Thrilled my paper with @namalhotra is out at @apsrjournal! Have you always been captivated by the impacts of trade policy on political behavior, applications of causal machine learning, and shocks to soybean prices? Ok well regardless this is still the paper for you! A thread 🧵.

RT @C_Harwick: You were supposed to destroy the Jones Act, not expand it!

RT @Apoorva__Lal: New paper! Regression is motivated in binary treatment settings as producing a convex, conditional-variance-weighted aver….

As a resident of Menlo Park, I'm trying to come up with a sarcastic "But we have such amazing X here" retort but I've racked my brain for 5 minutes and I can't come up with anything. Like there's a duck pond and a neighborhood theater that only shows cover bands?.

RT @JohnHolbein1: All journals should adopt this policy. Strict formatting requirements on initial submission are silly. .

RT @catehall: I hate that the “just asking questions” people ruined just asking questions for the rest of us.

RT @besttrousers:

RT @Victoriazren: Abundance campus organizing mentioned in the WSJ :). I care about this movement because my generation grew up in an era o….

RT @ATabarrok: Big win for Romania! Genius president. Once beat Terrence Tao in math Olympiad. Plus pro-EU, pro-trade etc. .

Utterly wild fraud case. Econ finally has its LaCour / Gino / Ariely / Stapel moment . I can almost understand why one could expect to get away w/ this in 2012, before replication was in vogue. But it's 2025! How was this going to come out in the QJE without ppl catching on?.

RT @Pontifex: There is so much violence and so many wars in our world! Amid this horror that should provoke outrage—as people die in the na….

RT @SarahAnzia: Early organizations of city government employees, especially firefighters, helped to influence the adoption of municipal ci….

RT @florianederer: The last thing your statistically significant parameter estimates see before they're obliterated.

RT @kisstheblade_: Happy Easter! Jesus Christ is alive, and will live forever.

RT @uncle_deluge: I got great news turn the page.

I wrote my dissertation on this puzzle. It’s even more surprising/stark than it first seems, and almost none of the answers in reply to this post hold water. Ag policy suggests that economic clout can be overrated for understanding US political influence.

My fiancée is headed to the bridal store today and she's already tired of my suggestion that our wedding could be much cheaper if she'd just try on the Veil of Ignorance.

RT @Josh_Merfeld: This is a bad way to frame things. More precision is good! The real issue here is that people focus too much on p values….

RT @paulg: @elonmusk I'd start from the principle that countries shouldn't invade their neighbors. It cost a lot to arrive at that principl….

RT @CJohnsonYCCD: Caveat that I’m not a smart guy, but. If I was looking through publicly available information and found something I thoug….

RT @edenhofer_jacob: @tradewartracker @FT Possibly of interest in that regard.