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Dan Tapiero Profile
Dan Tapiero

@DTAPCAP

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Founder/CEO/CIO/Managing Partner- @10tfund and @1RTPartners . DTAP Capital ('03) AGCOA ('06) GBI ('09). Macro PM-20yrs. 5GOATS. Btc+Bullion hodler.

10Tfund.com
Joined May 2018
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@DTAPCAP
Dan Tapiero
2 years
US housing collapse just starting.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
This is what ADOPTION looks like.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Don't worry... #Bitcoin is bigger than #ElonMusk or #Tesla .
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
Real interest rates are -7%. Buy #Bitcoin . That's the tweet.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
#Bitcoin ... The first truly global global macro investment of all time... ...with El Salvador leading?!! 32 central banks, 44 countries flying to El S. Emg countries leading adoption. First time US not ahead in financial and technological innovation.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
NO WORDS.
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
BITCOINERS: Hearing guys whine that btc is krap, not a hedge, not digital gold, it's going to zero etc..stfu. Btc is the only true free market in the world. Btc is the only asset that can go down 50% in one day and doesn't need govt intervention to stabilize. It will be fine.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Wow. @michael_saylor total #bitcoin animal on CNBC just now... ...saying he is hosting in early Feb a bitcoin conference for corporate leaders to explain the #btc value proposition. Also will make publicly available his company execution playbook. 1000s of people to attend!!!
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
Most bullish macro backdrop in 75 years. Booming economy supported by massive negative real rates. Fed will never equalize rates with inflation. Stay long #stocks and #Bitcoin and #ETH . Hodl through short term volatility. Real #Dollar cash savings will continue to lose value.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
Massive generational wealth transfer beginning. Simple chart to explain. Institutions are stuck and late. Flood of liquidity coming into digital asset ecosystem (DAE) in search of yield and return. Fiat world devalues vs DAE. #BTC #ETH #Stablecoins #NFTs #DeFi grow DAE.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
Does it ever get more clear?
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
If there was ever a better explanation for why #Bitcoin is necessary and exists, I don't know of it.
@stillgray
Ian Miles Cheong
2 years
Cryptocurrency is effectively banned in Canada.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
Chart that got @BlackRock excited about partnership with @coinbase ! No bigger a macro opportunity for BLK than acting to facilitate #Bitcoin adoption. 5% shift in BLK assets is $500b...greater than #BTC value today. Catalyst for path to 250k+ post btc halving becoming clear.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
The IMF won't exist within 10yrs.
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IMF
3 years
Privately issued cryptoassets like Bitcoin come with substantial risks. Making them equivalent to a national currency is an inadvisable shortcut. Read more in our #IMFBlog by the IMF’s Tobias Adrian and @RhodaWeeksBrown :
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
This is what hyperbitcoinization looks like: It's still early. Moon still awaits #BTC
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Jamie Dimon will be retired in 5 years. #Bitcoin will not be retired in 5 years.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Tell me u are a legacy financial mkt guy without telling me u are a legacy financial mkt guy.
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Dan Tapiero
2 months
Seems impossible... But the vertical spikes up in the s2f model in '13, '16, '20 were all confirmed by price action within one year. Suggests a 900k #Bitcoin     price within 12-18mo. Not my call, just reading how model has worked. ...red dots coming for @100trillionUSD
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
My 16 year old daughter finally buys #bitcoin using #paypal app. Would not listen to her old dad before....but "wow it's so easy." Told her it could go up 10x in 5yrs (conservative). Next, she puts 30% of her cash in it and agrees not to sell. #Btc is how Gen Z learns to save.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
The #Fed can kiss the US housing mkt goodbye. Weekly mortgage applications -65%. Mkt still hot now but just a matter of time before it cools. Leading data always ahead of Fed. Liquidity contraction could become severe if they persist. H/T @TeddyVallee
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Massive potential flow into #bitcoin would dwarf everything seen to date. If US over regulates/ unfriendly to #btc other countries will seize lead. German 10yr interest rates at -23bps powerful incentive. Flow into btc truly global and cannot be stopped
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Sixth worst #Bitcoin correction in past 9 yrs. Likely that low today holds for a long time. 35k-45k-55k still well elevated with huge embedded profits from last year. Only way to win here is to #HODL . Greatest bull mkt of all time must be volatile to achieve rare heights.
