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Thomas Juneau Profile
Thomas Juneau

@thomasjuneau

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Full professor, @uottawagspia . Focus on Middle East (Iran, Yemen), security & intelligence. Former department of national defence analyst.

Joined January 2010
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
My new op-ed: the end of the luxury of a cost-free foreign policy for Canada "Canada has benefitted from an incredible luxury for the past three decades: we have been able to make mistakes in major foreign and national security policy decisions...
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 months
Folks, the Houthis are not "defending Gaza" or trying to "stop a genocide". They are using the Gaza war as a pretext to consolidate their (brutal, autocratic) rule inside Yemen and to position themselves as a regional power.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
7 months
2 things can be true at the same time, folks: -the Palestinian people have been deprived of dignity for decades and Israel's brutal occupation is strategically and morally reprehensible -Hamas is an Iran-backed terrorist group and its violence does not advance the cause of peace
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
1 month
If you take a few steps back, seeing Jordan and Saudi Arabia helping defend Israel against Iranian attacks is a pretty stunning development.
@idreesali114
Idrees Ali
1 month
Jordanian jets shoot dozens of Iranian drones flying across northern and central Jordan heading to Israel - two regional security sources to Reuters.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
My bingo card of things I did not have on my bingo card is overflowing, but I can now add "NYT spreading misinformation on Canada that is amplified by Fox, and then by the far right in Canada"
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
8 months
India is playing a risky game. It wants to signal its discontent to Canada and send a broader message to the West and the rest of the world (we are a rising power etc.), but too much aggressive foreign policy, especially given its continuing weaknesses, exposes it to blowback.
@Chellaney
Brahma Chellaney
8 months
Reuters: “India has told Canada that it must repatriate 41 diplomats by Oct. 10.” Canada has more than twice as many diplomats in India as India has in Canada. After Trudeau’s evidence-free allegations, India wants parity in diplomatic staff strength.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
Canada needs to seriously plan for the possibility that the US will not be a liberal democracy anymore. This is not fear-mongering, but a real prospect. A Trump victory in November would be a generational game changer for our security, stability, and prosperity.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 months
Views you can hold as valid all at once: -Hamas is a terrorist group & an obstacle to peace -Israel's war on Gaza is a strategic & moral disaster -The Houthis are brutal & their disruption of Red Sea shipping is a big problem -US strikes are risky & unlikely to solve this problem
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
Given how weird, even by Trumpian standards, today's White House statement on Saudi Arabia is, here is a line by line comment; pardon the long-ish thread: 1. "Iran is responsible for the bloody proxy war in Yemen": no, by no objective measure is that true. The war was local..
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
1 year
Why did a Liberal MP organize this event? The MeK is a corrupt cult with zero legitimacy inside Iran. As protests continue in Iran, if Canadian Parliamentarians want to support democracy in Iran, which they should, they need to stay away from the MeK.
@Maryam_Rajavi
Maryam Rajavi
1 year
Iranian people’s nationwide uprising for a democratic republic & against a misogynistic regime Senators & MPs attended a conference at the Canadian Parliament chaired by @JudySgroMP , a senior Member of Parliament & former Minister of Immigration #IranRevoIution #NCRIAlternative
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
Calling Canada an authoritarian state under Trudeau is as dumb as it was under Harper. It is also completely ignorant of what an actual authoritarian state is.
@rupasubramanya
Rupa Subramanya
2 years
@Ravarora1 More than 15 years after arriving in Canada…I must now consider the possibility my civil rights might have been more secure back in India. Once a vibrant, liberal democracy, Canada is now becoming an authoritarian state.” Do read.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
1 month
Iran under the Shah was not a "flawed monarchy with democratic principles". It was a repressive and kleptocratic absolute monarchy that was widely despised by Iranians. It collapsed and was replaced by a brutal theocratic regime; this does not make revisionism accurate in any way
@BriannaWu
Brianna Wu
1 month
1/ With Iran in the news, I'm going to do a brief educational thread on their history since the 1979 "Revolution" where they moved from a flawed monarchy with democratic principles to a theocracy under Ayatollah Khomeini. Here's a picture of life in Iran before the revolution.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
3 years
I call on the new Biden administration to join the Ottawa convention banning landmines, so that we can finally get rid of landmines here in Ottawa
@SenTedCruz
Senator Ted Cruz
3 years
By rejoining the Paris Climate Agreement, President Biden indicates he’s more interested in the views of the citizens of Paris than in the jobs of the citizens of Pittsburgh. This agreement will do little to affect the climate and will harm the livelihoods of Americans.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
6 years
Canada has no backing at all from the US in its current spat with Saudi. This is new. Not a big deal: the dispute is spectacular, but ultimately not very important. But this should be a source of major anxiety: when a real crisis comes, and we are alone, what do we do?
