Hanna Notte
@HannaNotte
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Russia | Middle East | Nuclear weapons | Director for Eurasia @JamesMartinCNS | Snr. Associate @csiserep | Oxford PhD| Writing a book @wwnorton I Berlin-based
Berlin
Joined October 2015
No, a world shaped by #Trump’s temperament & might-is-right principles actually isn’t good for #Putin - for as long as he indulges his illusion of total victory in Ukraine. The #Alaska summit won't change that. My essay in @nytimes
https://t.co/tuBASSJjMf
nytimes.com
Russia’s president has long insisted that Ukraine will be his. But his obsession may cost Russia more than he has bargained for.
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On the reality of #Russia's presence in today's #Syria: "Russian personnel have to give prior notice of their movements to the Internal Security Service of Syria and are only allowed to travel under escort, according to Syrian security officers." https://t.co/yyhP1sDRwg
nytimes.com
President Ahmed al-Shara is making his first trip to Moscow, which backed the regime his rebels overthrew. Both sides have reasons to put the past aside.
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Lavrov warns: Tomahawks for Ukraine would "turn Biden’s war into Trump’s war" He paints Trump as a victim of European pressure to "abandon his internal convictions" Russia's strategy of ingratiating itself with Trump to split the US/Europe remains intact https://t.co/qWdwA38sVZ
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In a remarkable first, Syria's Al-Shara is in Moscow today to meet Putin Though Russia postponed its Russia-Arab summit due to the Gaza ceasefire, Al-Shara still went to Moscow In a recent @ForeignAffairs essay, I discuss how & why Russia retained influence in post-Assad Syria
10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad. His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin. But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity. My essay in @ForeignAffairs
https://t.co/2Lds44P8Cx
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In a remarkable first, Syria's Al-Shara is in Moscow today to meet Putin Though Russia postponed its Russia-Arab summit due to the Gaza ceasefire, Al-Shara still went to Moscow In a recent @ForeignAffairs essay, I discuss how & why Russia retained influence in post-Assad Syria
10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad. His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin. But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity. My essay in @ForeignAffairs
https://t.co/2Lds44P8Cx
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Major changes are afoot in the Middle East, but there are always continuities with the past. One is Russian influence in Syria, which some observers assumed would end when Assad was toppled. w/ @HannaNotte: https://t.co/2RqqP5ddj4
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When asked why Russia isnt represented in #SharmElSheik, Lavrov says Russia doesnt "impose its mediation services" on anyone The Russia-Arab summit planned for Wedn also had to be postponed Not since intervening in Syria in 2015 has Russia been so sidelined in Mideast diplomacy
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.@HannaNotte discusses Russia’s foothold in Syria—and argues that U.S. and European leaders should “avoid forcing Syria’s new government to pick between their help or Russia’s.” https://t.co/LM9iZLfMu0
foreignaffairs.com
How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.
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Congratulations @amenka - this will be a must-read in 2026!
My forthcoming book From Sovereigns to Servants: How the War against Ukraine Reshaped Russia’s Elite is now officially with @HurstPublishers. It’s about loyalty and survival at the top of Putin’s system. How and why Russian elites adapted to the war 🔗
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"Even if Moscow manages to preserve its bases, however, it will not be among the key players to shape Syria’s destiny. Bogged down in Ukraine, it simply lacks the financial and military resources to do so."
10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad. His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin. But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity. My essay in @ForeignAffairs
https://t.co/2Lds44P8Cx
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10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad. His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin. But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity. My essay in @ForeignAffairs
https://t.co/2Lds44P8Cx
foreignaffairs.com
How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.
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“Russia will not be among the key players to shape Syria’s destiny,” writes @HannaNotte. “Bogged down in Ukraine, it simply lacks the financial and military resources to do so, and it will be eclipsed by the Arab Gulf states and Turkey.” https://t.co/QNgvnFmUnF
foreignaffairs.com
How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.
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10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad. His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin. But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity. My essay in @ForeignAffairs
https://t.co/2Lds44P8Cx
foreignaffairs.com
How Moscow has retained influence in the post-Assad era.
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President Putin announced Russia will stick to New START limits for a year after the treaty expiration in 2026, and will review its policy according to the US actions after
rbc.ru
ДСНВ уже 15 лет участвует в поддержании баланса в сфере стратегических вооружений, отметил Путин. Отказ от договора будет означать исчезновение последнего международного соглашения об ограничении
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For those interested in the specifics of #Russia trying to avert the reimposition of sanctions on #Iran, read this by @NicoleGrajewski Also re: the implications: "Moscow seeks to recast compliance with Security Council resolutions as optional when they are, in fact, mandatory."
New post on Russia's position on snapback sanctions on Iran and how Moscow might try to legitimize its noncompliance once sanctions go into effect https://t.co/raHDXVjmLl
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After Ukraine, Moscow may turn its attention south. Africa Corps is already paving the way.
warontherocks.com
What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian
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In my latest for @WarOnTheRocks I look at what Africa Corps is up to and what its activities suggest about #Russia‘s long-term strategy in the Sahel and beyond https://t.co/wByjhXbd6Q
warontherocks.com
What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian
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What began as a Wagner replacement is turning into something much larger.
warontherocks.com
What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian
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After Ukraine, Moscow may turn its attention south. Africa Corps is already paving the way.
warontherocks.com
What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian
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What began as a Wagner replacement is turning into something much larger.
warontherocks.com
What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian
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In my latest for @WarOnTheRocks I look at what Africa Corps is up to and what its activities suggest about #Russia‘s long-term strategy in the Sahel and beyond https://t.co/wByjhXbd6Q
warontherocks.com
What if Moscow’s most dangerous moves right now aren’t in Europe, but along the Gulf of Guinea? With its resources sunk deep into Ukraine, the Russian
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