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Ivan Gorbadei Profile
Ivan Gorbadei

@IGorbadei

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10,050
Following
685
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1,160
Statuses
6,194

IT entrepreneur, realtor, investor. Opinions are my own. Tech singularity, transhumanism, AI. Follow, if you value to be well informed.

Toronto, Ontario
Joined July 2020
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
14 days
1/5 A first look at GTA’s data as April wraps up! With the probability of a June rate cut now at 61% (down from a recent 85%), real estate softness continues. Active listings are especially bad. More details in the 🧵 #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
8 months
@KirkLubimov Just to be clear, he is talking about those security agencies that need up to 3 years to perform a routine background checks of new PRs/citizens.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
@marksaunders_TO bro, your main idea was safety from crime, not bike hating...
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
Mid-July shows things are getting bad, quickly. The active inventory of Toronto condos is currently challenging the values of Covid year 2020. For more real-time snapshots, here is the thread 🧵 #tore #onre #cdnre 1/4
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
8 months
There is enough data from the first two weeks of September now to make some projections. The increase in listings is huge, beyond seasonal. GTA Active listings just got higher than 2020 covid year's values. 1/4
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
7 months
@cb_doge -Destroyed technical support that could prevent harassment and insults, including those based on protected grounds by law
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
6 months
@AlexanderGlista Dundas West. An intersection of subway, Up Express, GoTrain and street cars hub.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
I decided to start covering changes on Toronto rental market on a monthly basis from now on. Twitter has an abundance of resale stats, but very limited exposure to rental stats. This post covers entire turbulent events of 2020 on rental market. #tore #onre #Toronto #CondoCrash
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
@brianlilley @anthonyfurey That is not some abstract system failure, it has specific names to blame. Technically, a judge that releases a man that commits murder shortly after should be held accountable. If law doesn't have any instruments in place for this accountability, that is where press steps
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
Salaries are better in US, they told us... Affordability is better in US, they told us... ... Canada opened gates for 10k H1B-visa (common for IT people) holders from US. In 48 hours every space has been taken with a hunger!
@JeremyLNeufeld
Jeremy Neufeld
10 months
Within just 48 hours, 10,000 H-1B workers in the United States applied to move to Canada
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
9 months
@atBenBradbury Come to Russia, there is a lot of opportunities for what you desire there
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
@gordperks The democracy is not protecting majority. The democracy is protection of minorities. Before 1917, majority of Canadian voters thought its not OK to give voting rights to women. Majority isn't always right. That's why democracy protects minorities.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
Good morning, Tiff Maclem. Have a wonderful day!
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
The highest number of Active Listings in GTA was in September 2011, stunning 37592 properties. The lowest value on record was in December 2016, depressing 4746 homes. Guess what, today we have a new absolute low record, 4695 active listings in GTA. #tore #onre #canre #Ontario
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
Achievement unlocked 🎖️🎖️🎖️ 4%+ for Canadian 5y bonds #tore #onre #cdnre #cdnecon
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
@NaheedD Translation: Those provinces that will try to improve their healthcare system will face federal funding cuts as a punishment.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Ready for May 2022 GTA real estate numbers? Buckle up, because numbers aren't pretty! The details are inside 🧵 1/ #tore #onre #cdnre #Toronto #RealEstate
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
@unusual_whales So more than 14 cans per day is safe, right?
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
Happy April! March'21 GTA Real Estate data is quite shocking, printing new records by a large margin. Details are inside. P.S. Please support the hashtag #Free_COPR_Post_March18 as many new permanent residents are struggling, being unable to come to Canada #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
Random tip of the day💡 41.9% of all condos in Ontario are investment properties. The highest percentage among all provinces. #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
7 months
@theJagmeetSingh are these photos with your tenants?
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
What a morning...
