Conor McQuiston
@ConorMcQ5
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he/him | @NextGenStats Research Analyst | Analyze & Consent
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Pinned Tweet
Btw if you were curious, yes your favorite team winning a championship is the best feeling. I’m fixed now.
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I started work
@NextGenStats
this week, and I'm very excited to provide insights throughout this season on gameday and beyond!
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Unironically strongest policy signal that Newsom is going to run for president in 2028 lol
California Gov. Gavin Newsom vetoes proposed ban on tackle football for youths under the age of 12.
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Nick Saban beats Tommy Tuberville by 30% in 2026 btw
Nick Saban is retiring, sources tell ESPN. He won six national titles at Alabama.
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The history of close games throughout NFL history, described in a single plot.
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This trailer feels like some higher up at EA Sports forced marketing to make *something* so people would shut up about the game never coming out. I don’t think any game dev wants the first trailer for their most anticipated game in years to be static render of 3D models lol
The official trailer for EA Sports College Football 25. It's really happening 🔥🔥
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@dirtbagqueer
This is 3 hours longer than the audiobook of Jenette McCurdy’s memoir, and roughly 75% of the run time of the entire show.
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If you can only catch the first Pokémon on each route you encounter in Pokémon Fire Red, and you only walk or surf, how often will you have a chance to catch each Pokémon?
Based on 10,000 simulations, here are my results:
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I present to you a list of every major sports league in the world which considers player injuries in who participates in their postseason tournament:
FBS Football
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Related Pro Tip:
If you want to start writing football content, the best way to get clicks/views on your articles is to post things onto Reddit or Facebook. Ideally you get recommended by other blogs, but starting out you want to prioritize platforms which have longform content.
I hear this a lot, but it’s not true. Only a tiny percentage of traffic for large media sites comes from twitter. It’s actually very small. People on twitter tend to think it is a bigger deal than it really is.
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@ettingermentum
Wonder what the urban policy of 60s republicans was. Surely it was super cool and fair
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FAKE NEWS, the Louisville Colonels (0-4) and the Hammond Pros (0-4) were winless for the entire speaker tenure of Republican Nicholas Longworth (OH-1) from December 1925 to March 1931
The Bears are the only team to be winless in a speaker's entire tenure
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Fun fact: if one were to play Pokémon Fire Red in the intended order with nuzlocke rules w dupes, only surf/walk, and only encounter on the first area of a route, there are 8 guaranteed encounters:
Pidgey
Rattata
Spearow
Doduo
Tangela
Tentacool
Venonant
Ditto
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Here is how the Power 5 schools have recruited in Atlanta’s metro over the past 5 classes (including 2024)
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Unbelievable how many problems in your life can be solved by a really good breakfast sandwich
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SURPRISE: The first post of the return of The Evaluation Period returns today!
We discuss Pythagorean win percentage, the intuition behind how they work, and how to use regression to estimate the exponent. I got 2.77 for NFL football
Link:
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@benbbaldwin
Tbf you can’t really put better metrics like EPA/Play and CPOE into a contract even outside of CBA reasons. Since there’s no one model there’s no 3rd party authority that teams and players can/would to agree to use. Passer rating is for pagans but it’s not like, that bad
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RE: My Substack
I'm going to start writing again next week, just for fun and to get back into the habit. The plan is two (2) posts a week:
Wed - Something football related
Fri - Literally anything (maybe football, maybe my take on a piece of media, maybe even a short story)
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Come work at Next Gen Stats this upcoming season! DM me if you have any questions!
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Granted he’s been on a huge press tour, met with international leaders, already has a very well funded PAC, and it’s been widely reported so we already knew this.
But just like, imagine a Presidential nominee trying to justify not letting kids play football during a debate lmao
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Receiving word that the real patriots are back in control
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The University of Michigan is the greatest university in the world
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@TheoAshNFL
Not to sound like a biased fan, but this play was literally the best moment of 2022
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HAIL MICHIGAN WE ARE THE PROTAGONISTS OF HISTORY IT WAS NEVER IN DOUBT FOR A SECOND
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Actively trying to convince my former musical theatre major gf to set the tone early tonight at her girl’s night karaoke
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@ThiccStauskas
Who would have thought in a game about blocking and tackling the team that can block and tackle better won
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So proud of Arjun!!! He’s gonna absolutely destroy it with the Jets!
