Victor Shih
@vshih2
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Director of 21st Century China Center and Ho Miu Lam Chair at GPS of UCSD. Expert of Chinese elite politics, economy, and finance. RT does not mean endorsement.
Seattle, WA
Joined August 2009
How do dictators maintain power for life? I explain in a new book that they can stay in power by forming "Coalitions of the Weak" composed of tainted or inexperienced officials. Not a loyalty-competence tradeoff but one of institutions vs patrimonialism
cambridge.org
Cambridge Core - Asian Studies - Coalitions of the Weak
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As I tell my students, there are some documents, even very short ones, that reveal a great deal across different topics about the CCP. This is one of them
Leaked CCP speech document, about shifting the narrative on the West's social media platforms Comrade Liu Yongjie's Speech on the Management of Overseas Social Media Platforms at the Work Report Meeting of the Public Security Bureau
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Aries is transforming logistics with modern tracking and unmatched client experience. Get a Quote or Book Now.
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Super interesting and makes sense. Actually I don’t think this is so different from commercial influence, besides the threats toward families of course
Inside the Machine: A Rare Recording Reveals How the CCP Recruits Influencers https://t.co/LVyNeUOCkj A Chinese YouTuber with roughly 350,000 subscribers in the military-affairs space recently released a recording of a conversation with a Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
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Great job @heiwai_tang !
Professor @heiwai_tang, the Director of the @AsiaGInstitute, Vice President of @HKUniversity, delivered a keynote address at the VI Eurasian Research on China & Eurasia Conference organized by @ChinaEurasiaCo
https://t.co/jI0w2F75QK
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“If the jealousies and insecurities that come with succession politics are dangerous, then it is no surprise that Xi has not picked a successor,” writes @JosephTorigian. https://t.co/XWRXWZZmBl
foreignaffairs.com
How his father’s travails defined China’s leader—and the country he rules.
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Interesting to see a PLA joint wargame described here on Chinese military news. CCTV7, Junshi Baodao, 19Dec. I'm intrigued to see clear use of hexes (traditional style!), but also tactical level use of aerial drones and robo-dogs too. I note that a 'red' and 'blue' team are
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Great news
US drops Uganda deportation order against Chinese dissident, lawyer says https://t.co/IDRLdizxKv
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Good job opportunity!
I’m looking for a new full-time research assistant. A great opportunity for new graduates to get started in the field of China security: https://t.co/CKbHf62Lqw.
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Steve Witkoff’s unlikely diplomatic ascent: great ps, even this benign account shows a key advantage of authoritarian regimes: no constraints on making deals but folks will find out soon the downside: lack of credible commitment
wsj.com
The Kremlin fueled the rise of Trump’s friend Steve Witkoff with a prisoner release, sidelining career diplomats.
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full-link security technology, vertical model research, application effect verification, public service capabilities for concept verification, design verification, test verification, adaptation verification, and application verification. END
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..AI mobile phones, AI computers, and AI glasses, including edge-intelligent computing technology, edge-side large models and intelligent agent technology, edge-cloud collaboration and cross-device collaboration, multimodal natural interaction technology, embodied intelligence3/n
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..data engineering platforms, and dataset quality testing; verification technologies such as AI cloud training/inference chip, terminal inference chip design, domestic software and hardware adaptation, heterogeneous computing power adaptation 2/n
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MIIT's priority AI techs 2025 "complex reasoning models, embodied intelligence models, edge-side models; large-scale computing center, multi-cluster computing power scheduling and coordination, computing center energy consumption management 1/n
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Basically starts would have to be zero for several years to digest some of the supply overhang
Couple of amazing charts from Goldman Sachs on the Chinese property sector collapse. Starts are still falling, down 80% now. Cumulative drag on GDP growth since the campaign against the developers began will be ~10% (!!!) by next year
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Yep truly lavishly funded, hearing some profs in China get over 10 mln RMB a year so w PPP close to 2 million USD a year
Analysis: A new crop of elite, lavishly funded universities is sprouting across China, part of a high-stakes campaign to cultivate homegrown innovation and challenge the country’s academic establishment.
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Worth paying attention to
SenseTime continues to be one to watch for its role in China's overall tech self-reliance efforts. The company announced yesterday another strategic partnership with a domestic computing powerhouse - Sugon - to build “full-stack domestic capabilities in the field of embodied
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Double whammy, no, China does not have "dream of AI dominance" and no, the H200s are not a game changer..... Opinions are nice, but facts based analysis is even better.... Trump Is Doubling Down on His Disastrous A.I. Chip Policy
nytimes.com
National security shouldn’t ever have a price.
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Here we go, been hearing rumors of consulting firms that facilitate pubs by bribing editors. Just received an offer today from a Nanjing based company. I guess it’s not a myth
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有央企背景的中国量子科技龙头企业国盾量子董事长吕品在办公室内意外去世,年仅46岁,警方通报已排除案件。
zaobao.com.sg
有央企背景的中国量子科技龙头企业国盾量子董事长吕品在办公室内意外去世,年仅46岁,警方通报已排除案件。
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1/2 Bloomberg: "The share of Chinese bonds with maturities beyond 10 years has climbed to around 31% of outstanding central and local government debt, the highest level in a decade and up from a low of 11.6% in 2018." https://t.co/8gulQTOrjf
bloomberg.com
China is issuing a greater proportion of longer-maturity sovereign debt to secure financing, but the increase in supply risks pushing up yields and weighing on already-weakening demand.
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