SixSense Macro
@2centsMacro
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Emerging Markets Equity background (on Wallstreet). I break down macro trends to understand what’s happening in financial markets. #investing #macro
New York
Joined September 2023
@leevalueroach Gold became a necessity after the Ukraine war started and the US froze Russia’s foreign reserves. That made it apparent to every country that if their reserves were in dollars they didn’t have full control. Governments realized they need to hold gold and they need to hold it
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Bitcoin continues to rally on massive institutional buying through the ETFs. Nobody is talking about it at the dinner table yet.
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@JeffWeniger There’s a good corporate governance story in Japan. Activists are increasingly involved. With the dollar weakening and capital outflows out of the US, Japan could see massive inflows. As a US investor you’d have the tailwinds of a stronger yen and a better shareholder return
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@leevalueroach Gold became a necessity after the Ukraine war started and the US froze Russia’s foreign reserves. That made it apparent to every country that if their reserves were in dollars they didn’t have full control. Governments realized they need to hold gold and they need to hold it
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The sign of this is that retail interest is low. Institutional money is driving this rally.
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Think about the tens of thousands of rich Chinese with assets in the US. So percentage will need to diversify into bitcoin.
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Bitcoin is getting bid up for the same reason that gold has been since the Ukrainian war. Diversification away from the US dollar is a necessity when the US can and will freeze a countries foreign reserves and sanction rich private citizens. Yield is less important. Control of
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Bitcoin continues to rally on massive institutional buying through the ETFs. Nobody is talking about it at the dinner table yet.
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Double job holders coming down is actually a sign of the labor market softening.
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Double job holders coming down is actually a sign of the labor market softening.
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Every commodity chart looks like this https://t.co/N1DfBSaGG0 Silver, copper, platinum oil etc… @sam_gatlin
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Investors are too complacent, ignoring the Trump-Musk feud's impact. Deficits now matter—the narrative flipped. The "run it hot" trade is dead. Let’s unpack why this shift matters: (1/3)
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Everything has changed. Elon is forcing senators to choose . Change the bill or I’ll crush you in the midterms. The run hot trade is dead. We are going lower $GOLD $BITCOIN $NASDAQ are max consensus right now. (3/3)
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NVDA’s stock price is still driven by earnings and free cash flow. Apple’s is not and at risk of losing market share in China.
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@MichaelAArouet Yet somehow Russia builds more artillery than all of Europe and the US combined... How does that work?
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Every commodity chart looks like this https://t.co/N1DfBSaGG0 Silver, copper, platinum oil etc… @sam_gatlin
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Everything has changed. Elon is forcing senators to choose . Change the bill or I’ll crush you in the midterms. The run hot trade is dead. We are going lower $GOLD $BITCOIN $NASDAQ are max consensus right now. (3/3)
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The market has been soaring despite falling earnings forecasts. And this is the second fastest rally after a 20% drop. Hedges have been unwound and the bears are hiding. The GOP’s bill signaled the certainty that republicans truly don’t care about the debt and deficits. We
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Investors are too complacent, ignoring the Trump-Musk feud's impact. Deficits now matter—the narrative flipped. The "run it hot" trade is dead. Let’s unpack why this shift matters: (1/3)
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NVDA’s stock price is still driven by earnings and free cash flow. Apple’s is not and at risk of losing market share in China.
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