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
3 years
The fact that China is not even pretending to deny that the 2 Michaels were hostages is a strong signal to the world that it does not care what others think. It is openly signalling that it is a bully. Not responding firmly will only invite further bullying.
@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
3 years
The next step is for Canada to work with allies - yes, AUKUS - to get much tougher on the containment of China. China takes Canadian citizens as hostages, spies, steals IP, intimidates its diaspora here, etc. Maybe it would have been nice to get along, but that ship has sailed.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
1 year
I was in a car accident yesterday. Car crashed me at high speed. I'm banged up but OK. Million thanks to guy who helped me out of the car, police, firemen, ambulance paramedics & staff at Civic hospital. Special thanks to policewoman who described me as "male, mid 30s" (I am 46).
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
When we say that Canada lacks a mature national security culture, we mean politicians and the government but also others, including the media. This is a brutally bad question. If you want to ask questions on Canada's policy on Ukraine, go ahead. But this is excessively parochial.
@Travisdhanraj
Travis Dhanraj
2 years
Deputy PM @cafreeland & Foreign Affairs Min @melaniejoly clearly did not like my Q— Why is @JustinTrudeau in Europe on the taxpayer dime while there are pressing domestic issues he could be dealing w/ at home…here’s the exchange #cdnpoli
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
Not a surprise, but still weird to see how some of the cheerleaders for the protests in Ottawa (and I mean for the hard-line organisers, not the people who just opposed vaccine mandates) are now parroting Russian propaganda on Ukraine.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
Periodic reminder that if you compare Canada to North Korea, you're a clown
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
My hypothesis on tonight: -Iran knows every inch of Al-Asad and Erbil bases & knew US troops were secure; it purposely avoided them. Its short range missiles are precise enough to do that. Iran is fine with Iraqi casualties (it's happy to fight the US to the last Iraqi) (1/3)
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
No words to describe how insanely stupid this is - by former Olympic gold medal figure skater @JamieSale . It is historically illiterate, shows a perverted reading of Canadian politics, and is a trivialization of the Holocaust - 6 million dead - that is an insult to their memory.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
16 days
Just got the news that I am promoted to full professor...
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
In our research, @StephanieCarvin and I found there is literally no past instance of politicization of intelligence in Canada. Our leaders simply don't do that, unlike in other countries. If Trudeau says this, with appropriate caveats & caution, it must be taken very seriously.
@ABC
ABC News
4 years
BREAKING: Justin Trudeau: "We have intelligence from multiple sources, including our allies and our own intelligence. The evidence indicates that the plane was shot down by an Iranian surface-to-air missile." "This may well have been unintentional."
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
-Man verbally assaults and threatens politician and her staffers -Man partly enraged because of an alleged fertilizer ban -There is no fertilizer ban -Some elected politicians tweet about the (non-existent) fertilizer ban -These politicians bear responsibility for the violence
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
Canada needs to plan for the possibility of a far right armed insurgency on its southern border.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
1 year
Your regular reminder that if you call Canada a dictatorship or an electoral autocracy, or compare it to Nazi Germany, you are a clown.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
3 years
We are going through the worst pandemic in 100 years, the vaccines work incredibly well, and we would be almost out of this crisis if everybody were vaccinated. Unvaccinated people are getting sick, filling up hospitals and preventing others from getting health care. Grow up.
