Fhantom
@FhantomBets
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Full time gambler, part time winner
Joined November 2015
*Speculating* how the Nobel Peace Prize winner was leaked: Last night I hosted a *difficult* interview with the alleged “insider” in the Nobel Peace Prize market on Polymarket. Despite an hour of questions, we were still stuck wondering how a trader or team could know Maria
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Flying into NYC today and around all week, any prediction market folks want to hang?
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Months after insiders called GPT-5 release date a week early on Polymarket, they showed up again to trade on OpenAI's browser launch. Odds ripped ~30% to 60% in 48h, hit 90% overnight. Just now, the announcement dropped. Price moved before the news, same signature as August.
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Throwback to getting rinsed on this market 2 years ago😅
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I see no problems here, these people Bet On Their Beliefs ™
In fact, many airdrop farmers on Polymarket aren't very smart. If @Polymarket announces a bounty hunt for sybils before the airdrop, it could bring big rewards to many smart people.
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You can't get liquidated on Polymarket, but you can by the Giants😬
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I speak no lies. Hoping genuine traders get rewarded and wash traders get zero.
Polymarket Airdrop Farmers Have Become 'More Sophisticated' as Token Launch Looms ► https://t.co/YysjeMDJPF
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I've been using betmoar to track holders and see how the sharp election bettors are positioned. For foreign elections, I like to see ciro1 and gopfan2 on my side.
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It's election day in Bolivia and Rodrigo Paz, trading at .1c 2 months ago and winning the first round, has flipped to a favorite overnight. 61% to win with an hour left to polls close. Sharp action seems to be on Paz, I'm backing him to WIN today. https://t.co/PBLkuQGjHT
polymarket.com
Polymarket | The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election....
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I've been in this market for a while now, still looking for overconfident Swifties to fill my bids!
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About time a Polymarket badge account posts a real trade opportunity: https://t.co/2cj6lxRmXF Bad Bunny looks like a lock for Top Spotify Artist. He's well ahead of Taylor, and her new album didn't close the gap. 90-92c, ~50d hold to Spotify Wrapped, >60% APR, not bad!
polymarket.com
Polymarket | This is a market on identifying the top Spotify artist for the year 2025.
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Yes I can.
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TOMORROW’S HOT GUESTS: @samleecole
@parkerjayp
@SilvermanJacob
@FhantomBets TOMORROW’S HOT TOPICS: ChatGPT’s Erotica Era, Polymarket Nobel Prize Investigation, Gen-Z investing habits, Elon Musk, and more
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Tom Brady just brought up @Polymarket live on national TV 🤯 “Check the Polymarket, see what it says”
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