Florian Pappenberger
@FPappenberger
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Deputy Director-General and Director of Forecasts @ECMWF
England, Vereinigtes Königreich
Joined March 2013
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"The
@CopernicusEU
@CopernicusECMWF
Data Store is now running on
#Bologna
infrastructure."
‼️Our first user facing service in our new
#DataCenter
serving data for Climate Change, Atmosphere Monitoring & Emergency Management Service
🎆
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Personally exciting: The Council unanimously approved my re-appointment as Director of Forecasts ;) thanks to 22 countries &
@FlorenceRabier
for the trust!
ECMWF’s Council has unanimously elected Gen. Isp. G.A. Silvio Cau of Italy as its new President. Director-General Florence Rabier noted that the election comes at an exciting juncture for the Centre. Find out more here:
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Proud that
@ECMWF
moves towards open data!
Early October will see
@ECMWF
&
@CopernicusECMWF
take a major step towards making hundreds of its forecast maps free and available to all.
To find out more, visit:
5
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Challenge to improve Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Predictions using Artificial Intelligence
#AI
Prizes for top three submissions beating the re-calibrated ECMWF benchmark:
Winner team: 15000 CHF
2nd team: 10000 CHF
3rd team: 5000 CHF
BEAT🦾 US! :)
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🥳🎉🎂Happy 10th birthday GloFAS !
A global hydrological forecast and monitoring system independent of administrative and political boundaries.
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Be part of the team - ECMWF is building a world-leading, machine learning based probabilistic weather forecasting system
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News from ECMWF: ECMWF makes wide range of data openly available
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News from ECMWF: ECMWF scientists to simulate global weather at 1 km resolution
5
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A great
#CDS
app using today
@ECMWF
forecast and finding
#Analog
#ERA5
day in the past when the weather looked very similar-you can even draw 🎨your own scenario (Result of
@UniRdg_News
#PhD
by
@BaudouinRaoult
@Met_khinz
@JonathanKegges
@empirewx
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#GRIB2NETCDF
with
#cfgrib
- easy in python 🐍!
import xarray as xr
ds = ('era5.grib', engine='cfgrib')
('')
@alexamici
@xarray_dev
.
@bopensolutions
👇
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"40% drop in NO₂ on 2019 levels for Jan and Feb equates to removing a whopping 192,000 cars. That’s an indication what could be achieved permanently for air quality if car use was replaced with electrically powered mass transit"
@psmonks
.
@ConversationUK
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ECMWF’s use of satellite data has greatly increased over the last few decades. Today such data collectively make the biggest contribution to forecast quality at
@ECMWF
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Due to hardware issues earlier this morning, there are substantial delays to the running of the 00Z cycle
@ECMWF
sorry ....
5
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… and plots are getting there too. See the first step of our new system. Doesn’t it look 😍😍😍🥰🥰🥰❤️🔥 (thanks
@cihansah73
)
@ECMWF
… and 12z HRES complete… a few lustre and nodes issues along the way but still 👍
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Oh
@ECWMF
#meteograms
... where can I find you? A very quick guide - thanks
@sylamythepaut
for showing me & yes! We need to make it more obvious
#WorkInProgress
#FreeOurCharts
2
16
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We all love clouds
@CloudAppSoc
:)? Displaying them in a forecasts is a nice challenge!
High, medium and low cloud cover. Chart represent the the high-, medium- and low-level cloud cover.
5
14
62
Really pleased how well the forecasts from
@CopernicusEMS
performed - a huge credit to the teams involved from
@EU_ScienceHub
@SMHI
@DWD_presse
@kistersAG
#SMHU
@kistersAG
@ECMWF
@REDIAM_Oficial
@Rijkswaterstaat
Dramatic
#floods
are affecting Germany and Belgium.
The EU Space Copernicus
#Emergency
Management Service has been activated for both countries.
Radar data from our Sentinel1 will be used to map flooded areas to support first responders.
Thoughts with those affected.