@markstrahl
Mark Strahl, MP
3 years
As Conservatives clearly stated during the election campaign, Justin Trudeau’s vaccine mandate is discriminatory, coercive and must be opposed. We must continue to demand reasonable exemptions and accommodations, like rapid testing, for those unable or unwilling to be vaccinated.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
The US intelligence community clearly got *a lot* right in recent weeks.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 months
This is the right position. UNRWA plays an absolutely essential role in providing basic services to Palestinians. It needs to be reformed and made stronger, not shut down or weakened.
@NorwayPalestine
Norway in Palestine
4 months
We need to distinguish between what individuals may have done, and what UNRWA stands for. The organisation's tens of thousands of employees in Gaza, the West Bank and the region are playing a crucial role in distributing aid, saving lives and safeguarding basic needs and rights
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
Tenure!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Associate professor TJ now
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
That's how you do it. Quebec City police towing trucks away.
@PPoinlane
Pascal Poinlane
2 years
Les policiers de Québec @spvquebec supervisent le remorquage d’une des camionnettes sur René Lévesque. #manif5fevrier #convoipourlaliberte #rcqc
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
To be clear, this man is a white supremacist and extremist with hard anti-government views. Not anti-Liberal, but anti-government, who played a key role in organising these protests that have violated multiple laws. Cut the bullshit on stiffling peaceful or legitimate dissent.
@glen_mcgregor
Glen McGregor
2 years
Protest organizer Chris Barber taken into police custody on Albert Street, in the last hour.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
6 years
This is significant, and a major escalation by Saudi Arabia if true. There are about 15,000 Saudi students in Canada, the 4th largest contingent of foreign students here. This is a big hit for these students' lives, and for Canadian universities.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
9. Saudi Arabia is not an ally; the US does not have an alliance with it. It is a partner. Conclusion: I could add many other rebuttals. Bottomline, a pile of lies, BS, and nonsense; don't expect this Administration to move to pressure Saudi or to change things.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
1 year
MBC a un rare talent: c'est du pur racisme, rien de plus et rien de moins, mais il l'articule en utilisant des mots avec beaucoup de syllabes qui, mis ensemble, ne veulent absolument rien dire
@Le_Figaro
Le Figaro
1 year
«Si les choses se déroulent comme elles se déroulent en ce moment, à la fin du siècle, les peuples historiques européens seront minoritaires dans leur propre pays. Ce n'est pas une peur irrationnelle. Et 'l'Empire européen' tend à inhiber la souveraineté de ces États.» @mbockcote
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
6 years
An Arab country (Morocco) losing a soccer game against Iran because of an own goal tells you everything you need to know about Middle East politics: Iran plays defense, doesn't do much, wins.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
6 years
The Canadian ambassador declared Persona Non Grata (PNG) by Saudi Arabia is the same who was expelled from Iran in 2012. Probably the only diplomat in the world to ever be PNGed by both the Supreme Leader and the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
There have been 401,000 newcomers to Canada so far in 2021 - or more than 1% of the country's total population. That is brilliant. It's the right thing to do on moral, humanitarian, economic, diplomatic, and strategic grounds.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
I don't think that the son of a deposed brutal, corrupt and repressive ruler should have much to say in discussing how to deal with the equally brutal, corrupt, and repressive regime that followed - but he is right, Canada should do more to sanction key regime figures.
@PnPCBC
Power & Politics
2 years
Iran's exiled former Crown Prince @PahlaviReza says Canada and the world should respond to the protests in Iran by targeting the regime and its associates through "specific measures" like the Magnitsky Act.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
4. Saudi "agreed to spend and invest $450 billion" in the US. Man, Trump drinks that kool-aid. There is no evidence this is true. 100Ks of jobs and "tremendous economic development"? Have I ever got a server in a basement in Chappaqua to sell you.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
7 months
It is absolutely appropriate - necessary - for a serious media company in Canada to fire a journalist who actively supports Hamas on social media.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
...and entail massive costs. Trump simply does not understand that this gives the US tremendous leverage, not the other way around. 7. "Saudi Arabia says Khashoggi was an enemy of the state": to be clear, the President of the United States endorses a brutal dictatorship's...
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
6. "If we foolishly cancel these contracts, Russia and China would be the enormous beneficiaries": nonsense again. Saudi is so dependent on US (and western) military kit (and training, spare parts, etc) that shifting to Russian/Chinese procurement would take decades...
