Tears of Satoshi 🥹
@satoshi_tear
Followers
2K
Following
6K
Media
443
Statuses
5K
Top crypto analysis into simple words | FULL TIME REPLYING
Joined January 2025
MegaETH sale? Will the @megaeth_labs auction clear at the ceiling and still leave most bidders with tiny allocations? Here is the event plan, the rules, and a realistic bidding playbook DIP GUIDE AND MORE
4
6
16
A liquidation map shows where traders get forced out of their positions. It’s basically where the pain starts. When price hits these zones: > Longs (people betting price goes up) get liquidated on the way down. > Shorts (people betting price goes down) get liquidated on the
6
7
12
$ETH is finally breaking out of its range. Momentum is building – and this could set the tone for the rest of Q4 2025. WHY IT MATTERS For months, $ETH lagged behind $BTC. That dynamic might be reversing now. Liquidity is rotating, ETF inflows are steady, and Layer 2 (L2)
2
3
11
I am constructive on the auction mechanics and builder momentum, yet cautious on the long runway to TGE. If you send, send with a number that feels right at a $999M FDV ceiling and a market that may look very different in early 2026.
0
0
9
PREMARKET CONTEXT AND THE COINBASE ANGLE > On @HyperliquidX premarket, $MEGA has traded near $0.41 – about $4.1B FDV, which is 4× the sale ceiling > Echo was acquired by @coinbase for about $375M, and this is expected to be the first launch under the Coinbase launchpad umbrella
1
0
11
HOW TO ENTER WITHOUT TRIPPING OVER THE RULES > Register on @echodotxyz and complete KYC. Then link your wallet at @megaeth_labs > Use a wallet with credible onchain history if you have one (some older Echo accounts may remain ineligible even after adding a fresh wallet) >
1
0
9
THE 5 SALE STAGES AND DATES > Registration: 15 Oct – 27 Oct 16:00 (according my local time lol). KYC and wallet verification required > Auction: 27 Oct 16:00 – 30 Oct 16:00 > Allocation calculation: 30 Oct – 5 Nov. Non-winners receive refunds when this ends > Opt-out window:
1
0
9
WHO GETS THROUGH WHEN IT IS OVERSUBSCRIBED > 5,000 guaranteed slots with at least $2,650 each are earmarked for top contributors > Holding MegaETH NFT collections (@TheFluffleNFT, @badbunnz_, @MegalioETH, @nft_lemonhead and others), onchain history in major @ethereum protocols,
1
0
8
WTF IS ENGLISH AUCTION? You set a deposit and a maximum price you are willing to pay When the final price is set, you either receive tokens at that price or get unused funds back > Ceiling: $0.0999 per MEGA. If bids push price to the ceiling, the auction stops > Expectation:
1
0
9
HOW IT WORKS? > English auction with a hard ceiling at $0.0999 per $MEGA – that is $999M FDV > Supply on sale: 500M $MEGA – 5% of 10B total > Bid window: 27 Oct 16:00 to 30 Oct 16:00 > Min bid size: $2,650. Max: $186,282 https://t.co/L16nveEYmz
@Picolas_Caged @megaeth_labs Some clarity: $2650 is absolute minimum. If it's below that it's $0. Lockups aren't even weeks. If you're not allocated it's either initiated on Oct 30th (you bid below clearing price) or Nov 5th (you bid the final price, but didn't receive allo)
1
0
7
The real reason crypto is quiet right now is because most big traders have pivoted to equities. R/R there is better right now and much more liquid. BUT, some point soon this will change again - when $BTC starts playing catchup. I still think there is way more asymmetric upside
90
21
358
Build a practical Polymarket tools that turns noise into decisions. Core layer: > @Polymarket for execution > @PolymarketTrade to mirror proven accounts > @PolymarketIntel for market‑moving headlines > @PolymarketBuild to spot fresh tools early Artificial Intelligence (AI)
8
8
29
Historical snapshot: Bitcoin $BTC prices on October 23 across years. A quick look at price levels on this date. → 10/23/2011 – $3 → 10/23/2012 – $12 → 10/23/2013 – $214 → 10/23/2014 – $358 → 10/23/2015 – $277 → 10/23/2016 – $657 → 10/23/2017 – $5,930 → 10/23/2018 –
1
2
6
. @glassnode relative supply-in-profit heatmap shows a clear split in market conditions — capital is concentrated in large-cap leaders while the broader altcoin landscape consolidates. Large-cap assets such as $BTC (Bitcoin) and $ETH (Ethereum) remain in profit, whereas a
2
6
10
Bitcoin follows a pattern. Every cycle, the price peaks in the final quarter of the year after a halving. This has happened in 2013, 2017, and 2021. Will 2025 be the same? Maybe. The cycle suggests a top this quarter, then a bear market in 2026. Last cycle peaked at 546
8
5
23
Within 7 days, will headlines report ≥$1,000,000 made thanks to the Amazon Web Services (AWS) outage? Crypto volatility on $BTC or $ETH or ???, latency arbitrage, basis trades – all tied to AWS. @polymarket please create this market.
2
7
18