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Since Italy "went into lockdown on 9 March, NO2 levels in Milan and other parts of northern Italy have fallen by about 40%. “It’s quite unprecedented,”
@VHPeuch
,
@CopernicusECMWF
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Lead by
@LinusMagnusson5
: Analysis of the Extreme rain event in Germany and Belgium in July 2021
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🎉🪅🍾🥳 party!
How it started How it is going
Emotional moment as our Director-General
@FlorenceRabier
signs the handover of the new Bologna Data Centre to ECMWF and expresses gratitude for huge efforts in this project by the Italian authorities. An important milestone for ECMWF, our Italian partners, and our Member States.
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11
58
The Value of Surface-based Meteorological Observation Data -
@WorldBank
paper, co-authored by
@WMO
@metoffice
& Robert Varley
Below is a figure minimum global socioeconomic valuation of the benefits of weather prediction
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Severe weather hackathon (17-18 October). The Hackathon focuses on the
@CopernicusECMWF
@CopernicusEU
@CopernicusEMS
Services on Emergency Management (flood, fire, drought), Climate and Atmosphere but can use any existing free and open data.
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Reminding myself how easy it is to retrieve
@ECMWF
and
@CopernicusECMWF
data over the respective APIs ... the only functionality which I really miss is to retrieve time series at a single point without having to download the entire field
👇
3
8
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New
@ECMWF
#Metview
#Python
documentation published
@readthedocs
! This new documentation features a new set of Gallery examples, a large set of notebooks, and hyperlinked descriptions of all of Metview's Python data types and functions.
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Got my second Moderna shot. Fully vaccinated !🥳🎉💉
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Fantastic work by
@CopernicusECMWF
team: A
#Covid_19
explorer platform allowing community to go further and explore relationships of environmental variables (climatic but also air-quality related) and epidemiological variables exist
#EUvsVirus
#cdstoolbox
1
16
52
Overshadowed by
#COVID19
: floods, droughts, wildfires, storm, heatwaves .... the deadly extreme weather of 2020 via
@ConversationUK
@globalfloods
@CopernicusECMWF
@CopernicusEMS
- great story
@ChloBrim
!
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#ERA5
data are freely available from the Copernicus Climate Data Store.
@CopernicusECMWF
@CopernicusEU
- currently from 1979 ... from 1950 will follow soon.
.
@ECMWF
’s ERA5 reanalysis provides hourly estimates of the global atmosphere, land surface and ocean waves from 1950 onwards, at a horizontal resolution of 31km. The new
#ERA5
paper is now freely available on Early View:
#RMetSJournals
@CopernicusECMWF
@wileyearthspace
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“There is no clear signal in ECMWF forecast verification over the last two months that can be linked to the decrease in aircraft numbers,”
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#OpenData
and you still don't want to see the probabilities of the mean wave period? Give the plot some ♥️ via
@ECMWF
(thanks
@sylamythepaut
)
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News from ECMWF: Python developments enable easier access to weather and climate data
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🌱You asked for it & there they are.
5⃣0⃣ New products/plots
Do whatever you like with them
🗺️🗺️🗺️
We have just added more than 50 new products to our
#OpenCharts
catalogue! These forecast charts are free for anyone to access, redistribute and adapt - even for commercial applications - part of our open data Strategy for 2021-2030.
Dive in & explore...
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What a day! Yesterday night/this morning (UTC) we upgraded the
@CopernicusECMWF
#CAMS
forecasts to the new forecast cycle (47r1), today
@CopernicusECMWF
announced the hottest September on record and this morning we opened graphical products
From today, all ECMWF graphical products are free and accessible to all! Medium-range, extended-range and long-range forecast charts of temperature, wind, precipitation, clouds and ocean waves are just some of the products available.