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 months
What the CAQ government is doing to McGill University - where I did my undergrad - is a disaster. Narrow-minded, petty, counter-productive; the actions of a parochial and small nationalism. Bad for Quebec society in every way.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
+1,000 this. I just can't understand why a society - that's you, English Canada - can offer free school but not daycare. 7-20$/day daycare in Québec is a revolution for parents (especially mothers - studies have shown few policies have been as beneficial), and it pays for itself.
@DrSChouinard
Stéphanie Chouinard
4 years
"When Qc introduced subsidized daycare, the resulting economic boom delivered a fiscal windfall that more than paid for the added costs." A little less conversation, a little more policy learning please. The solution to curbing the she-cession is obvious.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
8 months
During the 2018 Canada-Saudi Arabiadispute, it was clear Saudi hit back hard at Canada not because of what it did (a tweet) but to send a broader message to western states: stop criticizing us. Canada is not the US & not in Europe, so an easy target. Clear parallel with India now
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
OK France, now do Saudi Arabia
@AlArabiya_Eng
Al Arabiya English
5 years
France announces it is suspending arms exports to Turkey after Ankara launched a military offensive against Kurdish forces in northern Syria.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
Former Canadian PM Stephen Harper addresses MeK event in Albania, refers to its role in working for change in Iran. The MeK is a corrupt, thuggish cult with no support in Iran. It is neither viable nor democratic. It is moral failure & strategic lunacy for Harper to endorse it.
@iran_policy
NCRI-FAC
5 years
“The need for change in Iran is greater than ever before and the need of the work of this organization for change in Iran is also greater than ever before” - @stephenharper tells the MEK at the annual #FreeIran event #IStandWithMaryamRajavi #WeSupportMEK
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
5. "$110 billion will be spent" by Saudi on buying US weapons. This has long been debunked. Some of these deals are Obama-era; most have not materialized yet. In practice, the real number is far lower.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
8 months
I have no doubt that India can't be bullied... but the idea that Canada, or anyone else, is trying to "bully" India is self-induced fantasy (Canada bullying another country - think about that for a second).
@KanwalSibal
Kanwal Sibal
8 months
MEA has hit hard at Canada by stating it should be worried about its growing reputation as a safe haven for terrorists, for extremists, and for organized crime. Trudeau has bitten more than he can chew. Time for Anglosphere to realise India can’t be bullied.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
Vaccine mandates literally save tens of thousands of lives in Canada, and millions in the world. And they would be less necessary if folks like you did not constantly repeat disinformation.
@rupasubramanya
Rupa Subramanya
2 years
The vaccine mandates have resulted in loss of freedom and livelihoods. But they've been done cleverly so as to stay just within the Charter. The lockdowns also resulted in loss of freedoms ostensibly in the collective good. It's that balance that's at issue.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
labeling a dissident (and a mild one at that) an "enemy of the state". 8. "King Salman and MbS deny any knowledge... maybe he did, maybe he didn't": bullshit. Dynamics in Saudi Arabia in the past three years very, very strongly point towards MbS's direct responsibility.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
We've become desensitized after almost 4 years, but watching clips of Trump's press conference, it's just unbelievable how the leader of the most powerful country in history is so illiterate, inarticulate, ignorant, dishonest, and basically so full of shit.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
What you don't get is how francophones are disadvantaged in the public service. Most work is in English. Francophones are handicapped: they must work in their second language, which they worked hard to learn. You work in your 2nd language, every day, then tell me who is penalized
@AngusReid
Angus Reid
4 years
Very good piece on the limits of bilingualism. Western Canadians have little chance to become fluent in French despite the best of intentions. The trend to require bilingualism in most top govt jobs discriminates against them.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
And, just to stay on the gloomy side, even if Biden wins, Canada (and the rest of the world) will have to live with the reality that at least 40% of Americans support, and will no doubt continue to support, his Trumpist agenda. That shit is not going to just disappear.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
3. "Saudi Arabia would gladly withdraw from Yemen if the Iranians would agree to do the same": nonsense. Saudi will not withdraw from Yemen, gladly or otherwise. And if it were ready to, this trade would be very strange, since Saudi has a massive investment in Yemen, unlike Iran.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
24 days
Protests in Ottawa this weekend have gone far beyond what is acceptable. Some protesters legitimately criticized Israeli policies, a right which democracies must protect. But others were openly antisemitic, calling for violence & supporting Hamas & glorifying terrorism.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
Trump: no president has ever done what I've done in 3.5 years No kidding. No president so far has sabotaged US power, credibility and democracy so much and so fast.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
After 2 years of work, 70 interviews with serving and retired intelligence and national security practitioners, a SSHRC grant, and 75K words, @StephanieCarvin and I just submitted the manuscript for our book on intelligence analysis and policy-making in Canada to a publisher...
