Greg R. Lawson
@ConservaWonk
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Geopolitical Analyst | Strategy, Realpolitik, AI, Nukes, Tech | History Buff (Rome → Cold War) | Nixon/Kissinger Enthusiast | Skeptical of Utopia | Views My Own
Joined November 2008
I think about this every day. A 🧵. #Kissinger #History #Philosophy. "History knows no resting places and no plateaus. All societies of which history informs us went through periods of decline; most of them eventually collapsed.
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The winner of the Tech Cold War between the US & China,which includes the competition over AI & quantum computing, will not just set standards, they may shape the very perception of reality people around the world experience.
The US is in a race to achieve global dominance in artificial intelligence. Whoever has the largest AI ecosystem will set the global standards and reap broad economic and security benefits. The winner of the AI/4IR competition amid Cold War 2 will determine the new global order.
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Again the right way to view Trump tariffs policy is as coercive diplomacy more than just economics.
What ties both deals together (🇯🇵🇵🇭) is Trump’s ongoing campaign to weaponize trade policy for geopolitical ends. His team has fused tariffs, investment diplomacy, & security guarantees into a single toolkit aimed at reordering global supply chains & forcing allies to pick sides.
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Trump should ban TikTok. But even if he doesn't, the below should certainly NOT happen. It's ridiculous. Especially after the recent news of Microsoft using Chinese engineers for DOD purposes & the apparent Chinese hacking of the National Nuclear Security Administration.
This decadence is why America could lose this new cold war with the CCP. Our leaders are protecting a foreign enemy’s control of an American social media app in order to win reelection. We never would have stood for this with the Soviets.
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Important AI document from the @WhiteHouse that will need to be bookmarked by anyone interested in AI. Which means pretty much everyone.
🇺🇸 The @WhiteHouse has just released its "AI Action Plan" — possibly its most impactful strategy yet. After years spent watching DC fumble tech policy, this document is different. It reads like it was written by people who understand both the technology and the stakes. 🧵
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Things that must be considered as AI drive the Tech Cole War with China. From @ForeignAffairs,. Excerpt,. "In this rapidly changing environment, national security leaders should dedicate scarce planning resources to plausible but acutely challenging.
foreignaffairs.com
How to plan for a tech-driven geopolitical crisis.
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Good @WarOnTheRocks piece on the major need for supply chain & logistics resilience for @DeptofDefense. Certainly won't win any sort of direct military clash with China without these issues solved.
warontherocks.com
In the crucible of global conflict, victory often hinges not on the mightiest weapons, but on the sinews of logistics. Just as the Liberty ships and Red
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💯 as is both Crime & Punishment as well Demons. 👇.
@ConservaWonk Dostoevsky was brilliant. Dark--which is why my wife doesn't like him--but incredibly brilliant. His Grand Inquisitor in The Brothers Karamazov is a prophecy about twentieth century totalitarian dictatorships.
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Lewis is great to read, but Dostoevsky is even better. .
CS Lewis predicted moral relativism will destroy mankind. So far, history has proven him right… though it’s not too late. He said there’s one last solution to escape a world where “everything is permitted…”🧵
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Good @TheHill piece on the sorts of tradeoffs the US faces in Africa. Especially within the broader context of the overall Tech Cold War with China.
thehill.com
Amid the many opportunities to pursue peace, power and prosperity in Africa, there are clear tension points with Trump’s “America First” domestic agenda.
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Gotta be honest, I didn't expect to be so moved by the passing of Ozzy Osbourne. I will always be a conservative, but will always be moved by the dark, powerful, counter-cultural sounds of Black Sabbath, effectively pioneering a whole new genre of music.
bbc.com
Tributes have been paid in Birmingham and beyond by musicians and fans after the death of the Black Sabbath frontman.
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This is a good observation.
Since people keep asking me what I mean by “Constructivists”, read this post by Guterres. He’s constructing a reality for you that doesn’t exist, nor will it represent the real world in ten years from now. US, China, Russia, India & many other growing economies still bet on oil.
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Augustus or Constantine.
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Great picture!.
Alexander the Great, Thessaloniki, Greece 🇬🇷.In the background, you can see the snow-capped Mount Olympus.
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Good grief. What are we doing? How can this happen?. Then again Microsoft was using Chinese based engineers for defense related work which was utterly insane.
🚨🚨 *US NUCLEAR WEAPONS AGENCY BREACHED IN MICROSOFT SHAREPOINT HACK. China hacks our nuclear secrets. Disaster.
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Great piece from @Raphfel in @brusselssignal. Excerpt,. "The future will belong not to those who simply manage decline, but to those who regain a sense of confidence in their own civilisation, who reclaim the right to define and defend their core values.
brusselssignal.eu
I have to admit, sometimes it becomes tiresome: Every time I attend a supposedly “grand summit” of (mostly Anglosphere) conservatism like Jordan Peterson’s ARC Conference, what do I hear?
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There is no doubt that Ed Feulner, founder of @Heritage, was a titan of the conservative movement.
Leaders across the country and world are honoring @Heritage founder Ed Feulner, a conservative icon who died Friday at age 83. We’re featuring some of the best tributes from @SpeakerJohnson, @SteveScalise, @Jim_Jordan, @RepPfluger, @newtgingrich, @Mike_Pence, @ArchCordileone,
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Well this is a fascinating fact in light of today's news on Ozzy. Ozzy & Black Sabbath's last concert raised more than $190 million for three charities, surpassing the amount raised by FireAid and Farm Aid combined. @billboard.
billboard.com
The highest-grossing charity concerts ever list is topped by Ozzy Osbourne and Black Sabbath, surpassing the amount raised by FireAid and Farm Aid.
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I grew up with Black Sabbath & Ozzy. The founder of heavy metal & singer of iconic songs like War Pigs, Paranoid, Iron Man, Crazy Train, No More Tears, etc. Many bands got their start due to him. RIP.
Ozzy Osbourne, the singular metal legend whose Black Sabbath virtually invented heavy metal and in later years became a reality TV pioneer, has died at the age of 76. More on his life and legacy 🖤
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This is ridiculous from @LindseyGrahamSC. We should absolutely NOT sanction India over this. It is a grand strategy error that prioritizes the interests of others, Ukraine & Europe, over American interests. We need to work with India to balance China. This sort of threatening.
Senator Graham: “Here’s what I would tell China, India and Brazil: If you keep buying cheap Russian oil to allow this war to continue, we’re going to tear the hell out of you and we’re going to crush your economy, because what you’re doing is blood money.”.
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