huss ๐ ๐ฆ
@Husslin_
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โbet moreโ // tradfi+crypto quant fund founder // ex tradfi MM, ex investment banker // microstructure+hft nerd // Saudi, Chicago // @UChicagoAlumni
Joined June 2019
Alpha Threads (start at the top, then scroll down below here).
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I believe the market wants to squeeze up. I shorted the news yesterday as the market was buying into an obvious event (the only surprise wouldโve been announcing BTC purchases without congressional approval). The down move cleared a bunch of OI. Now letโs look at the medium-term
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You sold your coins because of Iranian bottle rockets in the parking lot. Think about that.
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๐จ๐จ๐จ.ETHEREUM FOUNDATION SUBPOENAED FOR THE FIRST TIME IN ITS HISTORY; ETF REJECTION INEVITABLE?. NFA; read below for my analysis and opinion. The Facts.- The foundation has removed the Warrant Canary from its website, indicating in a Github repository that they have been
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@Rewkang @MustStopMurad Muradโs talk .Or.China stimulus + Fed cut. Hmmm, really tough one.
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How to play crypto bull markets:. Turn on.4hr 50/99 EMA.1d 13/25/50 EMA. Bid at/below.Sell extended moves above. Thatโs it.
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Small alpha leak: the CME closes for an hour from 5-6pm ET. The market becomes extra thin during this window, resulting in exaggerated moves. Price *usually* mean reverts after 6pm, but of course this all depends on general positioning and the magnitude of the move. Itโs v.
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Be delusional, embrace your insanity. Youโre not gonna become successful by being a realist or a bearish French cuck. The greatest conquerors operated with constant delusion. You donโt march on Vienna unless youโre batshit crazy.
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Your counterparty still thinks Blackrock is some Jew in the shadows that buys and sells at their own discretion . As opposed to a bunch of boomer monkeys ripping shit in their PA.
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54k, 2 days ago: this asset class is a scam and weโre going to 30k. 59k, today: macro backdrop looks great, ETH ETF, elections. You guys are such buffoons.
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> I take profit.> โHuss are u calling the top??โ . I donโt care about tops and bottoms. I put on trades when I see asymmetry and I take profits when the edge is captured.
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It is actually comical how certain large players execute orders, in a predictable and hasty fashion. Itโs been a while now where the 1st wk of the month dips significantly, while the 2nd/3rd wks bid endlessly. You even saw crypto front run it today prior to mkt open, obvious to.
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*BINANCE FOUNDER CHANGPENG ZHAO RELEASED FROM US CUSTODY: BBG.
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A thread on the "impending doom in markets". Weโre beginning to see concerning signs lately in the volatility space during this rally. Itโs important to note that hedges against index volatility have been one of the most supportive factors during this general downtrend. (1/13).
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There are some who are just now putting on the Trump trade after the factโฆ. Me personally โ Iโm taking profit at 75k and leaving 10-20%.
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Wonder what happens in a thin market like crypto when ppl overhedge with shorts at range lows, for a (mostly) priced-in macro eventโฆ
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Youโre too hesitant to take profit because youโre not confident enough in finding other trades. Youโve been posting about 4k ETH for weeks while it bled down to 3.4k. Reassess your strategy bum, and work on consistency instead of praying on your luck and marrying your bias.
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Learn to explain the โwhyโ element of any strategy/heuristic you use. Most strategies are highly situational. If you cannot understand why something happens, then youโre just throwing darts with a blindfold. Letโs take for instance โprice reverts to the mean more often during.
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Boomers be like. Buy at 50k? Nah ๐ฅฑ. Buy at 90k? Hell yea ๐.
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@simpelyfe To each their own, but doesnโt bring me fulfillment. At the end of the day, this life is a test. Your blessings โ whether intelligence, beauty, wealth, etc โ come with expectations. If youโre out here flaunting these gifts to make others feel worse bc youโre insecure, then youโre.
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When ppl are bearish, it doesnโt just mean theyโre short. It also means theyโre very quick to close their longs (and slow to open them), resulting in fleeting rallies on and on. One step forward, two steps back, unless some catalyst changes sentiment. The opposite is also true.
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@zachxbt @ColdBloodShill The track record speaks volumes.- blows up investor capital during COVID.- launches STFX, which slow rugs and eventually funds his current wallets.- now resorts to shilling scam coins with trillion dollar targets . But yea sure, tell me more about how heโs good for the space.
