Maggie Perry
@Maggie_Perry6
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- Election Reporter for @6NewsAU - she/her - Transgender 🏳️⚧️ - Regional QLD - 14
Queensland, Australia
Joined December 2022
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...texas
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That face when you get followed by someone who made their twitter account before you were born
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What's going on with Germany? Why are the nationalist right-wing surging & the Labor-like SPD collapsing? Well, I'm (hopefully) going to sum it up in this thread.
(1/14)
Germany, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (-1)
AfD-ID: 22%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14%
SPD-S&D: 13% (-1)
FDP-RE: 4% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 4%
FW-RE: 4% (+1)
BSW~LEFT: 4% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 12-14 December 2023
Fieldwork: 9-11 January 2024
Sample size: 1,337
➤…
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Just for context, when told that the Greens generally go down in by-elections and that its not a bad night for Bandt,
@KosSamaras
claimed on the ABC that the Greens held stable and actually went up 1% in Aston - This isn't true. The greens went down 2% in Aston and 4.5% in Fadden
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My prediction for 2025, a bit less than a year out from the federal election:
🟥 Labor - 76
🟦 Coalition - 57
⬜️ Independent - 10
🟩 Green - 6
🟧 Centre Alliance - 1
🟫 Katters Australian - 1
Very similar to 2022 numbers, but a lot of seats lost and won for the majors... 1/2 🧵
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% of times Adam Bandt has voted on the same lines on a bill with each party:
🟥 Labor: ~95%
🟦 Liberals: ~7%
🟩 Nationals: ~5%
This is ridiculous to think 😭
(source: )
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WOOOO! Thank you so much! I think i gained like 35% of my followers (created account a year ago) in 24 hours pretty much, which is really strange haha
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Perryists we must triumph against the Leo Puglisi. Benefits of voting for me:
> I fill multiple diversity quotas in 6news (Leo fills 0)
> Leo's It*l**n
> Im the lesser evil in the 6news rigging scandal
> Risk being called transphobic not voting for me (I wouldn't risk it myself)
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#BREAKING
⬜️ Craig Garland beats 🟦 Liberal Giovanna Simpson in MAJOR upset for final Braddon seat - This leaves the seat total as follows:
🟦 Liberals - 14
🟥 Labor - 10
🟩 Greens - 5
🟨 Lambie - 3
⬜️ Independent - 3 (Kristie Johnston, David O'Byrne, Craig Garland)
1/6 🧵
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If current results continue in the Dunstan by-election (state), it will be the highest primary in HISTORY for the entirety of SA for the Greens, both state and federal.
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Macnamara, currently one of the most marginal seats in Australia, is so marginal that just a 0.3% swing would be enough for a Green gain. However, there's been talk over the seat's boundaries - especially in it's strongly Jewish east of Caulfield.
1/7🧵 (Thread)
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day 1 of posting my neighbor's cat as a timeline cleanser
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Honored to discover that I am apparently the LNP candidate for Ryan
With a young family, Maggie understands the challenges of managing a household budget in the face of rising cost of living pressures like many others in Ryan.
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@tim_osullivan93
@KosSamaras
no need to campaign in non winnable seats in by-elections, but there is purpose when its the election because it can help the senate vote
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Today I would like to announce my OFFICIAL campaign for the mayoral race of Banana Shire in 2028, representing the Greens! You can donate to my campaign at .
#Vote1Perry
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Anyways, that about wraps it up. Best case scenario is that I wonderfully explained German politics... Worst case? Everything I just said is a blur filled with random acronyms that nobody will ever understand 😭 Hopefully I'll keep doing more of these explainy threads!
(14/14)
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@MatthewBevan
I genuinely didnt mean to be rude to Sally Rugg at all LOL but uh... I see the implications
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Fair, but at the same time Australia has almost 200k people per electorate, more than almost any country. 2 effects of this are:
b) lower proportionality and a perpetuation of the two-party system
b) gargantuan divisions like this one in 2007, very hard to represent at all!