@CopernicusECMWF
@WMO
47
709
2K
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Severe floods & Tropical Cyclones -what are key factors? Want answer? Read paper:
Data
#ERA5
@CopernicusECMWF
,
#GloFAS
@CopernicusEMS
,
@IBTrACS
,
#IMERG
@NASARain
Lead by
@TitleyHelen
with
@MetOffice_Sci
@UniRdg_water
@ECMWF
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So excited - can’t wait to see the wonderful and diverse applications which you all will come up with!
❗️We have launched one of the most exciting developments within the wider
#ClimateDataStore
to date.
ERA5T from
#C3S
delivers data from our most popular global climate dataset at five days behind real-time.
Learn what this means to users➡️
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💕What a glorious
#newfcsystem
! Enjoy it! I am celebrating 🎉, eating chocolate 🍫 & going for a run 🏃
🚨
@ECWMF
#IFS47r2
goes live today‼️
#newfcsystem
It has:
- Single Precision
- Increased ENS model levels 91 ➡️137
- More frequent tropical cyclone tracks🌀 as WMO essential products
- New parameters including UV🌞 and orography 🌄
Learn 📖 more:
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New
@ECMWF
forecast system still on track for 11th May
#IFS47r2
#newfcsystem
@ECMWF
Update your software to be ready!
👇
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Uncertainty quantification,
#ensembles
,
#MachineLearning
- sounds😎? Then we have a vacancy for you
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🖋️A few days left to apply for jobs which are located in Bonn, Reading and Bologna.
You can choose to swim 🏊♀️, paddle 🚣♀️, run 🏃♂️, walk 🚶♀️ in/next to the River
🌊Reno
🌊Rhine
🌊Thames
❓What will it be ❓
If you want to be a part of the Destination Earth journey with ECMWF, its time to get those applications submitted by 17.01.22. Come and join a great team and use your expertise to make a difference.
@CopernicusECMWF
@ECMWFJobs
@ECMWF
#JobSeekers
#jobsearch
#Jobs
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Welcome Estonia 🇪🇪🇪🇪🇪🇪
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Fantastic! A command line interface to download
#ERA5
data from the Copernicus Climate Data Store - thanks
@RolfHut
. Just in time for you to download the raw data of record breaking june temperatures
@CopernicusECMWF
2
18
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🌡️Want to build your own MeteoGram for Heat indices?
Check out this code by
@milankloewer
using
@CopernicusECMWF
@CopernicusEMS
data
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One of my favourite plots: Daily probabilities for the occurrence of Euro-Atlantic weather regimes. The coloured bars indicate the proportion of ensemble members forecasting a specific regime for each day of the forecast. (1/n)
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License will allow exploitation
@ECMWF
data for many purposes - huge archive of meteorological data of interest to many
#AI
applications....if you have downloaded
#data
from
@ECMWF
and they are 'not valid' then you will be able to redistribute (with appropriate attribution)
Tomorrow, 5 August 2020, all ECMWF non-valid data will be governed by CC-BY-4.0 licence. Non-valid data is any data with a verification time ‘more than 24 hours in the past’. E.g. data in and most datasets from
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#Drought
or no
#drought
? You can program applications in the
@CopernicusECMWF
Climate Data Store for all ranges of applications. I used Essential
#Climate
Variables to start on drought🏜️ variables-somebody can help to extend?
@Hydrology_WSL
@DroughtCentre
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30 years ago
@ecmwf
was predominantly an organisation with western member states- today we stretch from Estonia to Hungary, from Israel and Turkey to Morocco, from Portugal to Iceland - cause
#WeatherKnowsNoBorders
#30yearsfallofthewall
#BerlinWall30
The fall of the Berlin Wall on 9 Nov. 1989, would not have been possible without the courageous actions of our neighbours in Central and Eastern Europe nor without the support and friendship of our western friends and allies. Thank you!
@USOSCE
@RP_France_OSCE
@UKOSCE
@RF_OSCE
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First Drone Goes Flying to the North Pole (amongst other) how heat transfers through ice and into the atmosphere and water - should help us to improve forecasts
@ECMWF
& important for reanalysis
@CopernicusECMWF
2
5
40
EFI for CAPE and CAPE-shear - changes in the new
@ECMWF
model cycle coming in June explained
#IFS47r1
#newfcsystem
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…. All running smoothly… first products will be with you soon ..
