Yuriy Podmogaev Profile
Yuriy Podmogaev

@podmogaev

Followers
866
Following
2K
Media
210
Statuses
240

Quantitative researcher | Analyst | Agri & Logistics

Novorossiysk
Joined November 2017
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
27 days
WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea Week: 51, Year: 2025 #agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
1 month
WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea Week: 50, Year: 2025 #agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
1 month
FREIGHT & BALTIC INDEX RELATION Basis: Handy freight on rout Novorossiysk - Egypt (Med.), Baltic Handysize Index #freight #bdi #index #handysize #agro #wheat #trade #export #russia #egypt
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
1 month
WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea Week: 49, Year: 2025 #agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
2 months
WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea Week: 48, Year: 2025 #agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
2 months
WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea Week: 46, Year: 2025 #agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
3 months
WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea Week: 44, Year: 2025 The September WASDE report data was used. #agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
3 months
WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea Week: 43, Year: 2025 The September WASDE report data was used. #agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast
0
1
2
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
3 months
WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea Week: 42, Year: 2025 The September WASDE report data was used. #agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
3 months
WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea Week: 41, Year: 2025 #agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast
0
1
2
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
4 months
WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea Week: 40, Year: 2025 #agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
4 months
The bars on the chart show the difference between the forecast at the start of the season and the final estimate. For example, in the 2017/18 season, exports exceeded initial expectations by more than 30%, while in 2021/22, they fell short of the forecast by ~15%.
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
4 months
BY WHAT PERCENTAGE DID THE FINAL EXPORT OF RUSSIAN WHEAT DIFFER FROM THE INITIAL FORECAST? 🤔 #WASDE #Exports #SeasonResults #Wheat #Forecasts #grainmarketing
1
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
4 months
This is the average deviation from the initial forecast. The most significant adjustments—around ~12-15%—occur in the first months of the season (May-April) when the picture for the harvest and logistics becomes clearer.
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
4 months
RUSSIAN WHEAT EXPORT FORECAST AVERAGE CHANGES BY 5-15% DURING THE SEASON. 📉 #WASDE #Statistics #Volatility #Wheat #Russia #DataAnalysis
1
1
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
4 months
The chart shows how the forecast changed during each season. Russian wheat export forecasts can be adjusted by ±20-30% during the season relative to the initial estimate.
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
4 months
DYNAMICS OF RUSSIAN WHEAT EXPORT FORECAST CHANGES BY MONTH ACROSS DIFFERENT SEASONS. 📈 #WASDE #Wheat #Forecasts #Dynamics #AgMarket #Russia
1
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
4 months
Russia shows moderate forecast volatility with a figure of around 15%. For comparison, the US and EU have more stable figures at around 5-10%. #WASDE #Wheat #Exports #Analysis #Market #Russia #Ukraine #USA #Australia #Argentina #EU #Canada #World
0
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
4 months
This chart shows the average magnitude of adjustments (in %) for the largest exporting countries. The most significant forecast revisions are observed in Ukraine and Australia – up to 25-30% per season.
1
0
1
@podmogaev
Yuriy Podmogaev
4 months
HOW MUCH DO WHEAT EXPORT FORECASTS CHANGE ON AVERAGE DURING THE SEASON ACROSS DIFFERENT REGIONS? 📊
1
0
1