Cole Stern
@ColeWeather25
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Based in Long Island, NY. Meteorology lover and researcher. Bowling, coding, and chess sidequests. College: Coming soon + applying now!
Joined September 2021
Earlier today, we had one of the strongest temperature gradients we ever see in our region, with widespread 50s in south NJ and 30s in north NJ. At one point the temperature changed 10 degrees in less than 2 miles! All that's been blown away now that the cold front has passed.
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Now a nearly 4-sigma retrograding west based -NAO being modeled on today's 12z ECMWF Ensemble mean. There is no understating how impressive this is for winter weather prospects in the Eastern US as we head into January.
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2017-2018 could be an interesting winter analog to this year. Cold to start, huge winter storm early January, then warm in February and very cold and snowy March.
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This pattern has real big dog potential, esp in the Mid-Atlantic. Very El Niño-esque here with the Pacific trough & -NAO coupled with a strong subtropical jet. The strong subtropical jet is a lagged effect from the big MJO event over the Indo-Pacific in late Nov & early Dec.
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The Winter Storm Warning has been expanded to include southeastern CT. The heaviest snowfall (rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour) will occur between 6pm and midnight, moving west to east across the area. Go to https://t.co/3iQD1GJhcP for more details. #NYCwx #NYwx #CTwx #NJwx
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On this day in 2010, the epic "Boxing Day Blizzard" ❄️❄️❄️ 20-30+ inches of snow fell across the New York City metro, eastern New Jersey, and the Lower Hudson Valley. The heavy snow was accompanied by powerful wind gusts in excess of 60mph. Who remembers?
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OKX issues Winter Storm Watch valid at Dec 26, 4:00 PM EST till Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST https://t.co/AgnEwvZkre
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@ColeWeather25 Nice shot! We had a few around the area today. Here is a visible satellite picture from 12:31pm.
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A true Long Island special as the arctic front leads to FGEN and 1-2”/hour snowfall rates
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The heaviest rates with this event are now moving into Long Island, with snow rates near 1”/hour expected. Cold air advection has helped lead to more favorable profiles for dendritic growth & ratios solidly over 10:1.
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