IAEA director general says first team of inspectors back in Iran - Fox News interview - Reuters News

Hegseth fires DIA chief. maybe because Hegseth and Trump were embarrassed by reporting on a preliminary DIA assessment that said US strikes only set Iran nuclear program back a few months.

IAEA official to visit Iran, no nuclear sites inspection planned, media say https://t.co/299n7KG78A

As anyone who really knew their stuff knew before the spring talks began, there are a million issues around nuclear talks. But only one difference really counts. Can Iran enrich or can’t it? That divide remains as hard as ever despite the U.S., Israel attacks.

I was honored to participate in the Nobel Nuclear Assembly at the University of Chicago two weeks ago. Over three days, Nobel Laureates and nuclear policy experts developed thirteen recommendations for reducing the risk of nuclear war:

Iranian diplomats said they held "frank and detailed" nuclear talks on Friday with counterparts from Germany, Britain and France, who have threatened to trigger sanctions if Tehran fails to agree a deal on uranium enrichment and cooperation with UN inspectors.

The entire State Dept office of multilateral nuclear affairs was dismissed last week, Alexandra Bell tells @CFR_org. “These were people responsible for efforts to ban explosive nuclear testing, the production of weapons grade material, people working on nuclear disarmament

🧵How much damage was done to Iran's nuclear program? An analysis of Friday's reporting of the U.S. government assessment. I'll focus on the @nytimes, which was clearer than the earlier but confused @NBCNews story. (1/n)

MORE: (Reuters) - The head of France's foreign intelligence service said on Tuesday that some of Iran's highly enriched uranium stocks were destroyed by American and Israeli strikes, but there was no certainty on where the rest was now located. Speaking in an interview on LCI

After decades of robust IAEA access to Iran’s nuclear program, we’re now entering a new and more dangerous phase. The task of understanding what’s happening at Iran’s nuclear sites, new and old, will fall entirely on intelligence organizations.

https://t.co/8qVT9q9Bkn

The administration has argued that the destruction of Iran's uranium metal production lines at Isfahan will set its nuclear-weapon program back by "years." At Arms Control Wonk, I argue it may not even set Tehran back by months. Link in next post.

After several weeks of increasingly personalised attacks by Iranian officials and media, @rafaelmgrossi this week gently pushed back on @FaceTheNation. “Well- I, to an extent, I understand. They have been under attack. But, really, who can believe that this conflict happened…”-1

There has been severe but not total damage to Iran's nuclear program says IAEA's Rafael Grossi; he believes Iran can have a few cascades of centrifuges spinning & producing enriched uranium in "a matter of months." More tomorrow on ⁦@FaceTheNation⁩

Khamenei is a tough ideological leader, but since 2003 he has demonstrated surprising pragmatism when it comes to the Iranian nuclear program, which illustrated in the nuclear agreement in 2015. For him, the goal was never an atomic bomb but rather securing the regime's future,

Head of the International Atomic Energy Agency Rafael Grossi tells CBS News' @margbrennan that "some could have been destroyed as part of the attack, but some could have been moved."

There is a precedent for “mowing the grass” to try to prevent a country from going nuclear and it didn’t end well: see Iraq from 1981-2003. Iran is a very different case but it is worth considering that this could be the start of a long campaign with unforeseeable consequences.