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CURRENT RESULTS - 6 News Calls (83.5% counted):
🟦 Liberal: 14
🟥 Labor: 10
🟩 Green: 5 (+1 since yesterday)
🟨 Lambie: 2 (-1 since yesterday)
⬜️ Ind: 2 (+2 since yesterday)
⬜️ Not Declared: 2
7th Lyon / Likely 🟨 JLN (vs 🟥 ALP)
7th Franklin / Likely 🟦 LIB (vs 🟩 GRN)
1/2 🧵
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Live in: 🇦🇺
Born in: 🇦🇺
Parents: 🇦🇺🇦🇺
Grandparents: 🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺
Been to: 🇦🇺
I'm the only real Australian patriot 🤭
Live in: 🇦🇺
Born in: 🇦🇺
Parents: 🇦🇺🇦🇺
Grandparents: 🇦🇺(🇮🇹)🇦🇺(🇮🇹)🇬🇧🇩🇪(🇬🇧)
Been to: 🇯🇵
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At the Students for Palestine protest right now to capture some footage for 6 News 🙂
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@AusElectoralCom
i was getting bored of waiting for the trial maps to come out so i made my prediction now 💅
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The ABC has called a 2nd Green in Clark, with Helen Burnet. 6 News did call this more than a week ago though, with largely identical results...
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CURRENT RESULTS - 6 News Calls - 66% counted:
🟦 Liberal - 14
🟥 Labor - 10
🟩 Green - 4
🟨 Lambie - 3
⬜️ Ind - 0
⬜️ Not Declared - 4
6/7 Clark's between 🟩 2nd Green, 🟥 3rd Labor and ⬜️ Kristie Johnson
6/7 Franklin's between 🟩 2nd Green, 🟦 3rd Liberal and ⬜️ David O'Bryne
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Elections coming up next year in Australia:
- Dunkley by-election: Early 2024 (federal)
- Inala by-election: Early 2024 (state)
- QLD Local: 16th March
- NT: 24th August
- NSW Local: 14th September
- ACT: On/before 19th October
- QLD: 26th October
- VIC Local: October
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@SPB545
@QldGreens
83% of Green votes in Leichardt went to Labor compared to just 17% for the LNP - I would hardly call that the Greens "helping" re-elect Warren Entsch
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Wow - A result like this could nearly wipe out Labor in Queensland. The LNP would pick up enough suburban seats to form majority, while the Greens would win multiple urban seats from the ALP. Anything left they would have in the regions would go to One Nation or the LNP.
YouGov Qld (state) 56-44 to LNP, LNP 44 ALP 27 Green 15 ON 10 KAP 1 others 3
Miles net -22 (25-47)
Crisafulli net +14 (40-26)
Better Premier (usually favours incumbents) Crisafulli leads 40-27
#qldpol
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Are you kidding? The WA Nationals think they can win THIS?
🔴 BATEMAN (6.7%):
Donna Gordin, who was the Liberal candidate for Brand in 2010 and 2013, and worked on Ben Morton’s failed campaign at the last federal election, will take on Labor incumbent Kim Giddens and Liberal Nitin Vashisht.
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Thanks for 2000 followers 🥳 I'll be updating my pfp before im 15 i promise
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Philadelphia city council projection:
🟦 Democrat - 15 (+1)
🟪 Working Families* - 2 (+1)
🟥 Republican - 0 (-2)
*WF is a non-local 3rd-party that's often described as "progressive" and "socialist"
Republicans wiped from Philadelphia for 1st time in its 103 year history.
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Yougov poll - Should Australia call for a ceasefire in Gaza?
🟩 For - 53%
🟥 Against - 26%
⬜️ Unsure - 23%
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@VlineGunzel
@Leo_Puglisi6
How many times has Leo quoted this tweet? 5 TIMES
He's scared of losing...