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
Holy Cow Most bullish commentary for #bitcoin that I have read from JP Morgan "Even modest crowding out of #GOLD takes #bitcoin up multiples." Widespread research piece reaches all clients of the bank. Paypal announcement "cover" for other traditional players to get involved.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
China has seemingly banned #Bitcoin , #Ethereum / #cryptocurrency for real this time. The greatest FUD has now transpired. As all old traders know, when bearish news hits and mkt does not go down, it is EXTREMELY bullish. Prepare for launch #BTC , #ETH etc
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Most important chart of 2020 In a range for 50 yrs and now +69% y/y Will change everything we thought we knew about economics and mkts Will continue to drive #Bitcoin , #Gold and #Nasdaq in 2021 $6 trillion in cash that will eventually be put to work Once in a lifetime event
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Dan Tapiero
1 year
Insane. Amount borrowed at discount window much greater than '08 or Mar'20. Massive liquidity injection. #Fed cannot raise rates. Expect large rate cuts this yr/ #USD bear mkt... ...and massive BOOM in #bitcoin    .    No amount of "choke" is relevant.    #BTC 🚀 🚀
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Hard to believe... US govt beginning to see #bitcoin / #crypto / #blockchain "industry" as a growth and innovation driver? Barr, Gensler, Brummer at OCC, SEC, CFTC all crypto friendly guys. Launch of digital Yuan created Sputnik moment. Bullish for digital asset ecosystem (DAE)
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Shocking fact. #Bitcoin vol not that bad. Since 2010, Sharpe ratio of Bitcoin (1.24) is a tick under the Sharpe ratio of simple 60/40 portfolio (1.25).. ..But #BTC 255.6% CAGR return crushes 60/40 10.3%. When do institutions wake up? Imagine if they knew. #HODLing only way.
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Dan Tapiero
1 year
Lived through many financial crises beginning with ERM crisis in '92. ...only #Bitcoin #cryptocurrecy mkts could survive two Lehman moments in one yr without any govt support. Strongest mkts I've ever seen. Freest mkts I've ever seen. Better stronger future being forged now.
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Dan Tapiero
5 months
The world is not ready for this chart. @RaoulGMI continues his excellent work with monthly GMI report. A 200k #Bitcoin in 2024 suggests a true and imminent change in the world. Zero exposure will pose career risk for traditional money managers. Money and value get redefined.
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
The pandemic was not the black swan. The response to the pandemic was the black swan. Unlikely to see such a response again in the future.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
One of the most brilliant short pieces ever written about #bitcoin . If you are struggling to understand why #BTC has value, read this article a few times. Invention/discovery of #btc akin to the invention of combustion engine. Yes, it is that big.
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
Negative interest rates have arrived in the US! 6mo t-bill at -2bps. Means you need to PAY US govt for 6mo cash deposit. Rates to go much more negative to weaken dollar. This is confiscation and it is bad but it needed for now to stabilize system. Mega bullish for #Bitcoin
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
When's the next #btc halving?
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Looking at @100trillionUSD #bitcoin chart. So far kudos. Yes 100k very possible by Q321 but then SIDEWAYS until 2024! What will bitcoiners do for 3.5 years as mkt hovers around 2-3 trillion mkt value? #Btc becomes stable pristine collateral as DAE gets built up around it.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Remarkable to think that just 9 months ago #bitcoin was at 4000. Almost a 500% rally to today. 500% rally from here puts us at 100k #btc . Don't think it can happen in 9 months but it would just be replicating what it's done in past 9 months. Hard to grasp a mkt growing so fast.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Economic shock coming. Most extreme data in 50 years. Old analytical models no longer apply. Massive post covid liquidity injections disturb all measurements of value. #Bitcoin and gold act as anchors... As store of value becomes more abstract leading to massive price gains.
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Dan Tapiero
4 months
First time EVER #SEC approves #ETF for underlying asset with FINITE supply. FINITE. Leads to squeeze on supply and drives up price exponentially. Underlying supply of GLD, QQQ, USO, TLT always goes up when price goes up..Not so for #BTC   🚀   #Bitcoin     #BitcoinETFs
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Dan Tapiero
2 months
Surprised. #Bitcoin     up almost 100% in 5 mo and not feeling frothy. Doubters still everywhere. X even a bit sedate. US short rates still 5%! USD strong. #BTC     shocking acceleration up feels imminent. Break of 70k goes right to 90k... Then 150k-200k this yr.🚀
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
How early is it still for #Bitcoin ? The US dollar bear market hasn't even begun yet.
