Adam Van Buskirk
@AHVanBuskirk
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Observing the Present to Understand the Future.
New Mexico
Joined January 2023
Quite frankly, the typical "worker" has always been hostile to any sort of larger foreign policy. In order to develop its hegemony, the USA had to develop a system of that de facto limited popular ability to sabotage this by voting, the dreaded "Uni-Party" and "Deep State."
@AHVanBuskirk The reason that this won't work is that you can convince people in Mississippi to sacrifice for people in Florida. You *can't* convince them to sacrifice for people in Mexico. And then you have to answer the questions "why counter China?"
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The fact that America hasn’t even been able to consolidate Canada itself into a complete unified economic zone with freedom of movement predicts this isn’t going to happen. Western political systems are too ossified and unable to reform. I would even argue the American
The real way to counter China is to cultivate international blocs, rather than making the USA smaller and more parochial. Combined population of USA and EU is 900 million, richer than China and somewhat more fertile. Western Hemisphere alone is 1 billion +, with abundant
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The real way to counter China is to cultivate international blocs, rather than making the USA smaller and more parochial. Combined population of USA and EU is 900 million, richer than China and somewhat more fertile. Western Hemisphere alone is 1 billion +, with abundant
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Strange behaviors arise among the dying peoples. Some work themselves to death for no reason, dying exhausted and childless. Others become indolent, sink into the sleep of the lotus eaters. A few engage in strange twilight wars fought by old men. https://t.co/VQeWUsgmfD
Sanae Takaichi: “I’m abandoning the phrase ‘work–life balance.’ I will work, work, work, work, and go on working!”
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The future of Russia as a Tajik-Uzbek nation. History sometimes is a cycle.
@okaythenfuture @AHVanBuskirk They are expanding by migration. More than 400k net migration from Central Asia to Russia alone.
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Everyone talks about Africa but that axis of high fertility in the center of Eurasia is of the utmost future importance. It's an extraordinary situation, being flanked by extinction-level TFR on all sides. Even if it falls in the near future, the momentum is already locked in.
Here is a map of fertility rates. You should be alarmed.
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Yes, casualty ratio is one of the most worthless metrics when it comes to the struggle of nations. It's *extremely* common for the winning side to obtain its overall strategic objectives while suffering a highly negative casualty ratio. In fact, its almost the norm.
It’s irrelevant what the ratio is. The US lost those wars so all deaths were in vain while the deaths of the enemy combatants were glorious sacrifices.
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It would seem essential to begin liberal arts study by reading a signficant portion of the Bible in an older translation. Otherwise our student is wondering "East of Eden, what does that mean?"
@AHVanBuskirk Perhaps the Bible should simply become part of literature then...
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Many have noted that profound/complete ignorance of Christianity and the Bible renders it almost impossible to teach literature to modern secular students. They no longer share the core cultural references of "Western Civilization" at all.
How long can a society be "culturally Christian" before even the cultural aspect begins to fade. I knew White Millennials who saw Christianity as totally alien. They never went to church. Funerals or weddings in their family had no religious aspect to them. They had zero clue
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Latin American is rapidly turning into a sort of giant Mediterranean. The USA will likely have a younger population in 2050 than Brazil, etc.
Latin America is about to have one of the most rapid population collapses in human history. Brazil, Mexico, Colombia + Argentina account for 70% of Latin America's population. All will be shrinking by 2030. Since 2018, they have seen their natural growth collapse by ~50% 🇧🇷
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When to pull the "emergency brakes" on population is a difficult question of national strategy. I think places that delayed the demographic transition will be glad that they did, there is an advantage to being a late mover here.
Egypt's govt has started an aggressive family planning policy. Govt wants the country's TFR to be 1.5, but President himself wants it as low as 1.0 They're drilling wells to drain groundwater as they're severely short of water. You will see same replicate in Pakistan in coming
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This "X article" might be of interest in light of the recent interest by the US administration in regaining Bagram Airbase. I really think it's one of the better concise explanations available on these matters.
Af-Pak Remains the Key to Central Asia After America’s calamitous defeat and withdrawal from Afghanistan, there is a temptation to forget about the entire region, to write off the entire effort as a pure loss. However, this would be a profound error. In the midst of Russia’s
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Many find this heavily counter-intuitive, but reduced trade barriers should logically *reduce* immigration pressure, and vice versa. If high labor industry is off-shore, the workers will stay off-shore. But if lower value industry is artificially forced to re-shore, the demand
Isn’t it ironic that many people in the UK voted for Brexit to reduce immigration?
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Reduction of the monopoly of force via ubiquitous small arms and "Maoist" tactics is one of the most signficant dynamics in modern history. Thus the obligatory "soft" and commercial nature of the US "hegemony." Note that this does not necessarily lead to multi-polarity, since
There has been an enormous technological convergence in recent centuries, which has allowed the playing field to be leveled to an enormous extent in terms of allowing small developing countries like North Vietnam to effectively counter coercion from major powers. For example, in
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This leads to the argument that the only real way to ensure defense against China is a well modernized nuclear force which will explicitly be used in the case of serious aggression. USA simply isn't going to fight or win a war of material and human attrition against China.
I don't think most people outside the field of manufacturing appreciate that EVERYTHING comes from China. Not Mexico or Vietnam or some other cheap labor country, China specifically. There are almost no exceptions to this. "Made in the USA", that means Chinese parts were screwed
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Both of these things can be true. Larger or even global structures of trade and free movement facilitate breaking down the intermediate sized nation states. Catalonia or Ireland or the like make much more sense as independent nations within the EU framework.
You're against nationalism because you think we should be "global citizens," that the nation is far too limited. I'm against nationalism because I think we should be citizens of a particular region or city, that the nation is far too large
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It will be really interesting to observe the extent and the nature of the US "tilt towards Pakistan." It's immensely important at this juncture to wean Pakistan away from China, bring them back into the NATO+ world.
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As such the argument that we should just accept population loss and aging is the *least effective* avenue against immigration. Elites and the system would be more likely to accept an argument that centers pro-natalism. A serious and demonstrated intention to halt decline.
There probably isn't anyone you can vote for who will voluntarily tolerate population loss. Above a certain level of power/wealth, national population loss is direct personal negative for them and their own families. They will find some way to get people in.
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There probably isn't anyone you can vote for who will voluntarily tolerate population loss. Above a certain level of power/wealth, national population loss is direct personal negative for them and their own families. They will find some way to get people in.
This is a geopolitical law at this point everywhere globally, elites will not tolerate a shrinking economic pie from depopulation just out of your lumpenprole desires for ethnic solidarity or racial identity, they're in this for their families, not for your invented ethnic
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