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
This article refers to "Tom Quiggin, a former military intelligence officer who also worked with the RCMP and was considered one the country's top counter-terrorism experts". No - he left years ago & is widely viewed in the intelligence community as an islamophobe & a buffoon.
@judyatrinh
Judy Trinh
2 years
My latest: How organizers with police and military expertise are helping convoy protestors dig in.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
8 months
Some Canadian commentators repeating the Indian government's talking points on the foreign interference dispute might not be surprising, but is still pretty striking.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
Lots of folks laughing and enjoying this tonight in Beijing, Moscow, Tehran.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
No. It is very specifically NOT an intelligence failure. It's precisely the opposite: the experts - in intelligence, and in public health - got it right, and policy-makers failed to act. The job of intelligence here is to analyse and warn, not to act.
@RWPUSA
Richard W. Painter
4 years
This may be the most massive intelligence failure in U.S. history. Exclusive: The Military Knew Years Ago That a Coronavirus Was Coming via @thenation
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
A couple things. - if you equate Trudeau with Trump, you are blinded by partisanship and are part of the problem. Absolutely fair to be critical of Trudeau, but they are not on the same planet in terms of venality, corruption. -same if you equate Canada's conservatives with Trump
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
10 years ago today my grandfather Pierre Juneau, a great Canadian, passed away. As the father of Canadian content regulations, the Juno Awards are named after him. He was later president of CBC/RadioCanada. Canadian culture would be poorer without his work
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
8 months
Before last week, I did not have the Toronto Sun blindly repeating Indian disinformation on my bingo card. (admittedly, my bingo card has been really taking a beating recently)
@TheTorontoSun
Toronto Sun
8 months
Trudeau's plane had cocaine during G20, claims former Indian diplomat
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
..., then Saudi intervened, and subsequently only did Iran increase its low support to the Houthis. 2. "Assad has killed millions of his own citizens": Inacurate. Assad is responsible for far more deaths in Syria than any other actor but hundreds of thousands, not millions.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
Canada should start having quiet conversations with its closest allies and partners about scenarios of instability, political violence, contested elections and democratic backsliding in the US. There is not that much we can do, but to the extent we can, we should start planning.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
Here is the Chinese embassy in Canada targeting a think-tank after it published an open letter (signed by senior politicians and experts from many countries) criticizing China. This is the new normal and will be increasingly frequent. But it is unacceptable, and must be opposed.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 months
Illegal outposts are part of an explicit strategy to kill the two state solution. Israel's international partners - US, EU, Canada - need to clearly condemn this and tie future relations with Israel to this stopping.
@haaretzcom
Haaretz.com
5 months
Israeli ministers approved the diversion of 75 million shekels ($20 million) towards illegal outposts in the West Bank in a cabinet meeting on Sunday
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 months
The wrong translation - on purpose or out of ignorance, whichever - from French to English of the quote of a politician candidly admitting that his work can be tough has got to be the most Canadian political mini-scandal.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
3 years
The spectacle of arsonists now trying to put out the fire they had been fuelling for months is obscene
@NewsGuyGreg
Greg Angel
3 years
"These vacines are saving lives" In his most direct effort to encourage people to get vaccinated, Governor Ron DeSantis said 95% of the new COVID cases are those who are not vaccinated.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 months
The US and its allies, including Canada, need to clearly condemn this - and openly lay out serious consequences to bilateral relations with Israel if resettlement in Gaza happens. Can't be business as usual or just timid press releases.