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The Fadden by-election candidate nominations have been declared, with the candidates (in ballot order) being:
🟥 Labor - Letitia Del Fabbro
🟩 Greens - Scott Turner
🟨 Democrats - Chris Simpson
🟧 One Nation - Sandy Roach
🟫 Aboriginal - Marnie Laree Davis
[1/2] 🧵
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@batshit_auspol
15148 times more like than the amount of questions Leo got right on his trigonometry test 😭
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Labour GAINS Tamworth in the biggest majority overturned in UK HISTORY in a by-election
🟥 Labour - Sarah Edwards 45.8% (+22%)
🟦 Conservative - Andrew Cooper - 40.7% (-26%)
🟦 Reform UK - 5.4%
⬛️ Britain First - 2.3%
🟪 UKIP - 1.7%
⬜️ Others - 3.1%
Once again, UK by-elections today! I'll start with Tamworth, which is supposed to declare their results sooner:
1/ 🧵
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@tashaa432
I am
> Trans
> A woman
> Transgender
> A trans woman
> Not Italian
> Not living in hawthorn
Leo is none. Sad!
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I'd like to point out a Labor-Greens government is still possible. If Labor can win a 3rd seat in Lyons and the Greens win a 2nd seat in Franklin, they would be able to form government (along with independent David O'Byrne, who is former Labor)
CURRENT RESULTS - 6 News Calls (83.5% counted):
🟦 Liberal: 14
🟥 Labor: 10
🟩 Green: 5 (+1 since yesterday)
🟨 Lambie: 2 (-1 since yesterday)
⬜️ Ind: 2 (+2 since yesterday)
⬜️ Not Declared: 2
7th Lyon / Likely 🟨 JLN (vs 🟥 ALP)
7th Franklin / Likely 🟦 LIB (vs 🟩 GRN)
1/2 🧵
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the CITIZENS party? The ones who are known for believing the royal family ordered the Port Arthur Masacre?
With Robbie Barwick, Citizens Party
and
Emeric Charles, Licensed Post Office Group
At the senate inquiry into regional bank branch closures, Bribie Island
Two wonderful organisations dedicated to restoring & serving our nation
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Huge news for the Greens - Liberal leakage means that the Greens are much, much closer to overtaking the Liberals and gaining a seat in Braddon
Tasmanian Quotas after 1st preference distributions (Braddon):
🟦 Liberal: 2.57 (+1 already elected)
🟥 Labor: 2.01
🟨 Lambie: 0.93
🟩 Green: 0.54
⬜️ Craig Garland: 0.42
🟫 Shooters: 0.24
⬜️ Others: 0.3
7th seat looking much better for Greens after bad Liberal leakage
2/3 🧵
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🟥 Labor gains from 🟦 Coalition:
Banks, Menzies, Deakin, Aston , Sturt
🟥 Labor losses to 🟦 Coalition:
Pearce, Hasluck, Tangney, Blair
🟥 Labor losses to 🟩 Greens:
Richmond, Cooper
Coalition also gains Curtin from Kate Chaney, and loses Calare to Andrew Gee
2/2 🧵
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Made a list of all current federal MP's (so people can easily follow them all without having to go through every single one)!
- 33 parliamentarians don't have a twitter acc.
- 1 seat is vacant (Dunkley)
- 1 has me blocked (you know who you are... 😡)
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Dunkley byelection poll (YouGov, sample size of only 394, beware!)
🟦 Liberal: 40% (+7.5)
🟥 Labor: 33% (-7)
🟩 Green: 9% (-1.5)
⬜️ Darren Bergwerf: 7% (+3)
🟨 Libertarian: 3% (+0.5)
🟨 Democrat: 3%*
⬛️ Socialist: 3%*
🟪 Animal Justice: 2%*
* = new
🟦 Liberal: 51%
🟥 Labor: 49%
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Just a quick look at some of the best seats for the Greens and whether they've pre-selected or not:
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US election presidential election prediction (I am famously very good with predictions, re: Aston)
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Also out of curiousity this is the comparison with Adam Bandt and some notable crossbenchers:
⬜️ Andrew Wilkie: 91%
⬜️ Monique Ryan: 74%
🟧 Rebekha Sharkie/CA: 64%
⬜️ Allegra Spender: 61%
🟫 Bob Katter/KAP: 50%
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Current leaders in each ward for Brisbane:
🟦 LNP - 12
🟥 Labor - 7
🟩 Greens - 6
⬜️ Independent - 1
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Rochdale by-election in the UK today: Here's a summary of how this safe Labour seat has transformed into a contest between 2 anti-woke minor parties with 0 MPs, and why Palestine is the defining issue in a seat in suburban Manchester.
