Fergus Kell
@FergusKell
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Research Fellow (East Africa) for @ChathamHouse's @AfricaProg
London
Joined July 2009
🇹🇿🌐My new research paper for @ChathamHouse w @AllyMasabo & @Till_Feltes: Reviving Tanzania’s regional leadership and global engagement Niwakaribishani kusoma utafiti wetu mpya: Kufufua uongozi wa kikanda na ushiriki wa kimataifa wa Tanzania https://t.co/B8SlL4KcAJ
chathamhouse.org
Tanzania’s rising economic influence and its ambitions for major cross-border infrastructure projects demand a more proactive approach to foreign policy. The policy review currently under way is a...
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The African Union intends to set up an African Credit Rating Agency next year — but an Africa-only rating agency will not serve the continent well. Read @davidlubin's (@ch_gef) latest analysis for Chatham House⤵️ https://t.co/AXjCLg5oH6
chathamhouse.org
As long as African borrowers wish to compete in a global capital market, an Africa-only rating agency won’t serve the continent well.
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This is the first time that China has agreed such a currency conversion. Ethiopia’s move to initiate talks with Beijing on converting its debt suggests others may follow Kenya's lead. Read @FergusKell's (@AfricaProg) latest analysis⤵️ https://t.co/G0si9YgilN
chathamhouse.org
Swap from the US dollar comes amid difficult relations with Washington but is primarily driven by the Kenyan government’s domestic economic and political concerns rather than marking a major de-dol...
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🇰🇪🇨🇳 My new comment piece on Kenya’s China loan currency swap and implications for US relations: Kenya’s conversion of Chinese debt to renminbi reflects economic pragmatism more than strained US ties | @ChathamHouse @AfricaProg
chathamhouse.org
Swap from the US dollar comes amid difficult relations with Washington but is primarily driven by the Kenyan government’s domestic economic and political concerns rather than marking a major de-dol...
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Joined @GHessebon, Foreign Minister Ethiopia, @MAWareSO, Deputy Executive Secretary IGAD, @HannaTetteh, UN Secretary General Rep in Libya and other leaders at the ongoing conference on Africa’s Rising Influence: Advancing Agency in Foreign Policy & Global Governance in Addis
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While this is the first time that China has agreed such a currency conversion, Ethiopia’s move to initiate talks with Beijing on converting its debt suggests others may follow Kenya's lead. Read @FergusKell's (@AfricaProg) latest analysis⤵️ https://t.co/G0si9YgilN
chathamhouse.org
Swap from the US dollar comes amid difficult relations with Washington but is primarily driven by the Kenyan government’s domestic economic and political concerns rather than marking a major de-dol...
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What’s really happening in Tanzania’s political and social landscape? Research experts Fergus Kell and Nicodemus Minde break it down with @OBurrows at 9PM on #CitizenWeekend
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🇹🇿 For those wondering how today's results in #Tanzania stack up with the past, here is a comparison of voter registration, voting age population (according to census data), and voter turnout.
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Interviewed yesterday for @dwnews on developments in #Tanzania - situation remains uncertain but national dialogue, long-term constitutional reforms and release of political prisoners all essential steps.
🇹🇿 On @dwnews’ AfricaLink podcast, @ChathamHouse’s @FergusKell discusses #Tanzania’s October 29 election which saw internet blackouts and a groundswell of unrest as Tanzanians question the legitimacy of the process. What does this fallout mean for the #Tanzania’s democratic
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🎙️New on #AfricaAware | ‘Will elections in #Tanzania bring change?’ with @thomasjkibwana, Anna Bwana (@Twaweza_NiSisi) and @DeusValentine Listen ↓ 🟠Soundcloud: https://t.co/M7FmKXpVkg 🟣Apple Podcasts: https://t.co/wXDwGIzh3q 🟢Spotify: https://t.co/4vMsTY81CA Read
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Includes a note on 2019 Auditor General’s report (contains several errors on interest rates) and links to recent Songas termination @ThabitSenior
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🇹🇿 New piece for @ChathamHouse @AfricaProg looks at #Tanzania's election and why removing all competition hurts economic prospects, not just democracy. https://t.co/lIn6sz7oIl
chathamhouse.org
Victory for President Samia Suluhu Hassan and her CCM party is assured after a crackdown on the opposition. But this result could affect Tanzania’s longer-term ambitions.
