The Roaring '20s were also based on the American dream of cheap credit and leverage. Every recession is preceded by an expansion in credit. Recessions are also part of the cycle. If you want to avoid a recession, then do not expand credit beyond the productivity rate.

I turned out to be right very quickly. Silver is down and oil is down. However, since the silver decline is larger, it pushed the ratio to lower levels.

Mmm, recession, you say? Oil doesn't lie; it's the thermostat of the global economy.

But “everything’s fine”

The US non-farm payrolls is a coincident indicator of the real economy. It has its own cycles and has never been wrong—no false positives In my model—not just this chart—a very bad NFP number in January will push my indicators down, which could mark the beginning of a recession

Forward P/E valuation method: A Comforting Lie at the end of every bubble peak. How Wall Street justifies overvaluation by borrowing from the future https://t.co/H0PtoL7Xne

I smell a recession. March.

Every time gold has surged over 200% in a short timeframe, it has always ended in a recession and massive disinflation or deflation. This is the exact opposite of what the mainstream suggests today, which is more inflation and a weaker USD. Stick to the data!

I see people suggesting that oil will go up because the silver/oil ratio is the highest in history. How do you know that oil will go up and silver will not fall off the cliff? It is a ratio

biggest gold decline in history incoming astrologers are in complete agreement supercycle not until 2030+ until then, blood will flow

@yapados18 In Deflation: USD In Inflation: Gold

Agreed. Something is broken, similar to 2008. It ends in recession with deflation despite the rapid surge in metals.

If there is a shortage of houses in the US say, only one available to sell in the whole country. One might assume the price would be infinite due to low supply. But what if no one wants to buy the house? Regardless of supply and shortages, demand is the key.

El carry trade japonés, su liquidez y el peligro de la compresión de tasas. https://t.co/E58yPFacYp

S&P 500 Shiller PE Ratio hits 2nd highest level in history 🚨 The highest was the Dot Com Bubble 🤯

The Curve Has Turned And The Clock Is Running At its core, this is the yield curve…the gap between long term and short term borrowing costs. Most of the time, longer money pays more. When it doesn’t and when short term rates rise above long term ones the bond market is

Agree. Tulips on the blockchain are still tulips. Regardless, I think it has one more leg higher!!

“But this time is different as earnings quality is better.” At every bubble's end, narratives claim new tech will increase productivity. Turns out AI is just used for post-meeting summaries and to shorten text. The remaining use cases are not ready for prime time.

$ETH & $BMNR are about to make another BIG move. (This only happens twice a year.) How? The DSS Bressert indicator is about to cross over again. (And each time it happens, $ETH climbs 50-200%+.) This could happen in the next few weeks. Watching closely, don't miss out!

@TheShortBear Another interesting chart from Valentin below

Metals are definitely signaling something. Something is broken in the system. However, they will crash during the deflation. It has happened before, and this time won’t be different.