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Dan Tapiero
5 years
Bitcoin is now part of the macro landscape. There should be no more debate about this fact. Top 30 largest world currencies by market cap and growing at the fastest rate of them all. Great chart. I will retweet every time btc moves up a notch in the rankings.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Phenomenal chart. Strong part of the #bitcoin upmove has not started yet. Chart suggests we are in Q117 equivalent time period. Volatility measurement spikes at end of moves... now still near the lows. Hard to think #btc could 5-8x from here in 2021. Best to just #HODL
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
SHORTAGES of #Bitcoin possible. Barry's @Grayscale trust is eating up btc like there is no tomorrow. If 77% of all newly mined turns into 110%, it's lights out. Non-miner supply will get held off mkt in squeeze. Shorts will be dead. Price can go to any number.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
US authorities standing in way of innovation. $100 trillion of negative real yields on global bonds drives investors into high yielding #cryptocurrency . Preventing a US co. from offering yield pushes business overseas. #Bitcoin and #Crytpo are global.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Oh boy! Looking like consolidation over in #Bitcoin . Price stems at 30k excellent support now. Breaking up through flag as we speak. Overbought macd worked off. @michael_saylor conference likely exciting corporates. Looks like we will see new highs in weeks to come in #btc .
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
Now enterring what is called the "moment of realization" for #Bitcoin . Let's give some credit to @100trillionUSD here. I like this model that picked top in late '17 and most importantly bottom in early '19. We are now in what I call the hodlers' sweet spot. Get paid to sit.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
It's starting to turn into a stampede for #Bitcoin . Bernstein suggests a 1.5-10% allocation for #btc . Huge. Respected Wall St equity research house changes mind. Hard for asset allocaters not to pay attention to drumbeat of positives from institutions.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Not often in life do you get to look at a chart like this one. #Bitcoin to slice through highs imminently. 3rd wave up to dwarf the 2017 move and should persist for several years. Real fundamentals driving price unlike '17 speccy/ico retail flow. Big boys will buy dips now.
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
Prepare to be patient in #Bitcoin . Each up cycle takes longer to play out and is less extreme as absolute dollar value gets much larger. May or may not be another 6-12 months before price breaks up. Should not matter as end price point obscenely higher. Hodlers rejoice.
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Dan Tapiero
11 months
Stay focused. Gensler is screwing US not crypto. #btc
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
Getting off zero is not enough. 1% is not enough. Times have changed. #Bitcoin
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Dan Tapiero
5 months
What is not clear here? #Bitcoin        +160% ytd and closing in on a high for a year end close. Clear track record suggests big up year in 2024. Impossible for institutional investors to ignore greatest returning asset of all time. 0% exposure will pose career risk.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
Worst start to the year for #NASDAQ ever!! No chance #Fed raises FF to 3.25% by Dec23 (as priced by mkt now). Too much damage too quickly combines with record bond mkt collapse. Another -10% on equity, and we'll see real breakage/Fed reversal. "Inflation" has already peaked.
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
Truly Incredible maybe even once in a lifetime. Investment grade corporate bond index back to near ALL TIME highs. Fed buying junk bonds too. Risk of bankruptcies reduced even with 20m unemployed. Unprecedented "Unlimited" liquidity could not be more bullish for gold and btc.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
The mkts cannot handle a 10yr note moving wildly higher in yield. Have never said this explicitly on twitter but we are approaching a full fledged meltdown in financial assets and in the economy. Deeply unfortunate but seems to me Fed has put us on collision path with collapse.
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Dan Tapiero
5 years
Doesn't look too happy. Why not introduce bitcoin on fb platform? Why fight the battle with Libra? Build an entire btc denominated ecosystem, would force others to move into "digital arena," no need for all these DC visits, would be hailed by world as the savior of future money.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
#Bitcoin has never topped with volatility this low. Massive upside still ahead. Twtr sht termers too negative. US Corp adoption unlikely despite @michael_saylor . #Btc biggest global macro event of all time. Smaller countries in NEED/alpha hungry lead. h/t @mikemcglone11
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Not really surprised that @elonmusk backed away from #Bitcoin . He and Corporare America are NOT the natural buyers. They don't really NEED #btc . Global asset mgmt biz NEEDS a store of value that can +250% ar in 10yrs. No alpha like #BTC or in the DAE anywhere else in world.
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Dan Tapiero
1 year
The most important macro chart in the world from @RaoulGMI . Filter out all the noise. This is happening. Liquidity to increase as suggested with a high degree of probability by this chart and the strong correlation which it implies. +++ #NASDAQ , #Bitcoin     #ETH #dae
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
In 30 years of analyzing data and markets, never seen a chart like this one. Since Hk isn't going to evaporate into thin air, would be a buyer of this chart. Good to buy things near zero with bad news priced and downside limited. Buy cheap HK assets if u can find them.
