1/5
A first look at GTA’s data as April wraps up!
With the probability of a June rate cut now at 61% (down from a recent 85%), real estate softness continues. Active listings are especially bad.
More details in the 🧵
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
@KirkLubimov
Just to be clear, he is talking about those security agencies that need up to 3 years to perform a routine background checks of new PRs/citizens.
Mid-July shows things are getting bad, quickly.
The active inventory of Toronto condos is currently challenging the values of Covid year 2020.
For more real-time snapshots, here is the thread 🧵
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
1/4
There is enough data from the first two weeks of September now to make some projections.
The increase in listings is huge, beyond seasonal.
GTA Active listings just got higher than 2020 covid year's values.
1/4
I decided to start covering changes on Toronto rental market on a monthly basis from now on.
Twitter has an abundance of resale stats, but very limited exposure to rental stats.
This post covers entire turbulent events of 2020 on rental market.
#tore
#onre
#Toronto
#CondoCrash
@brianlilley
@anthonyfurey
That is not some abstract system failure, it has specific names to blame.
Technically, a judge that releases a man that commits murder shortly after should be held accountable. If law doesn't have any instruments in place for this accountability, that is where press steps
Salaries are better in US, they told us...
Affordability is better in US, they told us...
...
Canada opened gates for 10k H1B-visa (common for IT people) holders from US. In 48 hours every space has been taken with a hunger!
@gordperks
The democracy is not protecting majority.
The democracy is protection of minorities.
Before 1917, majority of Canadian voters thought its not OK to give voting rights to women. Majority isn't always right. That's why democracy protects minorities.
The highest number of Active Listings in GTA was in September 2011, stunning 37592 properties.
The lowest value on record was in December 2016, depressing 4746 homes.
Guess what, today we have a new absolute low record, 4695 active listings in GTA.
#tore
#onre
#canre
#Ontario
Happy April!
March'21 GTA Real Estate data is quite shocking, printing new records by a large margin.
Details are inside.
P.S. Please support the hashtag
#Free_COPR_Post_March18
as many new permanent residents are struggling, being unable to come to Canada
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
Market Update for July 2022.
There are several interesting changes that happened in GTA Real Estate market in July 2022.
This thread explains them all:
1/8
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
#Toronto
#RealEstate
1/5 The most recent data for September 2023 reveals a significant uptick in active listings. But If you've been following my mid-month updates, you're already in the loop😉
Nonetheless, let's dive deeper into the latest data 🧵
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
@SabrinaMaddeaux
Careful, your bank account can be frozen as a result of such claims.
Criticizing the government is so much bigger offence than having a rental property.
Here is GTA data for March 2022. An "apocalypse edition".
Twitter already has a lot of slowdown chatter and it is time to separate and admit the true changes from unreasonable exaggerations or inaccurate extrapolations.
The details are inside the thread🧵
#tore
#cdnre
#onre
@margot_rubin
In Canada, BOC has never been independent. It always reported to Finance Minister.
Independence of central bank is a foggy thing, ever CB is different. Some of them are not even public.
Full GTA September 2021 Real Estate Market Update is inside⬇️⬇️⬇️
The background has been intentionally picked, because this report is truly labeled "To the Moon!".
If you followed my tweets, you saw the early warnings about it.
#canre
#tore
#onre
#Canada
#RealEstate
#Ontario
Royal Bank of Canada pushed ahead with a round of job cuts in its capital markets operations, part of broader reductions announced in August that may climb above 1,000 positions and are aimed at helping the bank deal with a challenging economic…
Real estate buyers are gaining an optimism after observing election results and reading a grotesque housing plan of Libs.
Toronto condos were targeting at $725k avg price in September, but now jumped to $735k.
Toronto detached were at $1.67M and now $1.72M.
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
@BradStanfieldMD
My province of Ontario (15M people) currently has 3 active hospitalizations from Covid and 1 person in ICU.
If myocarditis happens in 2.4-40 people per million, the benefits do not outweigh the risks.
Your study is from 2021 when we had way more aggressive strains and the
Here is my January 2023 stats compilation.
There were many anecdotes about the market heating up lately and not much objective data was available to end-users.
Time to change that and show the numbers ⬇️🧵
1/7
Unpopular opinion:
Despite the challenges faced by variable-rate borrowers due to further rate hikes, it appears these hikes have been effective in keeping 5-year Canadian bond yields below 4%.
This effectively sets a ceiling for fixed mortgage rates, regardless of the number
@PeterDiamandis
Who are "we"? Although there are promising advances, the existing stats does not support that claim at all. US even dropped lifespan and healthspan lately.
That is all I have today.
Please let me know if the data was useful.
IMO, Bank of Canada at this moment should stop using word 'Slowdown' and 'Switch to correction' as most places are entering the negative year over year growth and dive below pricing of July last year.
Having the GTA resale data for 15 days of September, the monthly trends already revealed themselves.
Good time to assess the impact of the oversized rate hike and make a projection for full month.
Details below ⬇️
1/
Mid-March data snapshot for GTA.
Active listings are at multi-year high and not stopping yet.
Seems there is a potential to deny seasonality in April and grow more.
1/5
Finally, I took my Citizenship oath yesterday (after almost 3 years of waiting) and now my wife received her PR approval email.
IRCC suddenly started being very active.
1/4 Mid-October MLS data snapshot.
Inventory continues to rise (except for Toronto detached houses).
