Dr. John R. Samuelsen
@JohnRSamuelsen
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Science & Tech Administrator - Arkansas Archeological Survey | Grad Faculty - Dept of Anthro, U of Arkansas | Likes Data | represents my personal views only
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Joined April 2009
Still true
In my view, eliminating the filibuster would be a big blow against rising executive power. The inability of Congress to pass laws has led to over-reliance on executive orders to deal with major problems.
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I think it's important for Dems to realize that candidates matter. The margins of the VA three races (15/11/6) illustrate that, including opponents. Mamdani doesn't win VA by 15 and Jones doesn't win NJ by 13. But Mamdani wins NYC and that doesn't stop Sherrill in NJ.
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Dem margins are now 15.0 for Spanberger and 13.2 for Sherril. Putting the two state Governor races fairly close together. Polling showed a significant split between the two races.
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Sherrill is winning by 12.5 points in New Jersey with >95% in. This is a lot better than most of the polling.
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Tonight was a "blue wave" environment. If 2026 is like tonight, Dems take the House and seriously contest the Senate in some states previously considered out of reach.
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NY Times estimates Sherrill could receive about 56% of the vote.
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No completed counties in NJ yet, but the NY Times estimates that Sherrill is running ahead of Harris in Gloucester County.
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A lot of polls were very off here.
However bad you thought this night could be for the Virginia GOP, it's worse. Spanberger likely wins by something close to 15, and the open question here is if Jay Jones matches Kamala Harris. Spanberger probably enters office with a healthy trifecta.
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Note that different types of ballots report at different times, so I'd like to look at completed areas before getting too confident about the results.
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It is now accepted that Jenner learned from the surgeon John Fewster (1738-1824) that farmers who once had cowpox were immune to smallpox and could not be variolated against it. The milkmaid story is apocryphal, invented by Jenner’s biographer some years after his death.
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Looking at completed counties, Jones is running similar to Harris.
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Jones 1 point behind Harris in Westmoreland. Both of these are >95% complete.
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Good Dem update from Loudoun. Depending if Spanberger's margin is big enough, may pull Jones with her.
Spanberger +26 nuke in Loudoun County
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Jones running several points behind Spanberger, but the amount fluctuating a lot with every update.
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