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
No question in my mind that this #GOLD bull market will not end until AFTER it has made all-time highs in REAL TERMS, above the 1980 equivalent high. Years still left to go. (Yes, bullish for #Bitcoin as well 😀)
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
Real #interestrates to remain negative for at least the next 4-5 years. In previous such periods, asset returns are historic. No current buying panic or euphoria like '99. Cash stays worthless. #digitalassets , #BTC outperform tradfi. H/T @fundstrat chart.
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Dan Tapiero
1 year
I want to be very clear here. The fact that #Ethereum could not make a new low in price in the face of the most negative news ( Ftx fraud) of the year is extremely bullish for #Eth going forward. Yes, sometimes it is that simple.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Now that's shocking. It's one thing for @michael_saylor to strap on almost a billion #bitcoin but a life insurance company?! Was just told today that institutions not interested in #btc ...WRONG! Might be biggest news of the year. Will wake people up.
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
Goldman Sachs does not make fees when a client buys #bitcoin Buying Btc is an implicit rejection of buying assets that Goldman Sachs sells upon which they make fees Buying btc is a rejection of the worldview they sell upon which they make fees. Long PTJ/Short GS EVERY TIME
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
Great macro bull mkts luv to run into yr end to get ahead of incoming Jan flows. #Bitcoin and #cryptocurrency bull proving to be greatest of all time. Fib nums reflect natural measurements embedded in the wisdom of crowds. Topside break will accelerate. H/t @blaakke
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Dan Tapiero
6 months
Truly believe... @saylor bet on #Bitcoin     will go down as one of the greatest directional macro trades of all-time. Old school macro investment process leads to giant conviction and giant trade. Misperception of #BTC "riskiness" gives conviction to live with volatility.
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Dan Tapiero
11 months
Anybody know why #BitcoinCash is up 200% this week? Japanese buying the wrong thing as #yen devalues? Shouldn't they be just buying #Bitcoin .
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Dan Tapiero
7 months
Madness. #FederalReserve driving massive wealth transfer to top 1%. Govt borrowing from top 1% at 5% interest and becoming more indebted to rich saver class... In order to drive the unemployment rate of the general population higher. Madness. Worst Fed policy in past 50 yrs.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Shocking and Incredible. "Biden should integrate #Bitcoin into US financial system." Most respected financial historian alive @nfergus bitcoin comments to attract huge attention. Favorite Establishment figure on monetary issues to galvanize action. Wow.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
The #FederalReserve can kiss #housing goodbye. Fed overjawboned the mkt. Next few months economic and inflation data to drop significantly. 3 months from now long rates will be a lot lower, #Gold higher, #BTC higher. Fed causing unnecessary turbulence in mkts now.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
I don't normally ever comment on politics on twtr. However, this Biden press conf on Afghanistan is hard to believe. Everything he said ended up being completely wrong. Commander-in-chief?
This may become the most infamous — and devastating — press conference ever held by an American President.
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
"NO TRADE MATTERS EXCEPT #Bitcoin " "ALMOST EVERYTHING IS AN INFERIOR TRADE TO #Bitcoin ." @RaoulGMI has been a friend for 20 years and have never heard him say these words about any other investment. Investors wake up. PTJ took the lead, time to follow.
@KISBitcoin
Keep It Simple Bitcoin
4 years
"Almost no trade matters except #bitcoin at this point." - @RaoulGMI @RealVision
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Huge Kudos to @michael_saylor He literally blows her away but she doesn't understand enough to even pay him the respect of listening properly. Melissa Lee embarrassed herself. It's still super early for #Bitcoin . Many years to go before adoption.
@CNBCFastMoney
CNBC's Fast Money
3 years
Looking to join in on the bitcoin boom? A new report from @CitronResearch says @MicroStrategy could be your best bet. MicroStrategy CEO @michael_saylor shares why. $MSTR
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
#Bitcoin The greatest macro trade of all time... ...and still so much further to go.
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Dan Tapiero
1 year
Wow. Great find from @balajis who is on 🔥. #Fed obviously knew rate hikes were causing devastation to bank portfolios.. ..waiting for "something to break." How is it ever good policy to panic the populous, threaten savings because of a CPI report. #BTC     so clear now.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
No mania in #bitcoin yet. During Dutch tulip craze, tulips traded 10x the avg "artisans" salary. Avg salary for "skilled laborer" today is 32k approx. 32k × 10x= 320k ...and #btc has at least another 10x utility value of tulips. Be patient and just #HODL H/T Rich Ross ISI
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
One simple question could change everything. #Bitcoin
@elonmusk
Elon Musk
3 years
@michael_saylor Are such large transactions even possible?
