Charles Miller
@CharlesTXPolicy
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Work @Texas2036 | Previous: Gov. Abbott staff | Health care, smoked meats, Notre Dame, Inglewood Jacks Hockey | My old account (@cmillernd2005) was hacked.
Austin, United States
Joined March 2023
Guys, I flew too close to the Twitter sun, and got hacked. Now my old account @cmillernd2005 is being used for crypto scams. But don't worry. You can catch all my #NotreDameHotTakes here (and maybe some #txlege health care policy takes too).
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Here's El Paso. Brownsville is coming, and it's.... really affordable.
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The X axis is a beautiful example of amazing data fidelity.
Havent shared my consensus power ratings in a while, so here they are heading into week 10. The B1G holds the top three spots, Ohio State + Indiana are in the top tier (standard deviations) while Oregon is like decimal points off that line
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The pitch of populist demagogues is always "The country is going to hell, and only I can save it." So one of the best ways to undermine them is to publish evidence that things are getting better, not worse.
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Every legitimate source for apartment data shows: Where there's a lot of new apartment supply, rents are falling. Where there's little new apartment supply, rents are rising. It's all about supply and demand. Source: Avison Young Q3 report using CoStar data
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This is a BFD. Obesity is basically the ballgame in population health as so much stuff is derivative of obesity. GLP-1s basically solve it. The focus should be on identifying what a breakeven price is in the meantime for public programs, and offering that for now, while
The CDC's NHANES, Epic's Cosmos EHR dataset, and now Gallup's National Health and Well-Being Index survey have converged on something amazing: The obesity rate has fallen *for three straight years*. Through the power of pharmacotherapy, obesity is disappearing.
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My take on property taxes aligns with Milton Friedman's. There's room to reduce wasteful and inefficient local spending that would lower property tax rates. There's room to reform the basis on which property taxes are calculated (land value vs improvement value). But eliminating
Eliminating property taxes and replacing them with a larger consumption or income tax would be a massive mistake. It would hurt economic dynamism. Take it from Milton Friedman: "In my opinion... the least bad tax is the property tax on the unimproved value of land".
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The other part of this is that consumer value for folks making more than 400% FPL is absolutely worthless and I wouldn't recommend signing up at that level unless you have a known expensive or chronic condition. There are other options for the relatively healthy at that income
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True fact: The optimal amount of bad things is almost never zero! (This unpopular opinion is a fun conversation starter at parties.)
One of my core lessons in my business ethics class to MBAs is that the socially optimal level of ground insect matter in coffee pods is not 0%.
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This is what makes Pate popular. Look, when you publicly opine on anything for a living, you’re gonna get egg on your face from time to time. You can either ignore it, dismiss it, spin it, or own it. Pate owns this like a man. A clown man, but a man nonetheless. Mad respect
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Some real rough data on premiums in Austin and Houston. The plan details, where listed, apply to all of the bronze/silver/gold plans in the particular table. Things are not nearly as bad as have been reported for the vast bulk of Texas enrollees. 85% of Texas enrollees make
So, there's a lot of chatter about ACA premiums. My take, in short, is that consumer value is still *very good* if you are eligible for subsidies. 75% of Texas enrollees earn below 200%, and all of them are eligible for at least one free plan. Many enrollees earning above that
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So, there's a lot of chatter about ACA premiums. My take, in short, is that consumer value is still *very good* if you are eligible for subsidies. 75% of Texas enrollees earn below 200%, and all of them are eligible for at least one free plan. Many enrollees earning above that
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Love Josh for this. Eats his crow, keeps his respect. Good college football dude.
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Shohei Ohtani's last 7 at-bats at Dodger Stadium: Home run Double Home run Double Home run Home run Home run The first three in the NLCS. The last four in the World Series. Just absurd. https://t.co/WALzMGqTS2
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In light of the IBC push to ban “windowless bedrooms” I’m reposting this survey & paper which found that Americans who wanted a baby *preferred* floorplans w an extra room, even if it didn’t have a window It’s a “Baby Maybe” apartment: space for desk, storage … or a crib!
I'm very proud release a project I've been working on for 18months: the *first* rigorous study on floorplans & families. ~10K person survey & 40pg paper on: Do floorplans matter to families, or people who want a baby? Turns out, YES! And having an *extra* bedroom matters MOST
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The law in Texas (Ins. Code 1301.140) is a good start, but it's administratively clunky, which allows insurers to make it hard for patients to use. For starters, in order for the patient to receive the deductible credit, the amount they paid in cash must be less than the average
Texas and Tennessee and I believe Indiana and two other states as well , have laws that require insurers to apply cash pay to deductibles when you present them with the bills
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When we actually have all the social science in on long-term school closures 20 years from now, it's going to turn out to be a massively harmful event and history will look on those who pushed for them badly.
In the middle of the heartbreaking New York Times story on child sex trafficking in Los Angeles: "Part of that boom happened during the pandemic, when many girls were out of school and immersed in social media, where traffickers lurked. Teachers who would ordinarily follow up on
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In case you needed any additional evidence that education is still stuck in the Stone Age, consider this: It’s still considered groundbreaking research that children have to be taught how to read
Fascinating new report from the World Bank summarising the global evidence on effective reading instruction. "A fundamental insight from reading research is that children do not learn to read naturally—reading must be explicitly taught" https://t.co/yHDcqskM0x
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AI can't do senior level work (yet), but it can do a awful lot of entry level work.
Pretty interesting: Companies that have adopted AI aren't hiring fewer senior employees, but they have cut back on hiring juniors ones.
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The train in the video almost certainly didn't have air conditioning. Definitely no wifi. Food was likely seasonally dependent. Infectious diseases that might spread on a train like pneumonia, tuberculosis, and influenza were a major mortality risk even for the middle-aged. But
When it’s a luxury to travel like the past instead of the future, and it’s better in every possible way than the present, you need to accept that something has gone very wrong.
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