@BarakRavid
Barak Ravid
4 months
12 Israeli ministers (including from Netanyahu's Likud party) participated at a conference today about rebuilding Isrseli settlements in Gaza & encouraging displacement of Palestinians from Gaza. Ministers Ben Gvir, Smotrich and several others from Likud gave supportive speeches
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
This is a cliche, I know, but it's true. It is stunning to compare the reaction in Canada, where rival politicians who really didn't like each other 1 month ago now behave like the reasonable adults we need to get through this, with the absolute clownshow in Washington.
@jkenney
Jason Kenney 🇨🇦🇺🇦🇮🇱
4 years
Thank-you, Deputy Prime Minister @cafreeland . I appreciate all that you are doing to coordinate with the provinces, and the efforts of the Government of Canada. This crisis reminds us of how Canadians pull together to do big things. Alberta will always be there to do its part.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
7 months
Seeing some calls for Canada to play the role of "honest broker". Just to be clear, there is no scope for Canada to play that role. We can tweet it and pat ourselves on the back, but that's it. When the time for mediation comes, that role will be played by others.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
3 years
This is inaccurate, Canadian intelligence - which, as a member of the Five Eyes, had significant access to US intelligence - dissented and concluded that based on the information it had, it could not conclude that Iraq had WMD. It also laughed off allegations of Iraq-AlQaeda ties
@RadioFreeTom
Tom Nichols
3 years
@besttrousers No major intel agency anywhere dissented from the basic view that Iraq was hiding WMD. Weapons inspectors wanted more time to prove a negative, that Iraq *didn't* have them. Duelfer later found none, but intent to preserve the WMD programs for quick restart. /3
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
7 months
Hamas is a genocidal terrorist organisation & an obstacle to peace. It must be defeated. But that's a slogan, not a strategy. In practice, it is an incredibly difficult balance to strike for Israel. But what is happening in Gaza now guarantees the cycle of violence will continue.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
7 months
Gaza, Israel, Hamas, Iran, Ukraine, Russia, China, terrorism, climate change, disrupteive technologies, democratic backsliding, protectionism, and the list goes on - it's an increasingly dangerous world and Canada is not ready to deal with it.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
Canada should open a special, expedited path to bring in highly skilled Americans who want to leave the US.
@BWJones
Bryan William Jones
2 years
As of tomorrow, I am on the open market. A well funded, internationally successful scientist is accepting offers from academia and industry in order to leave the state of Utah, taking my team of neuroscientists if they chose to leave with me. I will not endanger my team.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
7 months
Not a surprise, at all. Egypt has very precisely zero intention to welcome Palestinian refugees. Its interest is not in helping the Palestinian cause. To the contrary - it is an active participant in the long term disenfranchisement of Palestinians.
@spectatorindex
The Spectator Index
7 months
BREAKING: Reuters reports that Egypt has rejected the setting up of safe corridors for refugees fleeing the Gaza Strip
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 months
The US needs to do much more than just rhetorical condemnation at this point. Smotrich and Ben Gvir are openly advocating for ethnic cleansing of Palestinians. To just refer to them as "irresponsible" is counter-productive.
@StateDeptSpox
Matthew Miller
4 months
The United States rejects the inflammatory and irresponsible statements from Israeli Ministers Smotrich and Ben Gvir. There should be no mass displacement of Palestinians from Gaza.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
Former Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper has always claimed that he had a values-based foreign policy. But to support the MeK - a corrupt and thuggish cult with zero legitimacy inside Iran - is morally bankrupt and strategic lunacy. Worst part? Harper knows this.