‼️
#IFS47r3
goes live today
#newfcsystem
- increased satellite observation usage in cloudy regions
- improved representation of moist physics
- improved large-scale atmospheric circulation
- reduced tropical cyclone track errors
For more detail, visit
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Very eventful day
@ECMWF
1) Decision on new
#OneECMWF
location (Bonn)😀
2) Issued some fcts slightly delayed ☹️
3) Upgraded
@CopernicusEMS
#Glofas
😃
4) Worst forecast RMSE T850 day 3 in the tropics since 2000 😭
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„Water damage does not capture what parents went through that night. I was heartbroken to see my parent’s sense of safety swept away in a matter of minutes“
@jeff_hydromet
Report from Europe's flood zone: via
@ConversationUK
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🎭
#ERA5
@CopernicusECMWF
reanalysis-based Universal Thermal Climate Index 🥵& mortality data in Europe. ERA5-based UTCI may be a useful tool for definition of life-threatening thermal conditions - our new publication 📖
👇
0
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Weather forecasts a ‘life-saving tool against meningitis’ using
@ECMWF
forecasts to predict location and scale of impending cases
@ACMADMESA
@african_swift
via
@gavi
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According to
#ERA5
@CopernicusECMWF
CAPE and CP have decreased over the tropics and subtropics with simultaneous increases in 0–6 km wind shear in past 4 decades - less flash floods?
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The
@CopernicusECMWF
data store tool box (to be released soon) will be using the new
#Metview
#Python
interface leveraging the power of over 20 years of tool development. Sneak Preview:
#Py4ESS
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Despite
#Covid_19
"Our mission-critical activities are unaffected, and our
#data
continue to be made available [... This ] highlights the importance of making the
@WMO
Integrated Global Observing System as resilient as possible."
@FlorenceRabier
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🥵Feeling the heat? Thermal comfort indices describe how the human body 🤚experiences atmospheric conditions 😎, specifically air temperature 🌡️, humidity 🌂, wind 🍃 and radiation 🌞- calculate it yourself
#wxtwitter
Introducing ‘thermofeel’ - our new python library, which easily allows thermal comfort indices to be calculated. Thermofeel can show levels of heat stress across the world, such as the
#heatwave
in the USA & Canada 🌡️🥵
➡️
#health
#climatechange
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The symbolic handover of our new
#Bonn
site, with Tobias Miethaner and
@FlorenceRabier
, is complete!
#OneECMWF
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News from ECMWF: ECMWF launches Massive Open Online Course on Machine Learning in Weather and Climate
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Extremely good book and worth a read. To see the skill improvements for yourself have a look here (The higher the better & you can compare forecast from the early 80s to today
@ECMWF
!)
Just finished this book, which a viewer dropped off for me. It details the incredible improvement in forecast skill over the past several decades. It also includes some insight from
@ryanhanrahan
about how our presentation of weather is changing with better data.
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How to improve distributed hydrologic model🍉 by assimilating high resolution remotely sensed soil moisture🌍? An excellent way forward presented in new
#TechMemo
collaboration between
@UniofReading
&
@CopernicusECMWF
👇
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:) done ✔️ had to wait 15 min afterwards, enough time to read
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#COP27
fun so far. From painting painting blue stripes
#BreathWithMe
, talking about
#SOFF
@WMO
, discussing „Closing Weather&Climate Data Gap for Effective Economic Decision-Making“
@WorldBank
&listening to my brilliant colleagues
@carlo_tuitter
@StijnVermoote
@RichardJEngelen
2
6
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Precipitation bias correction improves
#FloodForecast
. Work by
@NOAA_ESRL
integrated into
@CopernicusECMWF
@CopernicusEMS
systems lead by
@JurlinaToni
@EstiGascon
@shaunharrigan
0
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From
#MachineLearning
and Data 🌤️ manipulation/visualisation to
#NewFcsSystem
#47r1
what a feast 🎁 of Workshops, Seminars and talks
@ECMWF
.. and I can attend most of them cause they are virtual
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Want to have a flood forecasting system which is better tailored to your catchment? Suggest river gauge stations for the next EFAS
@CopernicusEMS
calibration!
