leopardracer
@leopardracer
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researcher&analyst | eth maxi
Portugal
Joined August 2020
> everyone thinks it’s selling > it’s just hedging > they buy puts > feel safe > still lose money > long stock + long put = long call > $0.30 ≠ probability > edge = your_p − market_p
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> You’ve never coded before. Open your first article out of boredom. > “Algorithmic trading in Python.” > You think: this definitely isn’t for me. > You keep reading. The guy explains it like you’re five. > You install Miniconda. Launch Jupyter. It works. > You write 5 lines. A
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> read tweets > watched videos > placed bets > lost money > realized i wasn’t trading > i was guessing > built a system to model probability > now i skip most markets > win rate: 79% > edge was always there > i just couldn’t see it
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me after skipping 15 markets with no edge
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while AI is waiting to be managed
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me realizing AI can do 80% of my job in 10 seconds
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If you're serious about investing with AI: Start with this setup today. It takes 10 minutes. But it changes how you research companies forever.
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Most people think AI will replace analysts. Reality is simpler. The people who know how to manage AI analysts will replace everyone else.
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When you combine these: • Opus reasoning • Extended Thinking • Research Mode • Document Projects • Quote-first verification Claude stops being a chatbot. It becomes an investment research system.
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Use the “quote-first” method. Tell Claude: Quote the exact passage from the document before making a claim. If there is no quote, discard the claim. This forces grounded analysis instead of guesses.
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But here’s the biggest mistake people make. Hallucinations. Claude can mix your documents with general knowledge. You need a simple rule to control this.
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Fourth - build a research workspace. Use Projects. Upload documents like: • 10-Ks • earnings call transcripts • SEC filings • investor presentations Claude will reference them across all conversations. You’re basically building your AI research terminal.
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Third - use Research Mode. Turn on Research + Web Search. Claude will: • run dozens to hundreds of searches • read full articles • produce a cited report Usually within 5–45 minutes. Use it for: • industry deep dives • competitor analysis • management track records
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Second - turn on Extended Thinking. (Search & Tools → bottom left) Claude starts reasoning step-by-step before answering. This dramatically improves: • valuation analysis • multi-step financial modeling • error detection in numbers It thinks before it speaks.
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First - use the right model. Select Claude Opus 4.6. Why it matters: • stronger reasoning • catches contradictions in filings • produces structured analysis instead of random text For investing, model quality matters more than prompts.
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Most people use Claude like a chatbot. That’s a mistake. Used correctly, Claude can work like a team of junior analysts doing investment research for you. Here’s how to set it up properly
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Me, a probability nerd with a spreadsheet: "the market says 38%, I think 55%, EV = +$8.50 per $100, sizing to Half Kelly, see you in 300 bets"
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