sopersone
@sopersone
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Inexperienced designer | living stress-free | learning quant trading
Joined June 2023
literally me convincing my friend to try building a trading bot
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markets don't repeat - regimes do stable regimes keep prices consistent during transitions the market loses coherence and arbitrage appears on Polymarket this was worth $40m in one year 41% of contracts had arbitrage opportunities 60 cents on the dollar hurry up and make
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This trader on Polymarket literally never loses 148 positions in a row made him $275,000 perfect candidate for copy trading: https://t.co/DFdJS8qU1s his wallet: 0x7f3c8979d0afa00007bae4747d5347122af05613 his strategy is dead simple only buy "No" he only enters when the
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> be a coder > first computer at 12. break it within a week > dad yells. you fix it yourself. learn more from breaking it than any class > in school everyone wants to be a lawyer or a doctor > you want to understand why a website works > write your first hello world. feels like
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> be solo dev > read "just prompt claude to trade" on twitter > think it's bullshit. try it anyway > v1: "you are a trader. analyze and decide." > claude says BUY on everything. -$210 in a week > don't quit. rewrite the prompt > 12 times over 4 months >v4: "write arguments FOR
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People underestimate how powerful this is: edge = my_p - market_p If this number isn’t positive, nothing else matters No narrative, no conviction, no “feels right” Just no trade
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when you build a trading bot from scratch and get attached to every line of code
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"ai can't trade. it's just a text generator. forget about bots" ahhahahah mirofish runs 1,000,000 ai agents to simulate how a future event plays out > upload news > agents debate & form coalitions > a probability map of outcomes emerges bull coalition 23%, bear alliance
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Harvard student turned $2,000 into $60,319 in one day on Polymarket he automated trading using three AI agents simple strategy: > catch contracts at 1 cent > events with minimal probability > 84 predictions, 28.6% win rate > when even every fourth shot brings x100 the math is
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literally me when I saw how many people still don’t know about automated trading
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This weatherman turned $11 → $5,752 on one weather market on Polymarket he made $75 202 using just one strategy the strategy is very simple: > he monitors NOAA forecasts in real time > sees that the market is heavily underpricing an event > simply buys at under 1¢ >
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On Polymarket, every second counts Sometimes the difference between a profitable trade and a complete loss is just 3–5 seconds Those who react slightly faster consistently win The priority mode @kreoapp changes the game Order execution speeds up so much that you feel one step
Zero delay. 🚄 Copy trades 3-5 seconds faster than any other bot. Use Priority Mode Today! ⬇️
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"i am going to sleep early today" me at 3am that day working on my trading bot instead of sleeping
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Many people think they have an edge But the only way to test it is to run the strategy through a Monte Carlo simulation P(A) ≈ N_hit / N_total If your edge doesn’t survive thousands of simulations it doesn’t exist
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This trader on Polymarket only trades esports markets > 87% win rate > $150K in profit > 49 predicts he doesn't write bots he just knows his niche better than anyone he doesn't trade as often as you'd like but 9/10 of his predictions are winners i spent a long time thinking
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> me: zero knowledge of coding > 12 parts + Python + a bit of curiosity > my own auto-trading bot > the game completely changed
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