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
One of my new favorite charts on #Bitcoin from an old friend @dan_pantera . Looks similar (ish) to @100trillionUSD RSI chart I posted a few wks ago. After 500% rally from March, still looks massively oversold. Next 2 yrs could be even larger returns than I was anticipating.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Phenomenal price action in #bitcoin and #ethereum in the face of terrible regulatory legislation being discussed in US. What does that tell you? We are in a massive bull mkt.. ..and crypto doesn't care about poorly conceived US rules. Why? #Crypto is global. Call anyway:
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
$9.6 trillion total world GOLD. Not sure bitcoiners realize that 2/3 is jewelry+official. Only $2 trillion is available "investable gold." Bitcoin is already 10% the size of investable gold. Incredible accomplishment for just 10 years of existence. Bitcoin too big to die now.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Never thought I would see even more bullish news than the MassM #Bitcoin purchase... ...but the most staid and traditional Northern Trust will become a custodian for cryptocurrency! $13 trillion in assets under custody, $1.3 trillion under mgmt. Wow.
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Dan Tapiero
1 year
Completely ridiculous... ...that #Powell knowingly put the US into recession to bring down one statistic, the CPI... ...when MANY other indicators project precipitous inflation drop in coming 6-12 months. This is what policy failure looks like. #Bitcoin     🚀 🚀 🚀
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Dan Tapiero
5 years
Is @jack the most visionary global macro investor today? Runs two tech co. and executes on his vision to inject btc into our lives. Deeper understanding of our monetary future than others stuck pushing paper around legacy system based on reading Fed clues.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Previous road maps for #Bitcoin point to 100k this year. Ridiculous amount of negativity and hand wringing on this correction. Eth still up 8-10x from last yr! Another 3-4 months at 30k-50k #btc will exhaust remaining weak hands. Hodling only way to survive and prosper in btc
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
Shocked that this guy has become a #Bitcoin believer. George Ball is about as much of an old time Wall St establishment guy as there is...Ex president of EF Hutton and Ceo of Prudential in the 70s and 80s. Should get play with the older moneyed crowd.
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Dan Tapiero
1 year
@SBF_FTX Would someone tell this guy to stfu and get out of the space. He committed fraud. He is tainting it for all of us who remain.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
No one in the world is prepared for the speed and scale of #bitcoin adoption suggested by @woonomic . 1 billion people using #bitcoin in the next 4 yrs. #Btc "adoption" by 2025 to be equivalent to internet adoption in 2005. 1 billion people using #btc puts price north of 500k.
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
#bitcoin about to launch.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
Impossibly attractive. -6.8% real yields in US vs +7-9% yields on #Stablecoins in the #digitalasset ecosystem (DAE). Legacy cash cannot be made attractive. No Fed hikes can remedy difference. Record stablecoin volume just the beginning. Deluge of institutional cash coming.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Trading Tip. Cannot remember a time of so many attacks against #Bitcoin and #Crypto . From every angle...tax, regulatory, political etc. Insanely good price action in the face of a lot of bad news is very bullish. #Bitcoin does not care. #HODL , be long or get out of the way.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Somehow it feels good that @elonmusk , a #Bitcoin supporter near my age is the richest man in the world. Was getting tired of Gates/Buffett/Bezos...older guys in old tech or no tech and not bitcoiners. With an iconoclast and a visionary as example maybe there is hope for Gen Z.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Whoa! @RaoulGMI usually goes big. Here he goes biggest i can ever recall. A history and future of all macro/ #Crypto . Digital Asset Ecosystem (DAE) and #BTC going from $2T in value to $100T! Whoa. "Raoul Pal's Introduction to the Exponential Age"
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Dan Tapiero
4 years
#GOLD will become a new asset class for institutional investors as investment properties become clear. Exposure now near 0. No need to own govt bonds at 1% or lower when gold can do similar job+ in portfolio. Ann. trading volume $40 trillion. Exposure should be 10% of NAV.
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
$190 trillion in bonds or cash essentially yielding near 0 with almost no hope of any appreciation. Investment #GOLD is 2.6T (Jpm #) #Bitcoin 450 bil Shortage of financial stores of value in the legacy system leads to panic buying in gold and #BTC . Fastest 🐎 gets faster.
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Dan Tapiero
2 years
Oh it's coming... No bottom in assets until this spikes up. h/t @TaviCosta
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Dan Tapiero
3 years
Total collapse in the value of cash globally. Debasement of all fiat currency means cash is worth next to nothing. Expect a lot more debt issuance at such extremely low rates. Supply of paper only going up. #GOLD and #Bitcoin have limited supply. It can be that simple.
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