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
Pools on balconies
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Market Update for July 2022. There are several interesting changes that happened in GTA Real Estate market in July 2022. This thread explains them all: 1/8 #tore #onre #cdnre #Toronto #RealEstate
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Hey Twitter, time to review the data for the full month of April in GTA and Toronto! The details are in the thread 🧵 1/ #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
9 months
@OpenAI I'd love to see another small upgrade. ChatGPT-5
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
8 months
1/5 The most recent data for September 2023 reveals a significant uptick in active listings. But If you've been following my mid-month updates, you're already in the loop😉 Nonetheless, let's dive deeper into the latest data 🧵 #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
@SabrinaMaddeaux Careful, your bank account can be frozen as a result of such claims. Criticizing the government is so much bigger offence than having a rental property.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Here is GTA data for March 2022. An "apocalypse edition". Twitter already has a lot of slowdown chatter and it is time to separate and admit the true changes from unreasonable exaggerations or inaccurate extrapolations. The details are inside the thread🧵 #tore #cdnre #onre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
8 months
@margot_rubin In Canada, BOC has never been independent. It always reported to Finance Minister. Independence of central bank is a foggy thing, ever CB is different. Some of them are not even public.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
Full GTA September 2021 Real Estate Market Update is inside⬇️⬇️⬇️ The background has been intentionally picked, because this report is truly labeled "To the Moon!". If you followed my tweets, you saw the early warnings about it. #canre #tore #onre #Canada #RealEstate #Ontario
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
8 months
More layoffs in big5 banks. And that is not the only example.
@BNNBloomberg
BNN Bloomberg
8 months
Royal Bank of Canada pushed ahead with a round of job cuts in its capital markets operations, part of broader reductions announced in August that may climb above 1,000 positions and are aimed at helping the bank deal with a challenging economic…
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
Real estate buyers are gaining an optimism after observing election results and reading a grotesque housing plan of Libs. Toronto condos were targeting at $725k avg price in September, but now jumped to $735k. Toronto detached were at $1.67M and now $1.72M. #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 month
@BradStanfieldMD My province of Ontario (15M people) currently has 3 active hospitalizations from Covid and 1 person in ICU. If myocarditis happens in 2.4-40 people per million, the benefits do not outweigh the risks. Your study is from 2021 when we had way more aggressive strains and the
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 month
@BradStanfieldMD Bro, this tweet makes me think that Sinclair and resveratrol are not scam...
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
@Jayde8700 in any case...
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
Here is my January 2023 stats compilation. There were many anecdotes about the market heating up lately and not much objective data was available to end-users. Time to change that and show the numbers ⬇️🧵 1/7
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Here is my mid-June review of Greater Toronto Area data. The month of crashing #Bitcoin and 0.75% rate hikes by #Fed . Let's dive into the charts🧵 1/ #tore #onre #cdnre #Toronto #RealEstate
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
If sales in May don't recover, Toronto condos are going into a staggering 3 MOI. Can it be more than 3 later this year? #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
Unpopular opinion: Despite the challenges faced by variable-rate borrowers due to further rate hikes, it appears these hikes have been effective in keeping 5-year Canadian bond yields below 4%. This effectively sets a ceiling for fixed mortgage rates, regardless of the number
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
The first look on the things happening around us in July 2022 on GTA Real Estate Market. The set of charts are in the thread 🧵 1/6 #tore #onre #cdnre #Toronto #RealEstate
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
@PeterDiamandis Who are "we"? Although there are promising advances, the existing stats does not support that claim at all. US even dropped lifespan and healthspan lately.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
That is all I have today. Please let me know if the data was useful. IMO, Bank of Canada at this moment should stop using word 'Slowdown' and 'Switch to correction' as most places are entering the negative year over year growth and dive below pricing of July last year.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Having the GTA resale data for 15 days of September, the monthly trends already revealed themselves. Good time to assess the impact of the oversized rate hike and make a projection for full month. Details below ⬇️ 1/
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
@helpmyfinances @FSGURU @ronmortgageguy Such an evil and terrible advice. Ever heard abour past landlord references?
