Allyson Rae
@AllysonRaeWx
Followers
8K
Following
10K
Media
4K
Statuses
13K
Chief Meteorologist Gulf Coast News. CBM/AMS approved. PSU grad. Adopt don’t shop. 🐶
Fort Myers, FL
Joined June 2011
Hurricane Melissa pounds St Elizabeth 🌪️🌊 Hurricane Melissa is wreaking absolute havoc on Jamaica’s breadbasket parish. Roofs torn away, floodwaters rising, and trees uprooted as powerful winds pound the South Coast. 🌊💨 The Category 5 storm continues to lash the island with
20
83
146
A section of the Savanna-la-Mar Public General Hospital in Westmoreland suffered severe damage after Hurricane Melissa tore off its roof earlier today. The powerful Category 5 system made landfall near the New Hope district, unleashing destructive winds and heavy rainfall
17
57
100
Disaster Coordinator for St Ann, Alvin Clarke, says there have been no reports of deaths or casualties in Cave Valley, which is currently experiencing flooding. Clarke noted that residents may have already evacuated the area, which is known to be flood-prone. “Cave Valley is
0
24
47
#Hurricane #Melissa's pressure has dropped to 906 mb - the 4th lowest for an October Atlantic hurricane on record. Three lowest are: Wilma (2005 - 882 mb), Milton (2024 - 895 mb), Mitch (1998 - 905 mb). Pressures have been recorded consistently for Atlantic hurricanes since 1979.
10
132
425
#Hurricane #Melissa's pressure is down to 908 mb - the lowest pressure for an Atlantic hurricane this late in the calendar year on record. Pressures have been consistently recorded for Atlantic hurricanes since 1979. Lower pressure = more powerful hurricane.
26
156
473
While everyone else is focused on the surface winds with Melissa, I’m worried about the higher terrain that is within 10 miles of the ocean. Why? Well look at this dropsonde from about an hour ago. 700’ above the surface the winds aren’t 160mph. They were 192mph. That’s why
14
25
264
A new @NOAA_HurrHunter mission just made its first pass through Hurricane Melissa's textbook eye from west to east and found pressures in the low 930s (last estimate was 941 mb at 5 PM ET). Hasn't sampled the strongest northeast side yet but Melissa closing in on Cat 5 tonight.
2
28
107
The tropical wave in the East Atlantic continues to make its way west. Some scattered convection but nothing super organized yet. We're probably still a week or so from potential development (probably somewhere in the Central Caribbean if it happens), so nothing to worry about
5
12
107
The formation of Tropical Storm #LORENZO marks the 2,000th recorded system in the Atlantic Hurricane Database (HURDAT) since it began in 1851. Over the last 174 years, we've now recorded 2,000 systems. This averages out to about 11.5 systems per year (depressions, storms, and
5
31
173
Like many MDR systems this year, the future of #95L will depend on convection and how well it's sustained. Right now it's a little anemic, and GFS has been correcting weaker in the short term. If it can't sustain convection, we could see a weaker solution like the ECWMF. Still a
3
7
67
How about *only* hurricane pairings in the Atlantic and for the entire period of record (since 1851). What are the closest two hurricanes have ever been recorded? Humberto and Imelda right at the top. The nearest reliable contender was Easy and Fox back in 1951.
Can't get enough of this stat! #Imelda and #Humberto are the closest two #hurricanes have come to one another in the satellite era. All other cases involved at least one tropical storm!
13
76
275
Definitely one of the stranger Atlantic satellite images of the last several years. Seems like something the 384h GFS would spit out, but happening for real.
16
115
776
#94L has increased convective coverage south of Puerto Rico this afternoon. The wave axis looks a little more amplified as well. This particular vort max may not be long for this world, though, since it is heading right for the mountainous terrain of Hispaniola. We may not have a
6
25
150
As we track our two tropical waves this morning, the eastern one, 93L, looks the most likely to develop soon and could become Humberto. The bigger challenge is how 94L evolves in response to 93L. If both systems develop, they could interact and rotate around a common center,
0
1
12
@GulfCoastNews9 @AllysonRaeWx Mahalo for reporting on Lee County's water level gauge network, powered by Hohonu https://t.co/ppmINrnVZ7 "Hawaii-based company Hohonu is introducing affordable, cutting-edge sensors that provide real-time data."
gulfcoastnewsnow.com
Lee County is enhancing storm safety with new sensors that provide real-time water level data, addressing previous data gaps.
0
1
2
This photo, 20 years later, remains one of the greatest images ever taken inside Hurricane KATRINA. The Hurricane Hunters view of KATRINA’s eye, with the eyewall visible. At the time, it packed winds of 150 kts (175 mph) and a pressure of 902 mb.
14
302
2K
Today, we honored the Gulf Coast community with a flyover in Gulfport, Mississippi, marking the 20th anniversary of Hurricane Katrina. This tribute remembers the resilience of those impacted and the dedication of all who answered the call in the storm’s aftermath.✈️
10
131
649
Former NHC Branch Chief James Franklin shared these verification plots tonight from all publicly available models for Hurricane Erin. @GoogleDeepMind (GDMI) crushed it, even besting the consensus aids. We'll see if this holds the rest of the season, but color me impressed.
Impressive performance from @GoogleDeepMind for Hurricane Erin, with best overall track and intensity forecasts of any guidance. One storm, but it's shown early promise and worth watching among the new class of AI models.
4
19
110
8/17 evening: In addition to #Erin, the tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic now has a medium🟠chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 7 days. The system should approach the NE Caribbean or SW Atlantic by the end of this week. More info: https://t.co/tW4KeGe9uJ
41
595
2K