Ryan Hauser
@r__hauser
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Research Fellow @Mercatus | AI Governance | Studying @STS_VT | ◁▷◁
Washington, DC
Joined October 2021
Experimenting with reduced time on X in the new year. But you can still follow my work at https://t.co/YyC6BEloXX.
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Dec jobs report out: Jobs added: +50k Unemployment rate: 4.4%
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Have graduate training in political economy and social philosophy? Want to be in the talent cultivation business? Or know someone who does? What a coincidence!😉 We’re hiring for the Research & Programs team with @mercatus Apply here:
talentmarket.org
The Research and Programs (RaP) team at the Mercatus Center is seeking a Program Manager to support our talent identification and cultivation efforts, helping
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Congratulations to Research Fellow Garrett Brown on launching the Humane Pursuits Podcast, exploring the intersection of culture, ideas, and human flourishing. In the first episode, Garrett hosts Tony Banout from the University of Chicago’s Forum for Free Inquiry and Expression
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There is only one responsible--or, for that matter, sane--answer to the question "Do you rule out using military force to take Greenland?" That answer is "yes." Do I think the President will use force to acquire Greenland? No. It's bravado. Trump talk. I get that. Usually it's
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What can Shakespeare, Jane Austen, and Adam Smith still teach us about moral judgment and social order? Emerging scholar @HenryEOliver will soon appear on Conversations with Tyler (@cowenconvos) with @tylercowen. Their discussion will range from Measure for Measure to classic
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Catching up on reading between celebrations? 📚 This year, many of our scholars launched Substacks covering everything from housing policy and labor markets to monetary theory and cultural analysis. Dive into thought-provoking articles and in-depth research while you relax,
mercatus.org
Follow our scholars on Substack and gain access to their thought-provoking articles, in-depth analyses, and groundbreaking ideas. Expand your intellectual horizons, challenge conventional wisdom, and...
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67,000 manufacturing jobs list since Liberation Day tariffs. Not only have jobs been lost, but the pace of decline since April has doubled its pre-April pace of job losses (5.1k vs 9.6k)
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one of my dissertation chapters is finally published! in which i attempt cross-pollination between ml and econ literally xkcd 386 🫠
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My first Substack essay is about China's response to H200 sales Drawing on Chinese media, I look at whether floated restrictions are due to industrial policy, kill switch concerns, confidence in the Ascend 910C, or a secret fourth thing? Link below 🔗
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A big concern of mine with the politicization of the preemption conversation is an overcorrection to 'all preemption is bad.' Both sides should agree that preemption is essential in areas like this ! People won't buy AVs if they can't drive in every state. Let's get this right!
I wish that even half the energy of "federal pre-emption of all state AI laws" went specifically towards "federal pre-emption of municipal laws banning autonomous vehicles". We need to make sure our Waymo future isn't banned by crazy cities that have no clue what they're doing.
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.@DeanWBall is one of the most famous opponents of AI regulation, and co-author of America's AI strategy. But unlike many new AI commentators he's a true intellectual and a blogger at heart — not a shallow ideologue or corporate mouthpiece. So he doesn't wave away concerns and
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AI already performs many tasks at an impressive level, yet the broader economic effects remain limited. On Bloomberg @business' Odd Lots podcast, @tylercowen explains why major productivity gains take time and why understanding these lags is important for developing informed AI
bloomberg.com
The barriers to a major revolution
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MFW American governance collapses into rule by Executive Order and SCOTUS decisions.
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It's unfortunate this titanic change is basically unknown in general public conversations around AI. Efficiency is intimately tied to convos on water/energy use, yet most base takes on facts learned 2 years ago. Worried about policy outcomes when priors update so slowly.
Wild - there's been a ~390x efficiency improvement in AI within one year! (at least on high-compute verifiable tasks) AI is getting better and AI is also getting cheaper!
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Reuters (Dec. 9): “Lithuania on Tuesday declared a state of emergency and asked parliament to authorise military support for police and border guards after a wave of smuggler balloons repeatedly disrupted air traffic in recent months.”
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I just wrote a new paper. https://t.co/OXvhyjALJ3 Does automated science actually work? Thinking about this question got me interested in information efficiency as a metric for scientific automation. 1/n
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