At this stage, this defies the seasonality.
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
@BarrySchwartzBW
Few years back everyone was referencing a poll where an average Canadian is $200 away from not being able to service the debt.
Now we are at double mortgage payments and the sky is still above us.
Forgive us, if we are a bit skeptical now about reaching threshold of apocalypse.
Tiff Macklem: "Given the unsustainable strength of housing activity, moderation in housing would be healthy".
Is he really making that speech in June 202 or somebody gave him February's data 🤔
Oshawa is red YOY now.
RIP
@mortgagejake
.
The nicest mortgage broker in Twitter ever.
He was by far the friendliest man in the mortgage industry for me with great content and interesting ideas.
Condolences to his family.
There are some unusual trends happening in mid-June GTA data.
Usually, May end the hot spring market season and both sales and active listings slowly decrease. Prices also moderate for the rest of the year.
Not this time, here is what happened in the first half of June🧵:
1/8
February Mid-Month Price changes in Toronto:
1)Detached houses are going into stratosphere, making a $100k jump in average price from January
2)Condo prices returned to stable MOM growth path with projected comeback to positive YOY starting from April 2021
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
1/4
The first data update for GTA and Toronto in the new 2024 year.
Active listings are quite high, last time we had values like that was in 2019.
#tore
#cdnre
#onre
Price keeps trending down. Most markets will enter negative year-over-year pricing in August'22 compared to August'21, but some of them already have done it.
Surprisingly Toronto detached dived into red YOY, but the sales are low and it still have time by the end of the month
3/6
Canadian 5y bonds have just reached the previous peak values of October 2022 and going higher means levels that are unseen since 2007.
The market clearly expects more inflation and more rate hikes to tackle it.
#cdnecon
1⃣/6⃣
While Twitter has been focused on the rumours about multiple offers for severely underpriced properties in the GTA, the real game changer has been missed so far.
An aggregate of MLS stats for January 2024 reveals it.
Dive into the details: 🧵
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
Toronto Real Estate Market Update for December 2020 month end is ready!
Happy New Year edition😉
There are pretty interesting trends for December.
#tore
#onre
#canre
Happy Canada Day, Twitter!
I mean, Happy Home-buyer's Day!
June 2022 GTA Stats increasingly looks like it is.
The complete data coverage is in the thread below ⬇️⬇️⬇️
1/.🧵
#tore
#cdnre
#Toronto
#RealEstate
That's all I have for today.
I hope it increased your awareness of market trends and events and provided more details than rumors from other agents.
If it did, please retweet and like and I will see you with rental news coverage in few days!
TRREB introduces the new health coverage for GTA agents.
Eliminating old insurance of $108/year and adding a new one of $659.88/year.
I see many happy faces 😄
Both avg prices and sales remain comically low for January in GTA even after half-month milestone.
Projected sales are now 2.1-2.5k, while last 5yrs had at least 4k.
#tore
#onre
My calculations for June'21 Toronto Rental Market (MLS) are ready.
1⃣ Pre-pandemic levels of inventory have been reached
2⃣ Less than 1 MOI for studios, 1BRs and 2BRs
3⃣ Rent price acceleration increased.
#onre
#tore
#cdnre
#Toronto
#RealEstate
#Canada
An interesting observation about Feb market.
Avg. price for detached houses is frozen now month-over-month in most suburbs. York is down.
Toronto is the only area with MOM growing detached avg price.
May be the end of WORK-FROM-HOME-IN-THE-MIDDLE-OF-NOWHERE religion.
#onre
#tore
Full Re-Urbanization or full 2017 mode in April? Maybe both.
Sales are really bad in April, pushing MOI to 2017 pattern even before rate hikes.
At the same time, Toronto is having a comeback, with price gains for both condos and freeholds, while GTA has even bigger price drops.
July end-of-month data compilation solidifies the trends I've been earlier highlighting.
A powerful shift is gaining rapid momentum.
Here is the quick summary table for the month.
Stay informed and dive into the details placed on charts in this thread 🧵
1/5
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
What has happened in the first 14days of February?
Are prices moderating?
Listings accelerating?
Showings not happening?
Being well informed is your main weapon and I am going to leave no unknowns on this subject!
Let's start 🧵
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
Hello Twitter,
GTA Real Estate Update for April 2021 is ready!
1⃣ Some numbers may look like cooling, but do they really?
2⃣ Toronto Condo Apts printed the new All Time High, first time since Feb'20
3⃣ GTA has lowest MOI in at least 9 years
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
#realestate
#Canada
If you think Canada has taken a pause after inviting 1 million people last year, there is something you need to see.
In March, Express Entry program is inviting people with an unprecedented speed...
3 x 7000
#canada
#ircc
#immigration
Work From Home is ending rapidly.
Those who settled in suburbs will face back to office policies with unrealistic commute times, layoffs and house price drops.
And even after being laid off, they will still need to commute to downtown to find another job.
Downtown will be great
🏠 Time to unveil the latest MLS data for March 2023 in the GTA.
I've observed agents sharing optimistic stories with market skeptics.
Let's explore the data to see if it backs up their claims.
The thread 🧵⬇️
#tore
#onre
#cdnre
1/6
Everything we knew about August is too old already.
In September:
1)Listings started to grow up consistently, can easily be 1k+ more by the month end
2)Sales are bad again, preliminary. July lows may be challenged.
3)Rents grow despite seasonally price flattening expectations