@stephenharper
Stephen Harper
4 years
It’s my pleasure to address the NCRI’s Free Iran Summit from Canada today; together with friends and allies from around the world, I continue to stand with the people of Iran against the tyrannical and oppressive regime in Tehran.  #FreeIran2020 #NCRI
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
6 years
Dude, you have no elections.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 months
The consistent effort by some on the far left to minimize or deny Hamas atrocities on 7 October, including sexual violence, is absolutely repulsive. It's dogmatic narcissism of the worst kind. It's also not helpful to the Palestinian cause.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
8 months
What we mean when some of us say that the inquiry on foreign interference was right to be broad and look beyond China, to other countries too (India, Russia, Iran, Saudi...):
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
1 year
I don't mind Xi "berating" Trudeau. What is concerning, more broadly, if you combine this with the 2018 dispute with Saudi, is the prospect of dictatorships targeting Canada to send a message to other democracies - since we are not the US, not the EU, we might be an easier prey.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
7 months
This appears to be a catastrophic intelligence failure by Israel, one that will be studied and criticized for a long time, but it can't be only that. Multiple layers of security failed. The Gaza border wall failed (paragliders zipped in). The technology failed.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 months
If the plan is limited airstrikes on Houthi coastal military sites, it will: -do minimal damage (Houthi infrastructure is dispersed, after years of countering Saudi airstrikes) -not deter them (the Houthis are hubristic) -be counterproductive (boosting their resistance narrative)
@Joyce_Karam
Joyce Karam
4 months
US, UK strikes against Houthis seem imminent. Arabiya reporting on American, British fighter jets in Yemen airspace vicinity...
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
Let them eat cake?
@mradamtaylor
Adam Taylor
5 years
Huh? “People want to work for what they get. So, I think that this idea of a guaranteed minimum is not something most people want."
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
6 years
The murder of a dissident journalist has to be seen as a new item in the growing list of reckless Saudi actions under MbS: destroying Yemen, blockading Qatar, taking the Lebanese prime minister hostage, sanctioning Canada. Eventually Saudi will have to face the costs of all this.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 years
Pierre Poilievre, new leader of Canada's opposition Conservatives, attends the massive anti-Islamic Republic rally in Toronto today (PM Trudeau did not).
@PierrePoilievre
Pierre Poilievre
2 years
Spoke to thousands in Richmond Hill fighting for a free Iran. #MahsaAmini Enough talk, Liberals must act now. Sign our petition to list the IRGC as a terrorist group & support Iranian people in their fight for freedom against this murderous dictatorship:
Tweet media one
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
Anyone who talks about a "post-American" Middle East should look at this map for one second. Yes, there is limited retrenchment (and it's a good thing), but not more than that.
Tweet media one
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
IT'S AN INCOMING TRAIN
@realDonaldTrump
Donald J. Trump
4 years
LIGHT AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL!
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
Big debate on whether Canada's response to COVID was too slow. What is missing from much of the criticism is - ***based on the information that was realistically available in January/February*** should/could governments have done more. NOT based on the info we have today.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
2 months
Some advisers of Reza Pahlavi, the son of the last Shah of Iran, hold a direct responsibility for the failure of the Iranian exiled opposition to organize itself since September 2022 (and of course RP has to be held accountable since he keeps them as advisers).
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
1 year
The main victims of foreign interference in Canada are often Chinese/Iranian/Indian-Canadians (& other diaspora groups). The racist thing is to fail to protect them by not doing enough to counter foreign interference - and *not*, for example, to establish a foreign agent registry
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
5 years
Memo to some on the left: you *can* oppose a brutal, corrupt, incompetent dictatorship like Maduro's in Venezuela (no, he is not a legitimate democratically elected leader) while *also* opposing US-led regime change and military intervention.
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
7 months
The Canadian intelligence community actually got it right on Iraq in 2003.
@TaylorNoakes
Taylor C. Noakes @taylornoakes.bsky.social
7 months
@thomasjuneau And I’m supposing this is being verified against the same intelligence community that missed 9/11 but was certain of WMDs in Iraq right? When has military intelligence ever been wrong before…
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
1 year
Good description of Russia
@Snowden
Edward Snowden
1 year
Tweet media one
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@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
8 months
Canada is about to cut its already small defence budget. We have long neglected foreign, defence & national security policy - and have had the luxury of not suffering for it. But as threats accumulate and we continue this neglect, the cost of our collective dilettantism will rise
@thomasjuneau
Thomas Juneau
4 years
My new op-ed: the end of the luxury of a cost-free foreign policy for Canada "Canada has benefitted from an incredible luxury for the past three decades: we have been able to make mistakes in major foreign and national security policy decisions...
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