I'm excited to announce that I will be joining the New York Jets this summer as a football analytics intern in their front office. Honored and humbled to be given this opportunity and to be able to work with a great group of people.
#TakeFlight
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Go 6ers imo
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A fun little preview of Wednesday's post
Here is the median margin of victory of every season since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970, with some important events marked.
An example of how to interpret this graph is that 50% of games in 2011 had a margin of victory of 8 or less.
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Nick Saban’s a bozo and JJ McCarthy is the
#1
pick and Blake Corum will get every record ever then be elected president
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@ettingermentum
Coolest part ab John Lindsay is how he’s the one politician Caro wrote about where the conclusion was “yeah he just friggin stinks”
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Been working on a project that involves me learning some JavaScript and I gotta say, it has to have the worst looking syntax of any commonly used programming language. Absolutely putrid vibes. Disgusting.
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I have successfully made a working full stack web app (I’ve only tested it on my machine) (it’s not deployed) (i have not even tried to make the front end pretty yet) (I’m still putting node on my resume)
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Simplified viz of the network to avoid international prison 👍🏻
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A better preview of Wednesday's post:
What % of games in each season since the merger were decided by 7 points or fewer?
This season set the modern-era record at 52.3% of games! (148/283 games in 2022)
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Been really enjoying cooking my rice with stock recently. Same normal procedure (wash and put in rice cooker) just instead of doing 2 parts water to 1 part rice do 1.5 parts stock to 1 part rice. A bit more flavorful for bowls/fried rice Imo
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What one has to understand about the University of Michigan is that it’s the greatest university in the world
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There’s hope
Just ran into a cornerback prospect who was listed at 6'0 who measured in at 5'8.5 at his pro day. The unmitigated gall!
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@tejfbanalytics
@mikerenner_
Breaking News: Twitter user tejfbanalytics is anti-small acts of kindness for his fellow man
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@acosta32_jp
Preposterous ranking of Aladdin. Homeless dude that’s made a life of stealing stuff? He’s in Close Call
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@aquaimperium8
Allen Drury, a popular conservative author at the time that wrote Advise & Consent which prominently features a gay senator. At another point on this same tape they name drop him in particular as basically One Of The Good Ones
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Convinced whoever made this list has never just chilled and Had A Beer in their entire life
One of the biggest debates of all-time.
What are you taking? 🤔
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We are the protagonists of history. It was never a doubt.
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Fun fact, there was a book published in 1952 by two journalists who present evidence demonstrating that WI communists were a large portion of McCarthy’s base sending him to the senate in 1946 and that he failed to give proof of even a single communist then in government.
As former history teacher (one of those 5% right of center) let me give you one small example:
McCarthyism
McCarthy was right; it was obvious he was right in the 50s and when the USSR collapsed we learned the problem (communist infiltration) was even worse than McCarthy alleged.
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This game has years worth of hype built up for it w a “summer” drop date and the first opportunity to show anything close to in-engine footage is…. This? Definitely doesn’t seem like something a game Dev would want to happen imo!
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My mother loves me very much. Except when I tell her about any of my attempts to bake something. Then she just views me with cosmic levels of pity and disgust.
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Just had a top 5% burger of my life at the townie bar with a depressed cook
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(Btw I think Kenneth Grant is the best Sunday player on this team)
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GO BLUE WE ARE THE PROTAGONISTS OF HISTORY IT WAS NEVER IN DOUBT
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We are hearing reports of a dangerous amount of Go Blue being prepared in Southern California
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Top 10 NFL teams to NOT make a championship by point differential (incl. playoffs)
1 1998 Vikings +277
2 2019 Ravens +233
3 2012 Patriots +224
4 1968 Cowboys +223
5 2011 Saints +221
6 2021 Bills +218
7 1999 Jaguars +215
8 1969 Raiders +213
9 1976 Steelers +213
10 1993 49ers +202
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What’s that? The University of Michigan football team is going to win the national championship? Hell yeah
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Finding a list of members on any Senate committee pre-2006 is an extremely frustrating process. So I decided to change that, and make this dashboard displaying a map and a list of members for every committee from 1947-present.