1/10 🧵
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Hearing reports that Hillary Clinton assassinated Harold Holt to stop a United States of Oceania from forming
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🟥 Shooters, Fishers, Farmers party de-registered in Northern Territory. A November 2023 poll had them at 9.4%, in real contention to win multiple a seats.
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Rochdale by-election results:
🟥 Workers, George Galloway: 39.7% (new)
⬜️ David Tully: 21.3%
🟦 Conservative, Paul Ellison: 12.0% (-19)
🟥 Labour, Azhar Ali (disendorsed): 7.7% (-44)
🟧 Lib Dem, Iain Donaldson: 7.0 (=)
🟦 Reform UK, David Canczuk: 6.3% (-2)
⬜️ Others: 6.0%
Rochdale by-election in the UK today: Here's a summary of how this safe Labour seat has transformed into a contest between 2 anti-woke minor parties with 0 MPs, and why Palestine is the defining issue in a seat in suburban Manchester.
1/10 🧵
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@Leo_Puglisi6
Wishy washy Leo as per usual. Claims to support the Perryists, and yets flips when he's in danger. Sad.
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Ohio Referendums (19% Counted):
Issue One (Ensures abortion rights if passed):
🟩 For - 65.0%
🟥 Against - 35.0%
Issue Two (Legalises Cannabis for 21+)
🟩 For - 57.2%
🟥 Against - 42.8%
Note that this is a state where Republicans have tightened their grip on in recent years.
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@john__qld
Regardless of political opinions I would 100% accept a job for Bob Katter because you just know it would be more entertaining than 99.9% of political jobs
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I TOLD YOU GUYS. I TOLD YOU IT WOULD BE IN 2024 WHAT DID I SAY
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Taiwan presidential results:
🟩 DPP - Lai Ching-te / 40.0% (social liberal, progressive, Taiwanese nationalist)
🟦 KMT - Hou Yu-ih / 33.5% (conservative, Chinese nationalist)
⬜️ TPP - Ko Wen-je / 26.5% (centrist, liberal)
(1/2)
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Lets start with the AfD - The Alternative for Germany party, founded less than 10 years ago in February 2013, promotes anti-immigration, anti-EU rhetoric, and family as some of its core values.
(2/14)
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Found evidence from ME, showing Leo RIGGING the vote by using alt accounts. Loser-Lameo-Leo at it again!
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Other parties include "The Left", who've collapsed from 5% to 3% in polling (keep in mind the threshold for seats is 5%) due to internal squabbles with the BSW, a socialist but conservative party who emerged from them days ago. They deserve... a whole other thread.
(11/14)
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Tasmania Prediction for tmr! Definitely wont be accurate, hare-clark is hard to predict
🟦🟦🟦🟦🟥🟥🟩 - Bass
🟦🟦🟦🟦🟥🟥🟨 - Braddon
🟦🟦🟥🟥🟩🟩⬜️ - Clark
🟦🟦🟦🟥🟥🟥🟩 - Franklin
🟦🟦🟦🟥🟥🟨⬜️ - Lyons
Overall:
🟦 Liberal, 16
🟥 Labor, 11
🟩 Green, 4
🟨 Lambie, 2
⬜️ Ind, 2
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Anyways, what happens next? Well, unfortunately for the nationalist AfD, they are unlikely to gain power. German parties have imposed a "cordon sanitaire" against them, meaning they will never enter government negotiations with them.
