
Kevin Bonham
@kevinbonham
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Psephologist, polling analyst/transparency advocate, electoral consultant, ecologist, chess player/admin. No party loyalties. Auth KB 8 Mortimer Mt Stuart
Hobart
Joined October 2012
RT @ElectionsTas: Friday 11 July: A network outage is currently affecting telephone voting and call centre services. We apologise for the i….
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#politas After putting this up I was tipped off that Garland had appeared in a Michael Gray Griffith video. Video had none of what I expected to see after watching Griffith + Sladden and for nearly all of it Garland comes across very well. Except for claim below and . .
Craig Garland just said I said he had no chance of winning in Braddon 2024. This was not true at any time, there were times I thought he was unlikely to get up. See postcount thread #politas.
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🍿🍿🍿.Paul Lennon registers business name "TasInsure", because the Liberals . did not do that. #politas.
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Independents for Canberra deregisters as a party sometime after its sole MLA resigns from party and sits as an independent. #actpol.
#BREAKING: Independents for Canberra has deregistered as a political party. As reported in the Canberra Times, they now want to instead "expand its role as a facilitator and capacity builder for community independents" | @6NewsAU
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First thing here; there is not a convention that a Premier in whom a no confidence motion is passed must resign full stop. Many state Premiers in such a case (including Holgate 1982) have sought an election as an alternative. One (Lawson Vic 1921) even did so and won! #politas.
EXCLUSIVE: Former Tasmanian premier David Bartlett speaks to 6 News about this month's state election, his time leading a minority government, and why Labor is now ruling out doing deals with the Greens to gain power. WATCH IN FULL:
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#DemosAU 59-41 to ALP with miserable Coalition primary. More evidence in favour of Labor still being in second honeymoon (re-elected govts don't always get one but they tend to if they overperform expectations).
@kevinbonham DemosAU 2PP: ALP 59, L-NP 41.P: ALP 36, L-NP 26, GRN 14, ON 9, Other 15, Undecided 9. Interesting breakdowns by sex, age, education and home ownership.
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Questions put in an agree/disagree format are prone to acquiescence bias, would be better to give respondents a choice of two statements. Breakdowns by party support are of some interest though. #politas.
More Tasmanians agree than disagree that the major parties should seek to form govt with Greens & independents if they cannot govern in own right, according to new @YouGov polling commissioned by @TheAusInstitute. #politas.
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Craig Garland just said I said he had no chance of winning in Braddon 2024. This was not true at any time, there were times I thought he was unlikely to get up. See postcount thread #politas.
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RT @heidimur: For those asking - the next chapter in the Vic-Lib-on-Lib war will not tee off court at 9:30 as originally scheduled. Direct….
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Blocked @iluvcolonialism . Of course with a username like that racism can be taken for granted, they're also sexist, homophobic, hypocritical and an extremely poor debater.
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Do they? Would be interested to see how they are supposed to meet the new "dominant purpose" test. #politas
Has anyone else noticed Labor's “champion of the north” running 65 unauthorised Facebook groups?. That’s right- 65!. Completely undeclared and unauthorised, each one breaks our electoral laws.
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Voters are entitled to know where the Nationals stand on these matters. Especially given one of their candidates was involved in a notorious anti-gay fliers incident in 2013 and last year called for an "immediate urgent review" of Tasmanian gender ID laws. #politas.
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Will the Tasmanian Nationals be responding to this survey? The Liberals have. #politas.
Equality Tasmania’s LGBTIQA election forum, online at 7pm Wednesday 9 July (tomorrow). Parties and independents responses and scorecards here: Media release here: Register for the forum here:
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