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
@HonAhmedHussen I bet you'd love him to rent your rental property instead of that mansion
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
7 months
@PeterSchiff @SchiffGold How many days in the last 20 years you predicted gold not to go up? Somebody is biased here.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 months
Mid-March data snapshot for GTA. Active listings are at multi-year high and not stopping yet. Seems there is a potential to deny seasonality in April and grow more. 1/5
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Finally, I took my Citizenship oath yesterday (after almost 3 years of waiting) and now my wife received her PR approval email. IRCC suddenly started being very active.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
8 months
@RE_MarketWatch A person who can be scammed so easily should not have the ability to raise $395k so easily 🤔
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
I bet the GTA resale market can surprise you in August with a bunch of unexpected changes. Here is what happened in the last 15 days in GTA (the thread): 1/ #tore #onre #cdnre #Canada #RealEstate #Toronto
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
The last time Canadian 5Y bonds were that high was in 2007 👀👀👀 #cdnecon #cdre #onre #tore
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
7 months
1/4 Mid-October MLS data snapshot. Inventory continues to rise (except for Toronto detached houses). At this stage, this defies the seasonality. #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
@BarrySchwartzBW Few years back everyone was referencing a poll where an average Canadian is $200 away from not being able to service the debt. Now we are at double mortgage payments and the sky is still above us. Forgive us, if we are a bit skeptical now about reaching threshold of apocalypse.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Tiff Macklem: "Given the unsustainable strength of housing activity, moderation in housing would be healthy". Is he really making that speech in June 202 or somebody gave him February's data 🤔 Oshawa is red YOY now.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
RIP @mortgagejake . The nicest mortgage broker in Twitter ever. He was by far the friendliest man in the mortgage industry for me with great content and interesting ideas. Condolences to his family.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
11 months
There are some unusual trends happening in mid-June GTA data. Usually, May end the hot spring market season and both sales and active listings slowly decrease. Prices also moderate for the rest of the year. Not this time, here is what happened in the first half of June🧵: 1/8
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
That's all I have for today. The next update is on October 1st. If you liked the data, let me know. If you didn't - let me know too (in DM 😉). 8/8
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
February Mid-Month Price changes in Toronto: 1)Detached houses are going into stratosphere, making a $100k jump in average price from January 2)Condo prices returned to stable MOM growth path with projected comeback to positive YOY starting from April 2021 #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
11 months
@AaronGunn @FORMAFIST @BCToby In BC, you can't smoke cigarettes near my home, but you can smoke meth. Seriously?
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
4 months
1/4 The first data update for GTA and Toronto in the new 2024 year. Active listings are quite high, last time we had values like that was in 2019. #tore #cdnre #onre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Price keeps trending down. Most markets will enter negative year-over-year pricing in August'22 compared to August'21, but some of them already have done it. Surprisingly Toronto detached dived into red YOY, but the sales are low and it still have time by the end of the month 3/6
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
11 months
Canadian 5y bonds have just reached the previous peak values of October 2022 and going higher means levels that are unseen since 2007. The market clearly expects more inflation and more rate hikes to tackle it. #cdnecon
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
@RE_MarketWatch Well, you post these tweets at work time too, so I consider it funded by my tax dollars as well 🙂
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 months
1⃣/6⃣ While Twitter has been focused on the rumours about multiple offers for severely underpriced properties in the GTA, the real game changer has been missed so far. An aggregate of MLS stats for January 2024 reveals it. Dive into the details: 🧵 #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
Lastly, the average price. Probably the most resilient metric among all at the moment. Declines from June, but still stays positive YOY. 4/4
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
@codydberman 300k is the new 100k
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
My compilation of the end-month data for October 2022 is out. Details in the thread: 🧵⬇️⬇️⬇️ 1/6
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
Toronto Real Estate Market Update for December 2020 month end is ready! Happy New Year edition😉 There are pretty interesting trends for December. #tore #onre #canre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
15 days
@mortgageagentsn Its always easier to tell what the most vulnerable part of the society should do rather than being that part...
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Happy Canada Day, Twitter! I mean, Happy Home-buyer's Day! June 2022 GTA Stats increasingly looks like it is. The complete data coverage is in the thread below ⬇️⬇️⬇️ 1/.🧵 #tore #cdnre #Toronto #RealEstate
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 month
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
That's all I have for today. I hope it increased your awareness of market trends and events and provided more details than rumors from other agents. If it did, please retweet and like and I will see you with rental news coverage in few days!
