ethan
@Ethanfracisco
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| He/Him | Progressive | Law Student | mostly politics, vibes of a wine mom🌿🐚
CA-11, San Francisco
Joined July 2020
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i always forget that oklahoma has a gop senator that looks like a lesbian who’d run a starbucks like it’s the navy
As President Biden references what was in the bipartisan border deal, Sen. Lankford mouths, "That's true."
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If you have never been to the Bay Area you could easily be unaware that half of it looks like this, not just sprawling urban areas
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Let’s maybe sit this one out
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who everyone said would be problems under a biden presidency vs. who actually have been:
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and if I said providence RI is one of the most underrated cities in the country then what??
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One thing we can all agree on is these are two entirely different communities that do not belong in the same district
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i love that polisci professors manage to use the worst possible political maps
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maine arguably has the worst senate delegation of any reliably dem state, you have a moderate indie w/ an annoying rightwing streak on certain issues, and a republican w/ an awful case of 'main character syndrome'
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With that,
@NHDems
continue to chip away at the tiny GOP majority in the largest State House in the nation
BREAKING:
@Marc4Nashua
just won his election to New Hampshire’s HD-Hillsborough 3!
In the legislature, Marc will work to protect the state’s natural beauty and keep abortion legal and accessible. His win also brings Dems one step closer to a majority in the state House!
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the DCCC should break the country into different regions rather than having a singular chairperson from one region; a westerner probably would've caught just how in play much of the west was and invested accordingly
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i love this format for comparing each states results for various elections
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Hmm if only there was a proven liberal billionaire we could trust to purchase twitter in the event of its inevitable bankruptcy
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How many times do we have to go over this: not paying legislators fair wages makes entering politics unobtainable for the working class.
From
@Wirepoints
. Illinois pays its legislators grossly more than all neighboring States. It’s not a full time job. Almost all of them are partners in law firms and/or hold other jobs.
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Reminder that Progressives held the largest share of the Dem caucus at the beginning of this Congress
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They dont care abt actual facts but: remove Seattle and Olympia the rest of the state is Biden+12(420k margin), remove all of King+Thurston Counties Biden+4(115k), and throw in 9 other biden counties and WA is still blue
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Which politician do you think has the largest delta between how nice they look and how evil their politics are? My answer has to be Michelle Steel
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this is a landmark supreme court case in the making; AI generated images absolutely should not be allowed to be used in political ads
NEW:
@Axios
w/ a first look at RNC’s video response to Biden
It is also the committee’s first video that is 100% generated by AI software meant to create images that look and feel real (in this case an imagined dystopia look at the future of Biden wins)…
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This ring of counties has 1.2 million people, it voted 74-25 Trump
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He has posts like this towards Ossoff and Beto, and we know how he feels about lamb, im starting to think that he’s anti-twink
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forever wishing collins did at least 0.99% worse so we could see how the ranked choices wouldve played out
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Something abt
@MGPforCongress
that I think people are misconstruing is that she’s not particularly moderate, or even aesthetically moderate, she’s just a normal person. She comes across like a REAL person and not an ideologue, so she attracts voters across the spectrum
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tonights victory really makes losing the house hurt even worse; all it would've taken is 7493 votes across these 5 seats to hold the majority
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imagine living in a quickly-blueing suburb of DFW and this being your congressional district
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Remember when everyone said the NV and NM maps we’re gonna backfire on Dems? Here’s how that turned out:
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the diverging career paths of the 2018 wave babies are wild; you have the backbenchers, the carpetbaggers, the senate hopefuls, and the unemployed
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with all the talk abt the NY Map I can’t stop thinking about how much easier this would be if 89 more NYers answered the census
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The Dem who flipped Washingtons LD-10, beating the incumbent R, has…28 followers lol
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McCarthy's majority going into '24 is..untenable to say the least
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RIP
#VTAL
1933-2033
🚨Vermont’s “Housing Opportunities Made for Everyone” (HOME) bill legalizes duplexes, by-right, wherever year-round residential development is allowed and tri- & four-plexes if the area is served by water & sewer. 🏠
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The Colorado GOP is broke, the Minnesota GOP is broke, the Arizona GOP is broke, that’s what happens when you alienate the suburban donor class
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Blue dogs are a dying breed, they lost 37% of their members this year
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i wish NY Dems would learn to cook like this outside of exclusively special elections
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This one illustrates that 'Land doesnt vote' even better
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ppl are dunking on him(not entirely unjustified), but we really should talk abt the fact that we expect candidates to climb the ladder of some magic combination of 298734 other positions worth of experience but also dont want unrepresentative old rich people
Another Democrat says he is running for Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District held by Republican Derrick Van Orden.
This time, a 25-year-old law student from the Milwaukee area…
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If the NY gerrymander ends up not materializing after all we need to coup the entire NY Democratic party
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Feel like it’s relevant to remind everyone that the house was determined by less than 7500 votes combined across these 5 seats
NEWS: Aide slips
@WhipKClark
a note. She announces entire 213-member House Democratic Caucus now supports the discharge petition to lift debt ceiling with no strings attached.
