Noah Zingler-Sternig
@Nostroah
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I am a prediction markets expert and @Kalshi’s former Head of Operations
Madison, WI
Joined October 2019
Just dropped the most practical guide you’ll read this year if you want to break into the white-hot prediction market industry. I went from 2023 college grad to the Head of Operations at @Kalshi in <3 years. People now blow up my LinkedIn weekly asking how to get in. 🧵
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I can’t believe this is real life.
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Looks like @SoFi is catching strays again.
Out with the old, in with the new. Robinhood is a financial technology company, not a bank. Banking services are provided by Coastal Community Bank, Member FDIC.
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This is an incredible partnership! I am sure there will be more major news networks integrating with @Kalshi in the future. @CNN has already been using Kalshi data in their broadcasts; now it's official!
CNN partners with Kalshi to integrate prediction markets into its global newsroom. The first major news network to embrace Kalshi prediction markets. A new era of media is here.
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The gong is iconic.
Today, John provides an epic gong wind-up when @mansourtarek_ announces Kalshi's $1B Series E at an $11B valuation.
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Current unicorn count:🦄🦄🦄🦄🦄🦄🦄🦄🦄🦄🦄
Kalshi raised $1B at an $11B valuation. A decade ago, only a few thousand people knew what a prediction market was. Eighteen months ago, most prediction markets were banned - until we overcame the government to set them free. Over the past seven years, our community has opened
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Remember, if you are trading in a "sudden death" market (where information can be released at any time), it is important to monitor trading activity to find indications that data might have become public. Have fun trading and stay safe! 5/5
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What should I do now that I know this? You can still make 10c per dollar by buying the No side for all of these markets! SOS was not listed to be a runner-up in this market and ended up taking second place, meaning that all strikes here will resolve to NO. 4/5
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There are still some bonds available for those interested! Right now, The Joe Rogan Experience is trading at 97%, despite official Spotify assets confirming Joe Rogan has won. 3/5
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First off, no, this is NOT insider trading. Anyone could find these assets if they knew where to look. While I won't reveal my methods here, I encourage you to learn how to scrape websites to find images like this! 2/5
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In the last 24 hours, The Weeknd has gone from 3% to 97% on @Kalshi and @Polymarket to be the #3 artist on @Spotify this year. This thread reveals the leaked @Spotify assets that some savvy traders found, flipping this market and getting a 33x on their cash! 🧵
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Congratulations to @Kalshi and @Polymarket on setting a new combined monthly record!
Prediction Markets: @Polymarket and @Kalshi just posted their first $10B month in combined spot volume.
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This is about prediction markets, right?
The choice is yours. Robinhood Presents: YES/NO on 12/16 at 6:00pm PT/9:00pm ET on RobinhoodApp X, YouTube, and in-app.
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Prediction markets are becoming a core internet layer. The next wave of winners will ship, trade, and build in public over the next 12–24 months. Read my full guide for free on @eightyhi's 50¢ Dollars here: https://t.co/WS0ulQrEL4 10/10
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Pull stunts, provide liquidity, build tools, or start something new. The next wave of PM millionaires won’t all come from exchanges. 9/10
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Culture markets are reaching record volume numbers and nobody knows how to price them yet. Your 30-min edge is sitting there right now. 8/10
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You will NEVER understand prediction markets until you’ve traded them. $100 across 10 weird markets > $10k on one headline event. 7/10
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Brokerages look sexy until you realize they only touch half the problem. Exchanges are where you learn the full game. 6/10
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How the best non-engineers actually got hired at Kalshi: trade volume + build tools + visible obsession. Posting alone won’t cut it. 5/10
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The 8 roles every winning exchange is dying to fill right now. CFTC-regulated ones are the real winners long-term. 4/10
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