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Learn to recognize illiquid regimes and donโt conflate significant price moves with strength/weakness, when itโs just thin books all around. Best to reduce leverage + increase price targets + forget ur technical levels during these regimes. Price is just a historical
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> youโve known for more than a year that rate cuts are coming .> markets are forward-looking.> but you waited until after the announcement to become levered beta.> โwhy am I underperforming??โ. The modern fund manager everyone.
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Yeah sorry I canโt buy the Hyperliquid token, I have to save my funds for the 30Y treasury auction on Tuesday.
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Once again, youโll fall for it and buy the Trump news like a mouth breather. You might get a little pop, but ppl alrdy expect him to chat shit and say anything to get elected, the mkt isnโt stupid . It isnโt like the US govt is actually gonna mkt buy 1m BTC tmrw (and no, nobodyโs.
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If youโre putting your money into Iggy or Jenner tokens or whatever, why should I care? This marketโs job is not to protect you. You already know going in that itโs a scam, youโre just hoping you get to sell before you get dumped on. Itโs a game of musical chairs, stop crying.
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1 day till the full moon and youโre jeeting because of some gay Europoors. Ngmi.
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Closed another 15% at 89.8, rest Iโll let ride. I wanna be clear, this was a Trump event trade in which I previously longed at 50k. My philosophy with event trades is always close post-announcement. Yea in this scenario we missed some upside but 90% of the time, itโs a good
There are some who are just now putting on the Trump trade after the factโฆ. Me personally โ Iโm taking profit at 75k and leaving 10-20%.
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Much needed flush for ETH. Itโs like that drunk friend thatโs been stumbling home from the bar for an entire yr finally puking.
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Sell in May and go away. Buy in June weโre going to the moon. Sell in July, itโs gonna die . Buy in August, itโs the hottest . Sell in September, donโt u remember?.
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All Iโm gonna say is โ hot prints marked the last 2 tops. We just had a cool print. Do with that info what you will. Give the market a couple days to digest.
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@ColdBloodShill Idk why we pretend to be dumb and constantly post these reductionist arguments . It doesnโt matter if you tell ppl when u buy. Itโs highly disingenuous when you begin to post extremely far fetched targets to lure the herd into buying your bags, then you sell into them at.
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One of my fav trades is just front running whole numbers. Historically has worked for Bitcoin (19k, 49k, 69k, 99k etc). Not necessarily macro tops/bottoms, but make for good local ones.
@TylerMogz 99k, 109k, etc who tf knows.
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@based16z Absolutely not 1-5m for fulltime. At that range youโre gonna have to take unnecessary risks for sustainable returns (unless you donโt mind living modestly). Imo should have a job AND invest until you reach 25m+, no need to be fulltime from the start.
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Market sells off heading into FOMCโฆ . Hmm when have I seen that before? You know the drill by now . Hint: donโt be a jeet.
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Bro got a gf and immediately became a paypig. How many Birkins does this hoe need, how about MY bags.
A wallet related to vitalik.eth(@VitalikButerin) sold 190 $ETH for 441,971 $USDC again 20 minutes ago!. The wallet received 3,800 $ETH($9.8M) from #Vitalik and has sold 950 $ETH($2.28M) at an average price of $2,396 since Aug 30.
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If youโre tryna build a medium-term position, the best places to bid are around range lows (80-83). If that doesnโt hold, prior ATH could be decent as well.
I believe the market wants to squeeze up. I shorted the news yesterday as the market was buying into an obvious event (the only surprise wouldโve been announcing BTC purchases without congressional approval). The down move cleared a bunch of OI. Now letโs look at the medium-term
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@Daniil_Zlobin_ The speed at which you try to make it, is the speed at which you lose it.
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Who couldโve seen this coming
@0xAnteater Using 20x lev with $8.5m should tell you all you need to know abt this guyโs sophistication/risk mgmt . Weโve all seen how this ends.
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Donโt fool yourself, this has nothing to do with Mt Gox or Germany, but this has everything to do with the fact that weโre a market of hopeful retards that buy every top and dip because it usually works, till it eventually doesnโtโฆ. It happens, just donโt get taken out.
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Be cautious shorting here. There is a narrative that can be weaponized by the market to justify a breakout (election crypto policies + lower rates). Weโve also been consolidating for several months in a range so you do have the positioning necessary to go higher. Look at alts for.
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Why these spots are ideal for bottoms:. - Algos mindlessly closing longs and reducing leverage in mkt. - Liqs reset positioning. - Funds forced to open shorts to manage risk . - Market makers pulling bids/asks so books are piss thin rn . - Ppl afraid to catch knives here.
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Below is the all-encompassing guide into how crypto funds and participants trade
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Itโs just me trading against a couple LTF EMA and momentum algos, while every fund manager is enjoying the holiday week in the Hamptons or South of France. End my misery.