They need five GOP votes
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you know the ruling is gonna be wild when you see this majority-minority distribution
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there's something in the water in the resist dem homelands making everyone retire
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@darklegoman
exactlyyy, there's no reason for richmond/lincoln park/sunset/etc all to be such low density
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im so tired of marginal trump seats being treated as not competitive, why does everyone rate this likely-R
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Here's a look back at the last decade of congressional elections in the nations largest state of California
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an unexpected victory that ultimately means nothing bc of losing the house and this seat being blown to smithereens soon
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In hindsight this tradeoff was so worth it for dems, NV Dems' supermajority essentially makes this a net positive for us
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there’s something so darksided abt teens/early 20-somethings who are already careerist ghouls in politics
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these two sets of voters would probably be much happier politically if they switched locations
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Colorado Springs-centric
#CO05
is definitely a sleeper flip in the next few cycles, with its ~14 point swing left and Dems now carrying Colorado Springs
⏰⏰⏰
JARED POLIS IS LIKELY THE FIRST DEMOCRAT TO CARRY THE CITY OF COLORADO SPRINGS:
ESTIMATED TOTALS WITHIN COS PRECINCTS:
POLIS (D): 94,491 (50.6%)
GANAHL (R): 87,774 (47.0%)
Was 50-46 Trump in 2020
#copolitics
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geography in Trump+19 Nebraska is pretty great for dems; under the current leg map dems hold 17 seats(25 total needed for a majority). If trends continue they could stand to flip the chamber later in the decade
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The 2024 house elections are about to be so fun; ONLY considering todays court ruling, NC+NY+WI redrawing, and the recent CA poll, things are looking...good to say the least
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it’s still pretty early, but it feels like Dems could/should be making bigger plays for these seats
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If I were
@WillRollinsCA
I’d be rejoicing that dem turnout in
#CA41
is almost more than Indie+Rs combined
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Dems currently hold a +519 vote turnout lead over Rs in
#CA03
, a rapidly left trending Trump+2 seat, and now; snow on Election Day
The West and the Upper Great Lakes looking to have the doggiest Election Day weather but looking clear for the rest of the country.
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i hope republicans savor their north carolina gains bc at this point that's all they're gonna get
It seems like the Utah Supreme Court is leaning towards the plaintiffs. If that happens, current 4-0 R gerrymander would become a 3-1 R map. +1 for House Democrats
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kinda crazy to think that the CA+NY congressional delegation went from 67-13 to 55-23 D in the span of four years/2 election cycles
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The texas urban triangle feels unbalanced, there’s a missing major city in this arm of the triangle
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Not exactly the kind of district you play games like this in if you hope to get re-elected
My concerns with the bill have been addressed and I will be voting YES this coming week to censure Adam Schiff.
More from me on this vote. ⬇️
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Whether you support Williamson or not, this is shameful ridicule of someone’s spiritual beliefs, this wouldn’t be acceptable towards a Christian, Jew, Muslim, etc, so why is it acceptable for a non-mainstream spiritual belief?
White House Press Sec. Karine Jean-Pierre, when asked if President Biden is annoyed by Marianne Williamson (D) announcing her 2024 presidential bid:
“Just not tracking that. I mean, if I had a ... crystal ball, then I can tell you ... If I can feel her aura …”
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Remember when everyone thought the 2020 TX House elections were gonna be like:
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I really wish Dunleavy would’ve done .4% worse just to see how the second round votes would’ve gone
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the population distribution of maine is so satisfying to see with a 3 district map (2018 gov)
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ive said it once and i'll say it again: portland, maine, w/ their rapid development of condos/multi-family apartment buildings/etc, and the state of maine's efforts to draw in high paying jobs, are really setting it up to be the perfect place for young people to flock to
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Mother Nature always provides:
The West and the Upper Great Lakes looking to have the doggiest Election Day weather but looking clear for the rest of the country.
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can the Kellycrats officially make the party switch already pls😭
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Pov: the 'people thought you were DOA but you sailed to reelection' caucus
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It’s only a 5 seat difference but 1.) this shows that progressives aren’t some measly faction made up of only the Squad and Pramila Jayapal, and 2.) the CPC was the only dem caucus to gain members in the ‘22 elections, New Dems remained the same, and Blue Dogs lost 10
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I hate Minnesota’s (current) political geography; why does a reliable dem state have a congressional map where 5-3 R is more likely than 5-3 D
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The democratic party’s official tiktok posted this, I’m losing my mind
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Stanislaus county while the rest of the country swings from realignments:
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i doubt we'll actually see UT get a new map, but you can easily make a D+25 SLC city so i guess we'll see
#NEW
: The UT Supreme Court will hear arguments challenging Utah’s congressional map on July 11, 2023.
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Apparently a hot take, but I think this region could see a huge influx of coastal state expats over the next decade or two
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it's so funny that Rs are totally fine with the district on the left, but bemoan the one on the right as a 'gerrymander'
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kinda crazy that after '24 these two will be the only Californian '2018 wave babies' left in congress out of the 7
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love that we live in an era where democratic primaries are essentially normie progressives vs the full might of the pro-israel lobby, and we're just supposed to act like this is normal
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@abow22
Potential hot take: but public transportation should have a major nationalized overhaul to greatly reduce the number of personal use cars, and easier access/better funding for public transportation(such as buses, trains, things of that sort)
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presidential turnout in Omaha should be enough to overcome bacon's 5.8k mov, but this seat has continued to spite me for the last three cycles so i have no faith
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was making a 16-district 'what if michigan didn't lose any seats in the 21st century' map and accidentally made florida
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