
Peter McIntyre
@peter_2611
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Professor, University of Otago and University of Sydney. Medical Advisor, IMAC, University of Auckland. Member, Strategic Advisory Group of Experts of WHO
Dunedin City, New Zealand
Joined April 2012
RT @JAMA_current: Receiving at least 2 doses of wild-type BNT162b2 vaccine was associated with a reduced risk of emergency department or ur….
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RT @BurnetInstitute: While studies support the need to fast-track the development of interventions and therapies to prevent and/or cure lon….
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Very silver lining take on CDC study - VE for most dose numbers and outcomes was ~ 20% with CIs inc zero and limited to 60 day period. 12% controls any vaccine doses so v low population uptake. Vaccine works short-term (hopefully inc high risk) but policy? Flu vacc >> priority.
I do hope countries that deny vaccination to children <5 years take heed of this study and so many others showing vaccines protect young kids. Vaccine was 80% effective vs no vaccine in preventing emergency department or urgent care encounters. Bivalent vaccine more protective.
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The unanswered question from this - which is mainly saying covid deaths are under-counted - is (even if accept simplistic arguments underlying it) what is best response? Tern & friends want masks a la 2021 forever - this won’t work - 79 yr olds need boosters every 6m - period.
May 2023:.A seventy nine year old man in the UK feels seriously unwell. His daughter gives him an lft covid test, which is positive.
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No idea why Kerryn Phelps posted this nonsense promulgated by a UK cardiologist sponsored by an Australian anti vaccine lobby group. What is it about cardiologists- Peter McCullough from Texas also a denialist. No fan of Pfizer but this same old about their trials in 2020 is tosh.
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Clarification from Monica Gandhi that all the hype about the CDC meeting “outbreak” was just that - hype.
CDC OUTBREAK: Remember Provincetown outbreak in July 21 when most immunologists/scientists hailed the mild breakthroughs as a success of the vaccines? The infections at a CDC meeting were all mild, no one hospitalized, high rates of vaccination & 20% Paxlovid use for high-risk.
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If you look at the study cited as showing higher long covid after re-infection it’s apparent it shows no such thing and does not claim to - it is mostly about what initial symptoms are predictive of persistent symptoms - a case of confirming preconceptions on part of John Snow.
US NIH Study Finds Increased Risk of #LongCovid After Reinfection - John Snow Project.“Many people already believe COVID-19 is now no more serious than a cold or a flu, thanks to immunity derived from vaccines or prior infection, but this is not the case.”
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This summary that “covid is responsible for almost all excess deaths worldwide” is simplistic. It is a high level analysis showing great uncertainty - yes multiple problems in post covid world but are they attributable to covid or to worsening inequity etc?.
C0VID & excess deaths: The last 3 years have seen a very big increase in total deaths in the world. As this analysis from The Economist shows, C0VID is responsible for basically all of it. 2022 worse than 2020. XS death rates still high in 2023.
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