Check it out:
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Wanted to mess around w HTML/CSS and made this portfolio website
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She can play to the crowd with old T-Swift after a couple drinks. Need to establish dominance by belting When He Cheats first.
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JJ McCarthy will throw for 100,000 yards and 800 TDs in the NFL and Blake Corum will be elected president and Mikey Sainristil will do literally anything he wants for his entire life
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Tyson Bagent is the only QB to beat Chuck and Ainsley McQuiston’s alma mater two times in his last 10 games
#StatThat
#NextGenStats
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NEW NEWSLETTER POST:
I work off of
@BruceFeldmanCFB
’s observation that offensive NFL all-stars tended to be worse HS recruits. The main driver is that OL take a while to develop, so a lot graduated HS before recruiting rankings got good in 2011
Link:
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STOCK PRO TIP:
Only put ham hock in your stock if you want it to very strongly taste of pork. It’s extremely overpowering, and sometimes that’s fine, but I wouldn’t recommend it for every stock.
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Some fun game design observations:
- You're basically guaranteed to be able to get a Fire, Water, and Grass type throughout your playthrough
- You have a chance at basically every normal flying bird
- There's a *lot* of routes w the same options damn
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NEW TEP:
Wrote about how parity has changed in NFL history via one score games and relative team strength. Turns out, it’s been p constant since the 80s which is absolutely wild to me!
Link:
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I assume this holds for other forms of writing as well, I just don't have experience with those. Moral of the story is Twitter exposure has an extremely low ROI for actual eyeballs on your longform work, so deprioritize it imo
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Pre-merger NFL really did not have that many close games, but the league eventually transformed into its Any Given Sunday mode sometimes in the 80s.
Here is the full analysis if you wanna read more about it
NEW TEP:
Wrote about how parity has changed in NFL history via one score games and relative team strength. Turns out, it’s been p constant since the 80s which is absolutely wild to me!
Link:
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I recommend everyone live in LA for a short period of time in their life, just to make all of Ice Cube’s diss tracks better
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NFL Network’s
#1
play of the 2010 season which they played on a loop during the 2011 lockout offseason
13 years ago today: "Garrard... Steps up... Fireeess, Mike Sims WALKEERR, knocked down …. OH HE CAUGHT IT!" ~ Gus Johnson
This is one of my favorite NFL calls.
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@ESPN_BillC
For extremely personal bragging reasons, how much would Michigan be favored over Kenyon
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‼️‼️NEXT GEN PUNTING STATS COURTESY OF
@Mike_Lounsberry
‼️‼️
Introducing Field Position Over Expected, a new metric to evaluate the performance of punters.
Last season, A.J. Cole of the Raiders led the league in FPOE with +221. Cole has generated +511 FPOE since 2021, more than any other punter in that span.
#RaiderNation
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@LeeSharpeNFL
Ik where you’re coming from, but they’re 3-4 with a +22 point differential since Wk 6 after all their injuries. In that time they have one game decided by more than one score (Wk 11). They haven’t been as successful recently as their total point differential indicates
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Good article by Eric! Definitely presents a strong case for why since it is valuable to keep it within one score if your opponent kicks a FG.
In the one possession case tho, I disagree. The benefits of being able to withstand a FG don’t outweigh the negatives of failing the 2pt
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I determined how often every senator has voted same as each of their colleagues in the current session, and then used hierarchical clustering to identify voting blocks in the senate.
In my view, there are 8. You can check out my write up here:
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Told y’all
Alabama Dems urge Nick Saban to challenge Tuberville for Senate
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