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Max Ghenis

@MaxGhenis

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Democratizing evidence-based policy @ThePolicyEngine

Washington, DC
Joined January 2011
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
1 day
RT @PolicyEngineUS: NEW: PolicyEngine has simulated individual income tax provisions of the final reconciliation bill. Compared to current….
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
3 days
Don't say I didn't warn you
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@PolicyEngineUS
PolicyEngine US
3 days
🆕 We've launched the OBBBA Household Explorer—an interactive tool showing how the reconciliation bill affects individual households across America. Explore 40,000+ representative households from our microsimulation-grade dataset:
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
5 days
Bikeshare for All has a cliff at the income limit for SNAP, Medicaid, or other means-tested programs.
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
5 days
Effective August 1, @bikeshare is changing its pricing, giving Bikeshare for All members (means-tested) a $40/mo credit, in addition to a $115/y membership discount and cheaper e-bike rides. For full users, that's a $595+ annual benefit--and it's got a cliff.
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
7 days
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@madisontayt_
madison
9 days
imagining a vegan who won’t drink nyc’s tap water because of the microscopic shrimp.
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
10 days
Open source models would solve this.
@CEA47
Council of Economic Advisers
11 days
New CEA analysis of the Senate version of the One Big Beautiful Bill finds that it will raise economic growth, boost wages and take-home pay, and lead to reduced deficits and a lower federal debt burden.
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
12 days
Ungated:
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
12 days
Compared to (likely) global depopulation, population growth through 2200 would raise temperatures by under 0.1 degrees C.
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
12 days
Ungated:
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
12 days
Lowering training or instructional hours requirements for cosmetology licensing:.- Raises completion.- Lowers tuition.- Expands enrollment among some groups of students.- Does not affect earnings
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
12 days
RT @riccoja: The House and Senate are still negotiating over key tax provisions. Where they end up is a question with meaningful distributi….
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
12 days
RT @PolicyEngineUS: New: @Arnold_Ventures used PolicyEngine to compare taxes between TCJA expiration and House & Senate reconciliation bill….
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
13 days
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
13 days
Speaking of, why weren't there more conditional markets around the presidential election? This is the only one around Iran on Manifold, finding on election day that Trump's election results in 4% higher chance of obtaining a nuclear weapon by 2030. But what about military action?
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
13 days
I capped off my NYC trip by asking AIs, which top mayoral candidate's election would produce the most housing?. All six AIs agreed: Cuomo.
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
13 days
And here:
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
13 days
You can bet against the AIs (channeled through my @ManifoldMarkets account) here:
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
13 days
More in the full post, including the models' uncertainty and rationale.
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
13 days
I capped off my NYC trip by asking AIs, which top mayoral candidate's election would produce the most housing?. All six AIs agreed: Cuomo.
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
17 days
Have any prominent supporters of "Globalize the Intifada" condemned the violence against civilians of the Second Intifada?.
@jacobkornbluh
Jacob N. Kornbluh
18 days
Mamdani, on The Bulwark podcast, says ‘Globalize the Intifada’ chant signifies, to him, a call for Palestinian human rights. Adds: “The word has been used by the Holocaust Museum when translating the Warsaw Ghetto Uprising into Arabic — because it’s a word that means struggle.”
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@MaxGhenis
Max Ghenis
17 days
RT @George_A_Callas: On SALT:. Thanks to @PolicyEngineUS we can see that families (married w/ at least 1 kid) making $250k or $500k living….
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