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
TRREB introduces the new health coverage for GTA agents. Eliminating old insurance of $108/year and adding a new one of $659.88/year. I see many happy faces 😄
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
That's all I have for today. If data was useful for you - let me know. If you didn't like it - let me know too 😉 8/8
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
Both avg prices and sales remain comically low for January in GTA even after half-month milestone. Projected sales are now 2.1-2.5k, while last 5yrs had at least 4k. #tore #onre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
4 months
1/5 Wrapping up the GTA numbers for 2023 with December end-month stats. Here is the summary table. #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
8 months
@therealmrbench I don't think he is going to be upset
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
My calculations for June'21 Toronto Rental Market (MLS) are ready. 1⃣ Pre-pandemic levels of inventory have been reached 2⃣ Less than 1 MOI for studios, 1BRs and 2BRs 3⃣ Rent price acceleration increased. #onre #tore #cdnre #Toronto #RealEstate #Canada
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
An interesting observation about Feb market. Avg. price for detached houses is frozen now month-over-month in most suburbs. York is down. Toronto is the only area with MOM growing detached avg price. May be the end of WORK-FROM-HOME-IN-THE-MIDDLE-OF-NOWHERE religion. #onre #tore
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Full Re-Urbanization or full 2017 mode in April? Maybe both. Sales are really bad in April, pushing MOI to 2017 pattern even before rate hikes. At the same time, Toronto is having a comeback, with price gains for both condos and freeholds, while GTA has even bigger price drops.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
Average income of RE investors on CRA tax return. Lower than you imagined. #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 month
1/5 March-end GTA MLS update. Dangerously high listings, but average prices are holding. More details in the 🧵 #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
8 months
@JimChuong I recently found out that our DevOps engineer has 5+ properties and works just for fun. No hard feelings, just surprised🙂
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
@MoneyJrod My longest fulltime role was 7 years. I promised to never repeat the same mistake. And it really helps now, when on average it is 2 years.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
4 months
@RE_MarketWatch Never believe people in yellow t-shirts
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
10 months
July end-of-month data compilation solidifies the trends I've been earlier highlighting. A powerful shift is gaining rapid momentum. Here is the quick summary table for the month. Stay informed and dive into the details placed on charts in this thread 🧵 1/5 #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
What has happened in the first 14days of February? Are prices moderating? Listings accelerating? Showings not happening? Being well informed is your main weapon and I am going to leave no unknowns on this subject! Let's start 🧵 #tore #onre #cdnre
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
Hello Twitter, GTA Real Estate Update for April 2021 is ready! 1⃣ Some numbers may look like cooling, but do they really? 2⃣ Toronto Condo Apts printed the new All Time High, first time since Feb'20 3⃣ GTA has lowest MOI in at least 9 years #tore #onre #cdnre #realestate #Canada
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
@aCarnivoreDiet Last time when ppl were eating raw meat like lions, their average lifespan was 25 years
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
@mironov_fm Быть пессимистом - это win-win. Ты либо прав, либо приятно удивлен.
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
If you think Canada has taken a pause after inviting 1 million people last year, there is something you need to see. In March, Express Entry program is inviting people with an unprecedented speed... 3 x 7000 #canada #ircc #immigration
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
6 months
Work From Home is ending rapidly. Those who settled in suburbs will face back to office policies with unrealistic commute times, layoffs and house price drops. And even after being laid off, they will still need to commute to downtown to find another job. Downtown will be great
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
3 years
Scotiabank bank drafts now cost $9.5, an increase from $7.5 before March 1st. It accounts for 26.7% increase. Bank drafting bubble!!! #noinflation
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
🏠 Time to unveil the latest MLS data for March 2023 in the GTA. I've observed agents sharing optimistic stories with market skeptics. Let's explore the data to see if it backs up their claims. The thread 🧵⬇️ #tore #onre #cdnre 1/6
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
1 year
@cafreeland It is all because I'm working too much...
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@IGorbadei
Ivan Gorbadei
2 years
Everything we knew about August is too old already. In September: 1)Listings started to grow up consistently, can easily be 1k+ more by the month end 2)Sales are bad again, preliminary. July lows may be challenged. 3)Rents grow despite seasonally price flattening expectations
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