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@Foster
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Tech guy, developer, and degenerate. Now gambling on anything via prediction markets π
Joined May 2013
Shoutout @EamonJavers for saving @locksybets bankroll ππ
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I AM FORMALLY INVITING @BillAckman TO COME ON STREAM AND PUMP CUOMO YES SHARES 5 Days left in the race Bill, this is your final chance to make a case for why Cuomo is undervalued on Prediction Markets If you truly care for NYC, I'll see you on stream
I keep heard from some that they have given up hope on the NYC mayoral election based on the probability of @ZohranKMamdani reflected by Polymarket. The problem is that it takes only a small amount of capital to influence Polymarket trading levels. Please see the post below about
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LIVE NOW
HUGE GUEST TONIGHT @LoganLajTrading $500 to $100K on Kalshi in Under a Month >How he did it >Trading Strategies >What's next for him LIVE ON X - 6PM ET
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"Will the Sunday Night Football announcers say Inch or Inches during the game?" I cant even think of why "inches" would come up in an NFL game, I'm riding inch no
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This is an awesome analysis and well written look into the inflation markets on Kalshi. For anybody looking for real alpha and good insight into some prediction markets, you should definitely follow @Nostroah - I love these kind of posts
I've discovered some new insights from @Reuters about the possibility that October's inflation data might not be published. If you haven't checked out @Kalshi's rules yet, now's the time! Here's how to profit in the CPI markets for October. π§΅
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Unfortunately I am going to miss being on as a guest but make sure you guys tune in to PMT tonight, this is going to be sweet
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Live interview with the former head of operations at Kalshi - Excited to watch this and anybody curious about the future of prediction markets should tune in! https://t.co/lQR0yGlP3u
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Obviously these aren't directly offsetting positions but just giving an example for how these markets offer new ways to trade on the game. I'm just obsessed with mention markets and I'm gonna hype them regardless, I also enjoy sports so this is a new favorite of mine
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These also offer a unique way for you to potentially hedge against any positions you might have on the actual outcome of the game. For example, if you are hoping for a game to have a team win by a large amount, you may be able to hedge by purchasing shares of the announcers to
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Tonight Kalshi has another mention market on the NFL announcers for tonight's Sunday Night Football. These are a new type of mention, they are super fun and I think anybody watching/trading the actual game should check it out. These markets are super new and very inefficient
kalshi.com
Track what Kalshi's markets predict for "What will the announcers say during the Green Bay vs Dallas game?", or trade it yourself.
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I may have found an arbitrage opportunity... In seriousness - went 2/4 tonight on my picks, but came out very ahead in PNL - my highest conviction pick trump 3+ NO hit and covered my lotto (Tylenol YES) and my small emotional hedge (Kalshi NO) So wild, hope everybody had fun!
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About 45 minutes til this airs, check out the market here:
kalshi.com
Track what Kalshi's markets predict for "What will the South Park characters say during the prediction market episode?", or trade it yourself.
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Kalshi has a Mention Market for tonightβs episode of South Park, which the main topic is about Prediction Markets themselves - This is going to be very meta and very fun. Not financial advice, but here are my picks for tonight: - Kalshi NO <85c I'm considering this my emotional
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Prediction markets are kinda blowing up right now and will be the topic of tomorrow nights South Park episode. This is pretty nuts, now to top it off I would love to see a mention market on what the boys will say in the episode to make it even more meta π
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PMT is streaming all of the mention markets happening today on Kalshi, talking strategy, researching, and live trading the events. This is the content I've been dying for in the space. JD's speech is starting in just a couple minutes
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