What does this mean for the road ahead? 💪Pressure, policy, and new forms of cooperation. Check out the full briefing here:

🏛️COP30 improved parts of the climate governance scaffolding. But it failed to deliver decisive action on fossil fuel phase-outs - the core task that will determine whether the world avoids climate chaos.

🌐 Multilateralism is shifting. With the UNFCCC struggling on binding commitments, momentum is moving to: 🗺️The G20 🤝Plurilateral alliances (BOGA, CET-P) 🟢The newly announced 2026 Intl Conference on the Just Transition Away from Fossil Fuels (🇨🇴+🇳🇱)

🏛️Climate governance is fragmenting. Geopolitics, trade tensions & fossil fuel lobbying (1 in 25 COP30 delegates) are constraining ambition on phase-outs. 🛢️Governments are still approving new fossil fuel projects.

COP30 exposed three truths: ⚡The transition is accelerating - but uneven. Clean energy investment is soaring. Yet fossil fuels still dominate transport, heavy industry & buildings. 0⃣The 1.5°C carbon budget is nearly gone. 📈Fossil emissions rose 1.1% this year.

COP30 was billed to be the moment the world agreed a roadmap to phase out fossil fuels as part of the UN-process. Instead: the final text avoided the topic altogether. ❌No mention of coal, oil or gas, despite 86 countries calling for a roadmap.

🌍🛢️COP30: Breaking the Deadlock - or Revealing It? Our new SUS-POL briefing by @Fred_Daley breaks down what COP30 really delivered for fossil fuel phase-outs. https://t.co/GSXLWj6xuT Short🧵on its main arguments👇

Cambodia becomes the 18th nation to join the @fossiltreaty at #COP30 in Belém Their participation signals building momentum for the Fossil Fuel Treaty and charts a bold path into the second week of the COP and beyond, towards a fossil free future https://t.co/Vb7xxt8LAd

New IDS bulletin on Struggles for Justice in the Energy Transition: Views from the Front Lines. Cases from colleagues in Mozambique, Brazil, Colombia, Argentina, Chile, US & UK. Dive in! ⁦@IDS_UK⁩ ⁦@sus_pol⁩ ⁦@SPRU⁩

My first academic journal article, 'The Chinese road to decarbonisation: China’s party-state capitalism in the political economy of fossil energy phase-out' is published online today at @RIPEJournal! Its open access, so pls do read & share thoughts 🇨🇳 https://t.co/maMUWGPWK4

BREAKING! 🚨 📢We’ve taken over the @TfL ad space at Southwark tube station, calling on the Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, to end adverts that promote pollution. ✍️ Join the campaign: https://t.co/qBcJlRYF41

We are delighted to announce that @CarolineLucas is joining Sussex University as Professor of Practice in Environmental Sustainability to work with me and my colleagues in the School of Progressive Futures on research, teaching & civic engagement

New book just out. Thanks to @CarolineLucas @ProfJohnBarry & Jennifer Clapp for their endorsements of States of Transition: From Governing the Environment to Transforming Society published by @cambridgeunipa @SussexGlobal @sus_pol

Brilliant piece from @PeterJNewell_ & @Fred_Daley on why we must resist seductively simple proposal to build renewables & delay fossil fuel phase out. It’s a hugely dangerous gamble on a “later” that a warming world may not grant us. Fossil fuels must be phased out *now* 👇

🛢️We cannot lose sight of phasing out fossil fuels. @Fred_Daley and @PeterJNewell_ have a piece in @TheNatlInterest pushing back on the “build now, break later” mantra in the energy transition. https://t.co/NoOxdgFYmG A short thread on why that approach is risky 👇

Building clean energy is essential. But so is the deliberate, managed decline of fossil fuels. Without both, the transition risks becoming an expansion, not a transformation. 🔗Read the full piece here:

5️⃣ A just transition depends on workers. People in fossil fuel sectors need real, supported pathways into the low-carbon economy. They’re the ones who will build the new system, not be left behind by it.

4️⃣ There are opportunities in managed decline. Decommissioning creates jobs, innovation, and regional renewal. Building this capacity alongside renewables makes economic and climate sense.

3️⃣ Breaking fossil fuel systems takes time. These infrastructures are massive, global, and built for endless growth, not decline. The work of dismantling them must begin now, not “later.”

2️⃣ You can’t skip the fight. “Build now, break later” dodges the confrontation with fossil fuel incumbents. These firms are resisting transition, protecting profits, and keeping economies hooked on coal, oil and gas. They won’t give up power willingly - they must be pushed.