Social Science Prediction Platform
@socscipredict
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The SSPP enables researchers to collect and contribute to forecasts of academic studies. Tweets by @UCBITSS @evavivalt @socscipredict.bsky.social
Berkeley, CA
Joined July 2020
What types of questions can be forecast on the #SocSciPrediction Platform? How can the SSPP help address publication bias and quantify how much we learn from a given study, including null results? Watch our short promo video to find out. https://t.co/qFWRbn83nS
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🚨 3 surveys close Sept 28 - 30! Get your predictions in by the end of the month: https://t.co/tVApcqEWxA 1⃣Digital Mental Health: Evidence from Mexico 2⃣Aid, Economic Recovery and Social Cohesion in Post-War Iraq 3⃣Informality, Incidence, and Pass-through of VAT Exemptions
socialscienceprediction.org
Predict research results, improve social science.
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📢 New on the SSPP: does an extra year of preschool improve academic and socioeconomic skills? @IzRamin et al. welcome your predictions! https://t.co/rk6xGqfcvT ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Econ, Psych 🗓️Closes: Oct 15
socialscienceprediction.org
We conducted a large-scale field experiment in Finland that advanced the start of mandatory preschool by one year. The RCT is authorized under temporary legislation and will inform an active policy...
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📣 Interested in making more forecasts? Want to get paid for doing so? Apply for the SSPP Forecasting Panel! Panelists receive $400 a year, with an additional $300 bonus for high accuracy. Apply here: https://t.co/wUuqZ4geQG
@CEGA_UC @evavivalt @sdellavi
socialscienceprediction.org
Would you like to stay informed about the latest developments in social science research, assess your forecasting accuracy, and receive financial compensation for your participation in the process?...
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🚨3 surveys close Sunday, Aug 31! https://t.co/tVApcqEWxA 1️⃣Role of monthly office days in fully remote work 2️⃣Correlation b/n statistical significance & media attention -💰incentives based on forecast accuracy 3️⃣Effects of providing information to potential workers @evavivalt
socialscienceprediction.org
Predict research results, improve social science.
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New on the SSPP: is there a correlation between statistical significance and media attention? Lester Lusher, Sunmi Jung, and Brianna Funderburk welcome your predictions: https://t.co/fkQvNoTm1v 💰Incentives based on accuracy ⏱️Time: 10 min 📚Field: Economics 🗓️Closes: Aug 31
socialscienceprediction.org
This study analyzes the correlation between statistical significance and media attention. We have coded results from a random sample of 1,000 National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working...
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🚨 Closing tomorrow! Forecast how accurate people are at forecasting with the SSPP team's meta-survey:
socialscienceprediction.org
Increasingly, researchers gather forecasts ex ante about the results of their research studies. Ex post, this allows for a comparison with the results to gauge contributions to the literature. But...
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New on the SSPP: what are the economic impacts of university-affiliated research parks? Make forecasts below on this study by @m_codreanu: https://t.co/6esiVSgSwc ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Labor Econ 🗓️Closes: Oct 31
socialscienceprediction.org
We are conducting a study to understand the estimated economic impacts of university-affiliated research parks. Your participation in this survey will help us gather anonymous information on the...
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New on the SSPP: What is the impact of VAT exemptions on food in an informal setting in Papua New Guinea? Christopher Hoy et al. welcome your predictions! https://t.co/68rT9CTgnO ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Dev Econ 🗓️Closes: Sept 30
socialscienceprediction.org
We are soliciting expert predictions about a project analyzing the pass-through and incidence of Value Added Tax (VAT) exemptions on food in a low-income setting with very high levels of informality....
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New on the SSPP: what will be the outcomes of a livelihood support program in Iraq for microentrepreneurs? Study by Andrea Caflisch et al. https://t.co/XXZm2IKdpb ⏱️Time: 10 min 📚Field: Dev Econ 🗓️Closes: Sept 30
socialscienceprediction.org
The protracted nature of recent displacement crises has resulted in increased interest from policymakers, donors, and aid organizations in durable solutions for the challenges faced by the forcibly...
