Tomasz Tunguz
@ttunguz
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Venture capitalist at @theoryvc Student of Startups Backer of 9 unicorns Author of https://t.co/IWw3R3RVLm Subscribe https://t.co/iDgoLXaF98
San Francisco, CA
Joined November 2007
The AI market today is bacon in a hot skillet. Everything is sizzling, moving, & changing at an incredible pace. We’re all watching it closely. Market share is fluid because no one yet knows what AI can do & the second we think have grasped it, models improve. The Nvidia chip
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We're back! @HarryStebbings @rodriscoll me + special guest @ttunguz!! 🧵Cursor just crossed $1B ARR + raised $2.3B at $29.3B valuation with ~ 300 employees. And got to scale with just 30. Stripe's doing tender offers at all-time highs instead of going public. The entire
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This was a ton of fun! Great to be with you all to talk about the fastest moving spaces in AI
We're back! @HarryStebbings @rodriscoll me + special guest @ttunguz!! 🧵Cursor just crossed $1B ARR + raised $2.3B at $29.3B valuation with ~ 300 employees. And got to scale with just 30. Stripe's doing tender offers at all-time highs instead of going public. The entire
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Two revelations this week have shaken the narrative in AI : Nvidia’s earnings & this tweet about Gemini. The AI industry spent 2025 convinced that pre-training scaling laws had hit a wall. Models weren’t improving just from adding more compute during training. Then Gemini 3
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When's the last time you evaluated your evaluator? The LLM tooling market is getting noisy, and differentiation is fading fast. How does it feel using eval tools inside a real workflow, under real constraints, with real debugging needs? During his internship, @coledumansk19
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> be me, go to SF > never did a hackathon before > find the context engineering one from @Theoryvc > claude code yolo with Mixedbread > won > have a new PC
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FUTURES TRADERS: Get 40% off all evals, no activation fees, end-of-day drawdown in our live-market PRO+ accounts…and still daily PRO payouts!
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70% of production AI teams use open source models. 72.5% connect agents to databases, not chat interfaces. This is what 375 technical builders actually ship - & it looks nothing like Twitter AI. 70% of teams use open source models in some capacity. 48% describe their strategy as
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"Our business, which today is an end-user tools business, will become essentially an infrastructure business in support of agents doing work." — Satya Nadella Microsoft talking about their view where the value accrues : agent infrastructure https://t.co/1TaxJpOeCB
dwarkesh.com
Plus a tour of Fairwater 2, the most powerful AI datacenter in the world
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Thanks to everyone who came out to @Theoryvc's America's Next Top Modeler yesterday! We had a great turnout, not to mention the 70+ submissions after the event ended 👀.
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"Context is the Defensible Moat: A generic LLM is a commodity; your business context is what makes your application defensible, because domain knowledge is the most valuable asset." - Yuanzheng Zhu, Instacart Couldn't agree more. Customizing AI systems with the internal
tech.instacart.com
Authors: Yuanzheng Zhu, Guanghua Shu, Raochuan Fan, Vinesh Gudla, Tejaswi Tenneti
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What took a 3000-node Dremel cluster can now run on a single DuckDB instance. Modern hardware has fundamentally changed the equation. During his talk at this year's Big Data LDN, MotherDuck CEO Jordan Tigani demoed how a single large DuckDB instance on MotherDuck can run
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We're hiring our first product designer at @AlliumLabs! If you love turning complex, data-rich systems into clear, intuitive experiences, come help us build our end-to-end UX and design system from the ground up. Shoot me a dm if you want to learn more.
jobs.ashbyhq.com
Design @ Allium - Accurate, Simple and Fast blockchain data
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📣 Data Plumbers of New York! come visit us in NYC and we’ll hook you up with a hat! (or if you’re a former data plumber who now uses Allium 🪠) featuring our goated eng Shank, we are always hiring!
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Every week brings a new agent framework or model. It's exciting, but founders need to know: what’s actually being used in production? We asked 413 senior builders how they’re adopting AI today, where adoption breaks, and where the real gaps are. Interactive findings ↓
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Ten months ago, DeepSeek collapsed AI training costs by 90% using distillation - transferring knowledge from larger models to smaller ones at a fraction of the cost. Distillation works like a tutor training a student : a large model teaches a smaller one. As we’ve shifted from
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