👇
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🚨Early Career Fellowships 🚨
➡️use of altimeters in a coupled data assimilation
➡️water cycle in km scale simulations
➡️meteorological effects of atmospheric composition
Based
@ECMWF
in
@BundesstadtBonn
2
18
36
Just a reminder ... new
@ECMWF
forecast system will go live next year in May .. if you are running a limited area model or do post-processing then you may want to take notice, that the model levels for the ensemble increase!
#IFS47r2
#newfcsystem
👇
2
11
35
Water-related hazards dominate the list of disasters in terms of both the human and economic toll over the past 50 years, according to
@WMO
.
Below a list of the top 10 disasters in Europe (death and economic damage) from the report
Droughts, storms, floods and extreme heat have caused the largest loss of life in the past 50 years (1970-2019), according to a comprehensive analysis by WMO
Details
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ECMWF is to continue as the computational centre for the hydrological forecasting activities of the EU-funded Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) for a further six years until 2027.
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The power of satellites
@ECMWF
Dorian genesis…to strike Windward Islands. Top Forecast: with satellites identifies storm genesis providing 4 days warning. Bottom Forecast: System without satellites misses the storm genesis and provides no warning of strike (credit: Tony McNally)
1
3
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Need a reason to join the
@ECMWF
seminar list? Topic "The ERA5 Reanalysis" 20 April at 10:30 (Reading time ;) Speaker: Hans Hersbach
1
11
35
Closing the data gaps for climate and weather models will produce better forecasts and improve inputs for policy makers and investors - it was a pleasure to take part
"Climate data is economic data"
@WorldBank
@Mari_Pangestu
hosts discussion with WMO,
@ECMWF
and Finance Ministries on how Closing the Weather and Climate Data Gap for Effective Economic Decision-Making at
#COP27
2
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#ShowYourStripes
@ECMWF
- proud delegates entity of the
@CopernicusEU
Climate Change Service - Check it out
0
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🗄️All of the data included in the European Climate Data Explorer are already available via the Climate Data Store - download ⬇️ & play ▶️!
Have you already seen
@CopernicusECMWF
's new European Climate Data Explorer?
With the visual & interactive layout hosted on Climate-ADAPT, the
#CopernicusClimateChange
Service is reaching new audiences interested in EU climate adaptation🌍
Find out more👉
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This is an outcome of our
@ECMWF
European Summer of Weather Code
@esowc_ecmwf
- watch this space for next years version!
Compressing atmospheric data is crucial to improve data storage and sharing.
@milankloewer
and colleagues (
@ECMWF
and
@CopernicusECMWF
) propose a method for efficient compression that preserves most of the meaningful, real information from the data.
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9
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News from ECMWF: World's first wildfire and river flow reanalyses to be updated in near-real time
0
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News from ECMWF: Making some of the Integrated Forecasting System open source
0
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Virtual workshop on cloud technologies for operational meteorology
@ECMWF
| 8-10 February 2021
#CloudTechnologiesWS
👇
1
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Today saw the successful launch of GloFAS2.2- a lot new layers in glofas (including rainfall forecast animation and a new evaluation layer, check )
1
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🪑Several Benchmark Data Set for
#ML
published based on
@ECMWF
and
@CopernicusECMWF
data
🪑representing real-world data science problems in weather ☀️
🪑come and play 🤾♂️
🆕 MAELSTROM will develop large-scale machine learning applications for
#weather
&
#climate
science and co-design solutions to achieve optimal application performance and energy efficiency for
#machinelearning
🌧️
More here 👉
@digitalEU
#EU
#H2020
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