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New on the SSPP: How does remote work impact job satisfaction and productivity among call center agents in Turkey? Study by Cevat Giray Aksoy, @I_Am_NickBloom, and co-authors. https://t.co/Y2OZcMbolK ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: Aug 31
socialscienceprediction.org
This trial assesses the impact of remote work with monthly office visits on productivity and job satisfaction among call center agents in Sanliurfa, Turkey. In the partner institution, agents...
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New on the SSPP: what are the impacts of AI-driven mental health smartphone apps in Mexico? @M_Angeluc, @raissafabregas, and @antoniaavazquez welcome your predictions! https://t.co/bR6sbPEKqU ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: Aug 13
socialscienceprediction.org
We study the uptake and impacts of an AI-driven mental health smartphone application on psychological wellbeing and related outcomes among middle-income women in Mexico.
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New short meta-survey on the SSPP: can you predict how well people predict? 👇
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🚨4 surveys close June 30! Make predictions at: https://t.co/tVApcqEWxA 1⃣ Predicting tax non-compliance in Kampala, Uganda 2⃣ Politically motivated reasoning 3⃣ Predicting the impacts of self-promotion 4⃣ Do different effect sizes in meta-analyses lead to different conclusions?
socialscienceprediction.org
Predict research results, improve social science.
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Delighted to have received an Alfred P. Sloan Foundation grant for the next phase of the Social Science Prediction Platform! Some exciting new developments coming soon... watch this space! @socscipredict @SloanFoundation @econuoft
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New on the SSPP: How does using self-promotional language impact responses to requests for support? @jennychang743 et al. designed a field experiment and invite you to predict their findings: https://t.co/0lxgEMx1Jb ⏱️Time: 10 min 📚Field: Econ, Psych 🗓️Closes: June 30
socialscienceprediction.org
We study the impacts of self-promotional language on responses to informal requests for support. We conducted a field experiment where we emailed researchers a request to help a team advance an...
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New on the SSPP: How does subsidizing early-maturity rice seeds and farmer education impact farmers' decisions in Punjab? New study by Piyush Gandhi, who welcomes your predictions! https://t.co/47gZWtsO1U ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: July 15
socialscienceprediction.org
This study explores how subsidizing early-maturity rice seeds and providing information on sustainable crop residue management affect farmers’ decisions in Punjab, India. Your responses will help us...
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New on the SSPP: Do different effect sizes in meta-analyses lead to different conclusions? April Wang et al. look forward to your predictions! https://t.co/eeuCDu9FlV ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: June 30
socialscienceprediction.org
This survey seeks your views on whether meta-analyses are likely to produce different conclusions when using alternative effect sizes.
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New on the SSPP: Do business support programs actually help businesses grow and succeed in the UK? @SomeLadyBrackin and Rob Fuller welcome your predictions on turnover and employment outcomes! https://t.co/tVApcqEWxA ⏱️15 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: June 30
socialscienceprediction.org
Predict research results, improve social science.
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🚨Closing this Saturday, May 31! How accurate are CEO forecasts of future revenues? Don't miss the chance to make a prediction on this survey and be entered into the lottery for $100.
New on the SSPP: How do CEOs forecast future revenues and how accurate are they? @I_Am_NickBloom, @m_codreanu, and Robert Fletcher welcome your predictions! https://t.co/f3IYzidJts ⏱️Time: 10 min 📚Field: Management 🗓️Closes: May 31
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New on the SSPP: What are the attributes of politically motivated reasoning? Robin Musolff & Guy Yanay invite your predictions! https://t.co/g63U9mUwER… ⏱️Time: 10 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: June 30 💰Lottery-based incentives
socialscienceprediction.org
Differences in factual beliefs between members of opposing political parties are sometimes attributed to politically motivated reasoning. Using two different estimation tasks we examine the phenome...
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