(12/14)
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2 new candidates for the Greens in key Labor seats in inner Melbourne have nominated:
🟥 Wills - Samantha Ratnam, Vic Green leader & MLA for the "North Metro Region". (9% swing needed for Greens)
🟥 Higgins - Angelica Di Camillo*, ran in Aston. (3% swing needed for Greens)
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But... why? Well, the main proponents of their growth have been an increasing opposition to immigration, and their anti-establishment ("populist") rhetoric, which has appealed most to voters near the centre-right, but also increasingly to the socialist left in Germany.
(4/14)
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Meanwhile, the SPD is likely to lose the next election, probably to a centre-right coalition from the CDU. The next election will happen in about a year and half, and there is MUCH to happen in between now and then.
(13/14)
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- What about the other parties in government?
The social democrats (SPD), have been collaborating with the Greens, who are much more moderate than their Australian counterparts, and the Free Democrats (FPD), who are free market liberals with generally progressive policy.
(8/14)
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It's been the first successful right-wing party in Germany since the fall of the berlin wall, and their meagre result of 10% in 2021's federal election has ballooned to a result of 23% in recent polls - 2nd place out of all parties & ahead of all government participants.
(3/14)
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Vote Maggie!
Maggie Perry
@Maggie_Perry6
She handily took down the Canberran, but how will she fare against her own boss???
VS
Leonardo Puglisi
@Leo_Puglisi6
Please stop this man😭😭😭
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@The_SwingState
@westaustralian
I'm sure Basil suing a bunch of 14-16 year olds for posting an unedited video of him is a good idea!
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Well, anyways, what's so bad about the SPD government? The most important issue is Ukraine. Rising energy prices have been attributed to the governments increasingly pro-Ukraine stance, as well as their anti-nuclear policy, which the Greens negotiated with them for.
(6/14)
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- My first article! I'll be covering by-elections on 6 News, including Narracan, which will be up shortly! 😉
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NSW: hold my ballot
Indonesia and the Netherlands fighting in "biggest ballot challenge" (2024, colourised)
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Update on Tas! After alot of consideration and alot of data reviewing I'm going to uncall the 4th Liberal seat in Braddon. They risk an outside threat from the Greens, however it's still definitely in their favour.
🟦 LIB: 13
🟥 ALP: 10
🟩 GRN: 5
🟨 JLN: 2
⬜️ IND: 2
⬜️ ???: 3
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The big party I haven't talked about however is the CDU, the party of Angela Merkel. Their polling numbers have increased 8% since the election to about 31%, clearly in the lead. Most of their voters are against the government, but afraid of the AfD gaining power.
(10/14)
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The Greens anti-nuclear policy has damaged the government, but they are polling around 14% (the same as last election). The FPD however have lost almost all support from last election; 11%, and have fallen down to just 4% due to their affiliation with the government.
(9/14)
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Results at the moment in Tasmania:
🟦 LIB: 13 (3 Declared)
🟥 ALP: 10 (1 Declared)
🟩 GRN: 5 (1 Declared)
🟨 JLN: 2
⬜️ IND: 2
⬜️ Not Called: 3
Presuming Franklin goes Liberal (14 tot.), & Lyons goes JLN (3 tot.), the last seat is between the Libs and Greens in Braddon
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The most extreme effect of this has been the halting of the nord stream pipeline as a result of the war, and general sanctions against Russia for the war against Ukraine. AfD voters link this to rising energy and housing prices throughout the country.
(7/14)
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Derryn Hinch's Justice Party has officially de-registered, following their de-registration on the state level |
@6NewsAU
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CURRENT RESULTS - 6 News calls, 37% counted:
🟦 Liberal - 13
🟥 Labor - 10
🟩 Green - 4
🟨 Lambie - 1
⬜️ Ind - 0
⬜️ Not Declared - 7
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Note - Ipswich West is one of the seats One Nation gained in 1998, was considered a possible gain for ON in 2017 (losing 59 to 41) + this by-election will be the first test for ON without Pauline Hanson in the name in QLD since she rejoined the party (maybe anywhere?)
(1/2) 🧵
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