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Former Kenyan Prime Minister Raila Odinga has died at the age of 80. Odinga died on Wednesday, while receiving medical treatment at a hospital in India. https://t.co/tjxPQtm4Ef
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🗨️#Tanzania has ambitions to position itself as a leading trade hub, not only for #EastAfrica but also for southern African neighbours like #Zambia and #Malawi – @ChathamHouse’s @FergusKell on 🇹🇿’s burgeoning maritime ambitions via @forbesafrica
https://t.co/Ll5cbqtJjS
forbesafrica.com
The region’s coastline has become a hotspot for development as nations like Djibouti, Tanzania and Kenya look to secure or retain domestic and global trade routes. Kenya’s Port of Mombasa, the...
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Kenya has converted its Chinese railway loans into yuan, a move Treasury CS John Mbadi says will save $215M annually in debt servicing. The $5B SGR loans from China Exim Bank funded the Mombasa–Nairobi line, with $3.5B still outstanding as of June 2024.
bloomberg.com
Kenya converted its Chinese railway loans from dollars to yuan, cutting annual debt-servicing costs by $215 million and setting a potential precedent for other African nations.
Kenya is in talks with China to convert ~$5B of dollar debt into yuan and extend maturities, a move Treasury says could halve interest costs & save ~$1B annually. Of Kenya’s $40.5B external debt, the World Bank holds $14.4B, Eurobond investors $7.5B & China ranks third. [BBG]
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🚨Upcoming conference with @africa_amani | #Africa’s rising influence Register↓ https://t.co/aV292eO4zy 🗓️5 – 6 November 2025 📍Addis Ababa, Ethiopia & Online Speakers include: → H.E. Dr. Gedion Timothewos (@MFAEthiopia), @SGNduva (@jumuiya), @Amb_Mulamula, Michelle Ndiaye
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🇸🇩 If pro-democracy civilians are to prevail over men with guns, various civic groups must do more to unite in a broad civilian front anchored in shared principles, writes Rosalind Marsden on the war in #Sudan ahead of the #UNGA for @ChathamHouse
https://t.co/LcQ1DChw70
chathamhouse.org
As world leaders gather for the UN General Assembly, now is the time to put the focus back on Sudan and build international support for ending the war.
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🧵(1/8) My latest @XCEPT_Research paper for @ChathamHouse with @baldozer09 outlines how #Sudan’s 🇸🇩 gold sector intersects with internal and external conflict dynamics + calls for sustainable regional and intl. interventions to end the #WarInSudan: https://t.co/XAQOqnURnz
chathamhouse.org
The trade of gold is perpetuating Sudan’s civil war and connecting the conflict to the wider region. Consequently, external actors that benefit from the gold sector could hold the key to a sustaina...
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🇸🇩Research Paper | #Gold and the war in #Sudan 🧵(1/6) The @XCEPT_Research paper by @AhmedSolHoA & @baldozer09 explores how the gold sector forms a central component of a transnational conflict ecosystem that is worsening Sudan’s civil war: https://t.co/e8M2jJ4PD5
#SudanGold
chathamhouse.org
The trade of gold is perpetuating Sudan’s civil war and connecting the conflict to the wider region. Consequently, external actors that benefit from the gold sector could hold the key to a sustaina...
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TOMORROW | Join our conference on renewing #Nigeria’s #anticorruption agenda from 8.00 – 12.30 GMT / 9.00 – 13.30 WAT in #Abuja, #Nigeria or online via Zoom ⭐️Register now:
chathamhouse.org
This conference takes stock of progress in Nigeria’s corruption landscape across the last 25 years and explores opportunities for a sustained renewal of the anti-corruption agenda.
🚨UPCOMING EVENT | Renewing #Nigeria’s #AntiCorruption Agenda Register↓ https://t.co/1945weI390 🗓️19 March 2025 🕗8:00 – 12:30 GMT | 9:00 – 13:30 WAT 📍Abuja, Nigeria & Online Speakers include: → @obyezeks, @hadizabalausman, Dr Abdullahi Usman Bello (@CCBNigeria), @sojapa,
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