Maciek Kolodziejczyk
@MaciekKol
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Investor: systematic strategies. ~30% p.a. for 20+yrs. In BTC since '11 Traveler: 104 countries visited Forecaster: Metaculus #2/34600 Peer Accuracy for 2021-
Joined November 2013
RT @Robotbeat: Nominal Raptor relight. I’m calling Starship ready for payloads now since it can deploy payloads and deorbit safely.
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I expect further declines in the years ahead - towards 25%.
If we take the same daily vol data and plot if annually, here's what that looks like. The same trend is clear:. You might say 50% volatility is high, but look at the price vol of the Magnificent 7 or of various commodities.
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RT @goodalexander: The Big Rug. Gooning is well covered in the Doom thesis. Elon's "Imagine" is digital crack cocaine being given out for f….
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On the one hand: the perks of being in Bitcoin for a very long time. On the other: the longest ever delay between ex-dividend date and dividend payment date. @DeribitOfficial
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A country needs a defense budget because a hostile country is too close and/or there's too little resources that both need. There's another way to solve for this, but most leaders don't think that way, as no new unoccupied lands have been available for thousands of years.
A nation adding 10 billion of <insert currency> to its defence budget won’t shift its position relative to other great powers that much. You’re not going to be at the big table with the US and China. Adding 10 billion to your space budget though would instantly make you a first
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After recent ~20% advance only x4 to x8 left. .
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Best AI in the World for <0.2% of World's annual GDP?. Seems like a steal.
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Gold is ~13x over the past 24 years and ~4.5x vs Global GDP. I don't think there's much upside left.
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116k.
6 weeks later the mood's the same.
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For 7/4, I asked Grok to try to quantify US' supremacy in most important areas. I might not agree with details of ~half of the measures, but it is clear that USA wins on all counts. It is clear that any broad criticism of the US is deeply misguided. It does most things best.
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6 weeks later the mood's the same.
New highs for Bitcoin and world is mostly 'meh'.
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If the movie is ~half as good as the book is, it's going to be a banger.
11.9 Light-years from home. 6th grade science teacher. 1 chance to save us all. Watch the trailer for Project Hail Mary – based on the novel by Andy Weir, starring Ryan Gosling, and directed by filmmakers Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. Only in theaters and IMAX - 3.20.26
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About 100 countries hold gold as part of their FX reserves. Only two countries hold BTC as part of their reserves through purchases (El Salvador) or mining (Bhutan). Several others (US, UK) hold reserves as result of asset seizures. There's a lot of potential for expansion.
BREAKING: 🇰🇿 National Bank of Kazakhstan Governor says they are working to establish a #Bitcoin and crypto reserve.
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RT @Bangershell11: Breaking 🚨🇦🇷 | Argentina Outgrows China: 5.8% Annual Growth Beats China’s 5.4% in First Quarter
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Counting to 195 should be a pre-requisite to calling oneself educated. But even if you can name all of the countries in this map, can you properly assign the territories marked with green arrows?. Without googling (don't lie to yourself).
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As gold passed euro as the second largest reserve asset, I remembered this maxim:. "The laws of physics and geology are stronger and more durable than the laws of economics, and politics.". To that I will add:. "The laws of game theory and cryptography are even stronger."
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This slow advance is the argument for the inefficiency of the markets. It should look like a vertical line up.
JUST IN: BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF becomes the fastest ETF in history to surpass $70 billion AUM 🚀
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