Monthly liquidity UPDATE: DXY is still ranging and bouncing after it hit its lowest point in a couple of years time. With tensions in Iran and other drivers we naturally see a Risk off environment which strengthens the DXY short term but the overall trend remains lower. My

Episode 326 of The Higher Standard is live and streaming everywhere podcasts are today. This one has everything: war-driven oil volatility, Fed drama, a jobs report that matters more than the headlines, and crypto still trying to prove it belongs at the grown-ups’ table. Chaos,

Helium is a crucial component needed for the production of semi conductors of all sorts. With the Issues in the middle east, production is going down fast. This drives uncertainty UP for this asset and thus prices go much higher. A lack of Helium will cause semi conductors to

For people who follow my content, they know despite current numbers on my recession indicator moving lower, that unemployment remains a big risk. consumer sentiment is also very poor and they are very stressed. We are working in a two tier economy and are seeing actual

Fuel prices are skyrocketing across the world: Fuel oil prices in Singapore, the world's most important refueling port, are up to a record $140 per barrel. This marks a +146% surge since the start of the year. Prices have now surpassed the 2008 Financial Crisis and the 2022

I agree and I also like to add that so far even fractals are never the same, this time it has been the same for a long while already and I would not be surprised we make a top right here today and roll over for one more push lower. A low in the 50Ks is very conservative and I

Very negative outcome in my opinion. It will be harder to speculate about a companies know abouts and performance and hence earnings will be a less reliable metric for economic turnarounds ..

Extensive article about oil and its impact on markets right now. If you reqad this you know all the implications oil has. Retweet and like to support my work.

https://t.co/yTwI4qZiaM

@ClassicDavid3 I see no real volume popping up and the Iran issue is not gone so no reason to be overly bullish as of yet. So far liquidity has not been supportive and was rather muted in the last month too which further adds to the case this is not a sustained rally for now.

I fully agree so far the BTC break out is driven by very low volume and is not a signal of strength. Relief is different from a trend change. We have to wait and see how geopolitics drive the bus and we also need to see volume step in.

I like this article because people simply do not realise how big the impact of oil is. And now with current tensions it becomes more apparent that the whol ESG narrative is fun and a good incentive but not really plausible in the medium term for our current world conditions.

I remain constructively bullish on the sector nonetheless.

#EEM breaking out and potentially backtesting the break out level could resolve very bullishly. This is why I like to increase my overal lexposure towards emerging markets. Add to this the overall picture of the SPX vs EM and you notice that a trend change is underway.

MASSIVE: 🇪🇺 20 of Europe's largest banks are moving into crypto. MiCA gave them the green light. Client capital flowing to exchanges gave them no choice. In 2022 banks blocked crypto transactions. In 2026 they're offering crypto to retail clients. The shift is happening

Current market conditions are not unique. We see +5% market corrections very often and below is a nice list of actual retracements we have seen osince 2009. Note that a +20% one does not occur often and that a 5% usually occurs every year. #spx

Consumer sentiment around 50 has historically only shown up during one thing: Recessions. 1975 1980 1990 2008 2020 Consumers usually figure out the economy is breaking before economists officially declare it.

#SPX has been trending together with the midterm election chart so far. Slow upside and a peak in April. Downside until Q4 and then steady upside. Next month could be a potential peak as we enter Q2 I also will be looking for peak signals myself as I am not convinced markets

This could imply 1 of 2 things. 1. Altcoins are diminishing overall. The sector has boomed but there is almost no real utility and just like so many companies in the DOT com era, altcoins are now coming and going at a very rapid pace. Eventually the market will be gone and only

The best time to buy stocks is often when consumer sentiment is low:

Considering all the gaps on Figma, I would not be surprised if this ends up being a well rounded bottom. I do not see massive expansion for the stock myself but considering all the gaps that are left I could see a pullback from the bearish trend back into the 38,2 fib level.