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Those that gloat about winning do so because theyโre not used to it, itโs an unfamiliar feeling. Otherwise, it would just be another day. Real Gs move in silence like lasagna.
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Ppl immediately fading CT sentiment not realizing this is one of the smartest crypto forums. Study Reddit and Tik Tokโฆ.
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Sweat is weakness leaving the body.Selling is weakness leaving the market.
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Theyโre talking about ETH btw.
BREAKING: ๐ฎ๐ท Iranian state TV says "in coming hours, the world will witness extraordinary scenes and very important developments."
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If youโre not bidding here youโre kind of a pussy ngl.
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@Noneofu63257476 @TMtheOG @based16z My family and country. Iโm not rly into the material, I dedicate most of my money to funding education globally and astrophysics research in Saudi Arabia.
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Not only did we just have a historic alt leverage wipeout. Study what happened to ETH/alts after the last halvingโฆ itโs a logical rotation.
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โWhy did you buy here?โ. Idk tbh there was a horizontal line on my Tradingview phone chart that I forgot to remove 6 months ago.
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Many of you would benefit from learning that markets range 70% of the time. Stop treating every move as if itโs a trend forming, and simply enjoy the ranges . โ3% rallyโ -> itโs going to 80k!.โ3% dumpโ -> 50k it isโฆ. Get some help.
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ETH below 3k is a good buy heading into the inevitable ETF rejection imo. Ppl have been offloading their spot for weeks and hedging with shorts/puts, yet price is still getting absorbed down here. A rejection wouldnโt be a surprise to the mkt at this point, take advantage.
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Keep your family and a couple of best friends close man, the rest donโt matter. Itโs easy to get lost in the sauce.
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Youโll never become a good trader if you constantly find yourself having to pick sides between โbearโ and โbullโ. Youโll just have big wins then big losses, ultimately reverting to your mean. Crab always wins in a regime of illiquidity and uncertainty.
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This market loves chasing at the highs and at the lows. Summer illiquidity goes both ways. -> Excess at range lowโฆ excess at range high
6/ Good rule of thumb: this market is dumb as rocks. People see price go up, they buy. They see price go down, they sell. No need to overcomplicate.
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Iโll also say, study Newtonโs third law of motion. Whenever price eventually comes back down, be it in a week, month, etc, donโt be surprised when itโs just as swift. No supply on the way up = most likely no demand on the way down . *This is not a bearish post, just mkt mechanics.
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If you constantly find yourself vying for that one huge win, itโs because you donโt trust your ability to perform consistently. Thatโs a problem.
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Study options. A lot of you seem incapable of trading beyond one dimension, so if you donโt wanna learn: for the bulls out there, take fucking profit, and for the bears, markets wonโt go down until every one of you is squeezed out of their last penny (sorry, those are the rules).
Good afternoon. Some of you are ok. Don't fall for bull market genius up only zuper cycle chanting again this round. Later,.N.
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We will pump off the bottom extremely quickly, leaving most sideline investors stuck in fiat.
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What happened to CT bruh.When did yโall become pussy.
@blknoiz06 why the fuck would I wanna flip it into 100m? just allocate to lower risk 4-5% APY shit and live freely? this fucking place is so out of touch its unreal.
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@0xAnteater Using 20x lev with $8.5m should tell you all you need to know abt this guyโs sophistication/risk mgmt . Weโve all seen how this ends.
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I wanna reiterate for the millionth time โ donโt tail my trades. I trade both directions. I use lower leverage than you. I donโt tweet every single detail about how I manage my positions. I just post here for discussion, not to give you โcallsโ.
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If an asset has been heavy for an entire yr, what makes you think thatโll suddenly change? Itโs heavy for a reason.
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If I see one more post about negative funding I swear to fucking god.
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Betting more isn't about degening every trade in hopes of extracting a larger reward. It is about sizing properly when you truly have conviction, and conviction shouldn't come easily nor frequently. Knowing the difference between a home-run and a single is where experience comes.
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Imagine resorting to scamming. Utter low life behavior. Money and all this material shit do not make up for your values as a person. How can you have respect for yourself?.
@blknoiz06 @IamNomad Bro if the rumors about RTR being fake and ran by ponzi,ice,mayne and size chad are true you are gonna look like a saint.
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โOh Iโm 5โ4 and sheโs a Vogue model, way outta my leagueโ. โWeโll never be able to hit our raise, the target is too highโ. โBTCโs topping at 63kโ. โWhat if my investment thesis is wrongโ. โIโm not smart enough to ace this examโ. Okay cuck.
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